SI342: From Trend Following to Super Determinism ft. Richard Brennan

SI342: From Trend Following to Super Determinism ft. Richard Brennan

Together with Richard Brennan, we’ll explore how current market uncertainties are shaping investor sentiment and prompting a massive shift in how we think about financial systems. As we navigate through some heavy topics, we also touch on the importance of maintaining a disciplined approach in a world where noise can easily drown out the signals. Expect insights on the evolving landscape of trading, where we emphasize the necessity of aligning with processes rather than predictions. Join us as we unpack these ideas and their implications for both our trading philosophy and our understanding of the market dynamics at play.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Rich on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

02:24 - What has caught our attention recently?

12:58 - The damage of leveraged ETF products

15:38 - Reflecting on the trend following performance of Q1

25:18 - Industry performance numbers

26:42 - Super determinism - how it impacts our trading

41:59 - The relationship between science, trend following and the universe

55:36 - Understanding complex adaptive systems as a trend follower

01:13:36 - What is up for next week?

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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Episoder(929)

BO12: Market Psychology & Universal Truths

BO12: Market Psychology & Universal Truths

A while back, I had a very enjoyable time speaking to Scott Foster from Dominion Capital Management, who is not your typical Trader. He draws from a wide range of influences such as Aristotle, Magic, ...

4 Feb 201911min

SI21: Why the biggest drawdown is always ahead of you or so they say

SI21: Why the biggest drawdown is always ahead of you or so they say

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Mori...

4 Feb 20191h 13min

BO11: Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication

BO11: Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication

A few years back, I had a great discussion with die-hard Trend Follower, Scot Billington. I would like to share some key moments with you, including how to perceive past track records, and also some ...

30 Jan 201916min

SI20: Crisis Alpha...To Love or Not To Love

SI20: Crisis Alpha...To Love or Not To Love

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Mori...

28 Jan 20191h 6min

RT19: Who actually learned from the last financial crisis? ft. Andrew Lo & Sol Waksman – 2of2

RT19: Who actually learned from the last financial crisis? ft. Andrew Lo & Sol Waksman – 2of2

Today Niels Kaastrup-Larsen continues his conversation with Andrew Lo, the Charles E. and Susan T. Harris Professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management, and Sol Waksman, the Founder and President of...

23 Jan 201941min

SI19: Can you apply Trend Following to Life?

SI19: Can you apply Trend Following to Life?

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Mori...

20 Jan 20191h 1min

RT18: Are markets really Efficient? ft. Andrew Lo & Sol Waksman – 1of2

RT18: Are markets really Efficient? ft. Andrew Lo & Sol Waksman – 1of2

On today’s episode, Niels Kaastrup-Larsen speaks with Andrew Lo, the Charles E. and Susan T. Harris Professor at the MIT Sloan School of Management, and Sol Waksman, the Founder and President of Barcl...

16 Jan 201940min

SI18: How to know if you are over-fitting your model parameters

SI18: How to know if you are over-fitting your model parameters

Welcome to The Systematic Investor series. It’s a great privilege for me to invite you to a behind the scenes conversation between some of my favorite systematic investors namely Jerry Parker and Mori...

13 Jan 20191h 6min

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