Can Anyone Out-Hawk the Fed?
After the worst trading day in 2023, the U.S. stock market is hovering relatively unchanged following the release of this afternoon’s FOMC minutes. The minutes confirmed that most Fed members are on board with the continued fight against inflation. Maggie Lake sits down with Michael Kao, the CEO of Akanthos Capital Management, to discuss the price action, his outlook for the global economy, and why he’s concerned that too many investors are engaged in a dangerous, self-fulfilling cycle of over-exposure. Plus, we’ll hear from Jacob Shapiro, the Director of Geopolitical Analysis at Cognitive Investments, on why there’s opportunity in supply chains even if they don’t ease. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3YUly3j Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
22 Feb 202343min
Are Markets in for a Rough Ride?
U.S. equities are tumbling as the 10-Year Treasury yield rose to 3-month highs as investors wory about interest rates ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC minutes reveal. Maggie Lake is joined by Jared Dillian, editor of the Daily Dirtnap to discuss current market sentiment, which direction he sees markets heading in the short-term, the apparent re-rating of risk happening in bond markets, and where he’s looking for value in the chop. Plus, we’ll hear from Nancy Davis, founder of Quadratic Capital Management, about why the $8 trillion U.S. balance sheet is a monster lurking that no one is paying attention to. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3XLP0ac Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
21 Feb 202336min
Tim Ferriss, Raoul Pal & Mark Hart on Hedge Funds, Investing & Optimizing Lifestyle | RV Classics
In this three-way conversation, Raoul speaks with Mark and Tim on the currency that we should prioritize higher-- time. In his Master Class, Mark Hart mentions Tim Ferriss as a friend and lifestyle design advisor. A master of meta-learning, Tim discusses easy ways to optimize your productivity, why we confuse the goal of 'having money' with 'quality of life', and explains what happens when we re-examine our self-defined boundaries. Originally aired on February 21, 2015 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
19 Feb 20231h 1min
Why a Post-Lockdown China Is Raising Red Flags for India
Andreas Steno Larsen explains why China’s reopening is a negative for last year’s market darling, India. Plus, he gives an update on U.S. dollar liquidity and a sneak peek into his new show, Buy-side Meets Sell-side, available to Plus members starting on Friday. Recorded on January 31, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
18 Feb 202323min
How Aggressive Does the Fed Need to Get?
U.S. stocks are sliding into the weekend, as investors contemplate the risk of sticky inflation and soaring U.S. Treasury yields. Dr. Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, joins Maggie Lake to break down the latest price action and discuss the monumental task facing the Fed. This is another extended Friday edition of the show, and in Part 2 Dr. Sri-Kumar will explain what’s driving central bank decisions around the globe. That will be available only to Real Vision members.We’ll also hear an update from Andreas Steno Larsen on global liquidity, and why he thinks liquidity may have already bottomed. You can watch that entire Steno’s Signals episode here: https://rvtv.io/3Itusiw Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
17 Feb 202337min
The Battle Against Inflation is Far From Over
U.S. producer prices (PPI) rose 0.7% in January, calling into question the prevailing disinflation narrative for the second time this week. Maggie Lake is joined by Peter Boockvar, the CIO of Bleakly Advisory Group, to help break down all the latest inflation data and discuss the Fed’s chances at navigating any sort of soft landing. We’ll also hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on why it’s so important to pay attention to the NFIB price plan survey when it comes to pricing pressure. You can watch that full interview here: https://rvtv.io/3Itusiw Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
16 Feb 202336min
Is the Options Market Calling Off Recession?
U.S. retail sales numbers came in much stronger than expected after yesterday’s still-sticky inflation print. The stock market remains range-bound as investors consider the next directional catalyst. Imran Lakha, founder of Options Insight, joins Andreas Steno Larsen for a look under the hood at what’s driving the price action. Imran is an options expert, so he’ll share why volatility has collapsed of late, what bonds and gold are signaling, and how traders are positioning into March. We’ll also hear from Damian Horner and Roger Hirst on the delicate balance between unemployment and recession. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3YJ06h4 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
15 Feb 202336min
Are Markets Too Complacent About Inflation?
U.S. inflation rose 6.4% YoY last month, down from 6.5% in December but above expectations while monthly inflation rose 0.5% — the biggest increase in 3 months. Stocks largely shrugged in response, as markets remain relatively unchanged. Elsewhere, oil futures are down after the U.S. government announced it would release more crude from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve to help alleviate concerns over Russian production cuts. Maggie Lake is joined by Tony Greer, the editor of the Morning Navigator and founder of TG Macro, to assess the market’s CPI response and discuss the latest developments in energy markets. Plus, we’ll give you a look at Raoul Pal’s interview with David Dredge, who explains how he profits off of unexpected market events. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3RSMmhO Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
14 Feb 202336min
