Nobody Knows (Yet Again)

Nobody Knows (Yet Again)

In his latest memo, Howard discusses how the recent events surrounding tariffs can have a seismic but unpredictable impact on the global economy. Seismic in that they reflect a fundamental undoing of longstanding norms, and unpredictable in that tariffs would bring untold second- and third-order consequences. He emphasizes that there is no foreknowledge here, with forecasts even less likely to be accurate than usual. Howard considers the response of the financial markets, highlighting the key question regards the appropriateness of the market reaction thus far: has it been just right, excessive, or inadequate?

You can read the memo here (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/nobody-knows-yet-again).

Episoder(74)

Easy Money

Easy Money

In his latest memo, Howard Marks considers what financial history can teach us about periods of easy money, the impact they have on investor behavior, and what happens when they end. He analyzes macro...

9 Jan 202456min

The Insight: Conversations – Walking into the Unknown with Howard Marks, David Rosenberg, and Aman Kumar

The Insight: Conversations – Walking into the Unknown with Howard Marks, David Rosenberg, and Aman Kumar

What is a “normal” investment environment? What might a recession in 2024 mean for liquid credit? What’s happening in life sciences lending today? Find out by listening to the latest episode of The In...

4 Jan 202435min

The Insight: Conversations – Special Episode with Annie Duke and Howard Marks

The Insight: Conversations – Special Episode with Annie Duke and Howard Marks

Special guest Annie Duke (former professional poker player, best-selling author) joins Howard Marks to discuss ideas from her book Thinking in Bets and Howard’s memo You Bet! They explore luck, decis...

6 Des 202351min

The Insight: Conversations – Full Return World with Howard Marks and Armen Panossian

The Insight: Conversations – Full Return World with Howard Marks and Armen Panossian

Howard Marks (Co-Chairman) and Armen Panossian (Head of Performing Credit) discuss topics related to Howard’s latest memo, Further Thoughts on Sea Change, and Oaktree’s recently published Performing C...

2 Nov 202331min

Further Thoughts on "Sea Change"

Further Thoughts on "Sea Change"

In his latest memo, Howard Marks provides a follow-up to Sea Change (https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/sea-change), his thought-provoking memo published in December 2022. He argues that the...

11 Okt 202333min

The Insight: Conversations – Credit Picker’s Market with Wayne Dahl, Robert O’Leary, and Mark Jacobs

The Insight: Conversations – Credit Picker’s Market with Wayne Dahl, Robert O’Leary, and Mark Jacobs

How have credit investors been successfully navigating the volatile interest rate environment? Which sectors currently look attractive to opportunistic credit investors? What are some of the major m...

5 Okt 202329min

Behind the Memo: Fewer Losers, or More Winners?

Behind the Memo: Fewer Losers, or More Winners?

In the latest episode of Behind the Memo, Howard discusses his recent memo: Fewer Losers, or More Winners? He details the inspiration for the memo and explains why investors – like tennis players – n...

20 Sep 202330min

Fewer Losers, or More Winners?

Fewer Losers, or More Winners?

In his latest memo, Howard Marks discusses the essential choice in both investing and sports: should you go for more winners or try to eliminate losers? That is, should you emphasize aggressiveness or...

12 Sep 202335min

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