Top Traders Unplugged5 Apr 2025

SI342: From Trend Following to Super Determinism ft. Richard Brennan

Together with Richard Brennan, we’ll explore how current market uncertainties are shaping investor sentiment and prompting a massive shift in how we think about financial systems. As we navigate through some heavy topics, we also touch on the importance of maintaining a disciplined approach in a world where noise can easily drown out the signals. Expect insights on the evolving landscape of trading, where we emphasize the necessity of aligning with processes rather than predictions. Join us as we unpack these ideas and their implications for both our trading philosophy and our understanding of the market dynamics at play.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

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Episode TimeStamps:

02:24 - What has caught our attention recently?

12:58 - The damage of leveraged ETF products

15:38 - Reflecting on the trend following performance of Q1

25:18 - Industry performance numbers

26:42 - Super determinism - how it impacts our trading

41:59 - The relationship between science, trend following and the universe

55:36 - Understanding complex adaptive systems as a trend follower

01:13:36 - What is up for next week?

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Disclaimer

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Episoder(930)

BO53: Trend Trading vs Mean Reverting – What Should You Trade?

Discussion on some of the reasons why Trend Following works, but why paradoxically, investors are lured toward mean-reversion.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCR...

8 Apr 20202min

BO52: Thoughts on Risk Management and Leverage

Bill Dreiss shares some of his thoughts on Risk Management and Leverage.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twit...

7 Apr 20203min

BO51: Insights to a Unique System Design

Bill Dreiss takes us under the hood of his system, and explains why it’s so unique.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Ni...

6 Apr 20204min

SI82: Is Machine Learning and AI just a marketing ploy? ft. Harold de Boer

Special guest, Harold de Boer of Transtrend, joins us on the show today to discuss why the recent returns disparity among CTAs might be good for the industry, the benefits of investing in more than on...

5 Apr 20201h 27min

BO50: Why Trend Following (Still) Works

We explain why Trend Following will continue to perform over time.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, L...

3 Apr 20203min

BO49: Do markets drive Performance or is it Skill?

How markets drive performance more so than skill, and why you need to trade longer-term.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Foll...

2 Apr 20204min

BO48: Exploiting the Fractal Nature of Markets in a Systematic Way

Bill Dreiss talks about his interest in Elliot Wave analysis & the Fractal nature of markets, and how he successfully have used this approach since the 1970s.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND ...

1 Apr 20208min

BO47: Our Worst Trade

We go down memory lane and discuss our worst trades, and what we learned from them.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Ni...

31 Mar 20207min