US-China Trade Truce, Cooling CPI, and Crypto Legislation: PALvatar Market Recap, June 11 2025

If we understand the macro through what the major equity indexes and more modern indicators such as Bitcoin and Ethereum tell us, then, at least for today, it’s all good. The Nasdaq Composite led the way, with a 2% gain heading into the last two hours of the trading week. With recent price action reflecting a “risk on” mood heading into the weekend, Michele “Mish” Schneider, the author of “Plant Your Money Tree,” joins Maggie Lake to talk about key levels for stocks, bonds, crypto and the dollar. Mish also shares critical information about hot sectors such as solar and EVs, emerging markets and trends, and the all-important commodity sector. What’s peaking right now, and what’s not? Mish and Maggie will answer that question and any others you’d like to ask – please share yours in the chat! Follow along with todays charts here: https://rvtv.io/3BuA7Br Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

10 Sep 202243min

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell held competing public appearances this morning, as the ECB announced its biggest-ever interest-rate increase and the Fed doubled down on its commitment to fighting inflation. Lagarde’s message was more mixed, however, with higher borrowing costs only increasing the risk of recession in Europe. “We have calls like this for people freezing to death and a sovereign debt crisis, and I’m like, ‘I think they’re going to figure it out’,” wrote Jared Dillian in a recent issue of The Daily DirtNap. “I’m not saying there will be a good solution, only that there will be a solution.” Jared joins Andreas Steno Larsen at the top of today’s Daily Briefing for an assessment of Europe’s crises. Then, Andreas welcomes Weston Nakamura to talk about central banks, the forex market, and the rising probability of Japanese yen intervention. We also hear from Josh Young about why energy is the most compelling area of the market right now and how oil and gas stocks are phenomenally mis-priced. Watch the full conversation between Josh Young and Harris Kupperman here: https://rvtv.io/3RJIoqm. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

9 Sep 202237min

The European Central Bank is expected to announce another 75-basis-point rate hike following its meeting tomorrow, even as the euro weakens against the U.S. dollar and authorities on the continent contend with an escalating energy crisis. Equity markets remain highly attuned to what central bankers say, with the major U.S. indexes bouncing on comments by Fed Governor Lael Brainard. “It seems the bond market is already pricing in a positive revision to the Fed’s inflation target,” tweeteds Darius Dale. “An outcome that may become reality towards the end of this tightening cycle.” Darius, the founder and CEO of 42 Macro, joins Real Vision’s Andreas Steno Larsen to talk about competing priorities for fiscal and monetary authorities, August PMI prints, supply-chain disruptions, and disinflation and inflation expectations compared to the Fed’s “price stability” mandate. We also hear from Emil Kalinowski about why European policymakers must backstop private lending in this escalating crisis. Watch the full video featuring Emil Kalinowski and Andreas Steno Larsen here: https://rvtv.io/3D9VHfA. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

8 Sep 202238min

The Institute for Supply Management reported today that its services index ticked up to 56.9 in August from 56.7 in July, expanding for the 27th consecutive month and catalyzing a “good news is bad news” leg of the recent equity selloff. It looks like investors are pricing in a higher probability of a 75-basis-point rate hike when the Federal Open Market Committee meets in two weeks. The U.S. dollar is pushing out to multi-decade highs against multiple counterparts, including the Japanese yen and the euro. And the greenback is at all-time highs against the British pound, as the new U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss steps into Number 10 as well as a raging energy crisis. And with the People’s Bank of China taking more aggressive steps to defend the yuan against depreciation, now is a good time to understand what’s happening in foreign exchange markets. Weston Nakamura, Real Vision’s man on the ground in Asia, joins Maggie Lake to talk about what we can learn from forex, perhaps the purest market on the planet. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

7 Sep 202242min

With a population of nearly 1.5 billion, an average age of 28, and a rapidly growing economy, India is a country we all should be following. Capitalmind CEO Deepak Shenoy joins Ash Bennington to talk about the innovation happening across one of the world’s most vibrant places. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

5 Sep 20221h 6min

We had so much great content from our episode with Alex Gurevich we had to release it into two parts. In this installment, Alex establishes his meta rules for trading and explains his current views on foreign exchange and global equities markets. Never miss an episode of Next Big Trade - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

4 Sep 202218min

Michael Venuto, a co-founder and the chief investment officer of Toroso Investments, joins Maggie Lake to talk about what he learned during his chaotic stretch on the New York Stock Exchange, how he got burned trading Royal Caribbean options in 2009, and why blockchain-traded funds will eventually replace ETFs. Never miss an episode of My Life in 4 Trades - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

3 Sep 202248min

The Dow Jones Industrial Average erased a 370-point gain and turned red this afternoon, as investors appeared to abandon equities ahead of the long Labor Day weekend. This morning’s “Goldilocks” U.S. jobs report provided an initial lift on hope there was foundation for a 50 as opposed to a 75-basis-point rate hike when the Federal Open Market Committee meets September 20-21. And then there’s the crude oil question – as in, is that critical commodity getting ready for another run higher? With the G-7 discussing a price cap on Russian oil, Vladimir Putin saying he won’t sell to nations that agree to it, and Saudi Arabia weighing production cuts, Maggie Lake welcomes Warren Pies, the founder of 3Fourteen Research, to talk about "black gold," volatility, and things that could make what is, historically, the worst month for the stock market particularly catastrophic this year. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

3 Sep 202238min