Why You Can't Fully Trust Recent U.S. Data
Recent data has shown the consumer made a comeback in the first month of the year, but as Andreas Steno Larsen reveals, that may be only half true. Watch this edition of Steno’s Signals to find out why seasonal adjustments may be sending misleading signs about how the economy is actually faring. Recorded on February 21, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
11 Mar 202328min
What the Hell Just Happened?
The U.S. added 311,000 jobs in February while unemployment rose from 3.4% to 3.6%. That quickly became background noise though, as trouble in the banking sector sparked a massive selloff in yields. It didn’t take long for U.S. equities to follow suit. Ash Bennington is joined by Warren Pies, co-founder of 3Fourteen Research, to discuss whether regulators shutting down Silicon Valley Bank is a sign of wider contagion in the sector, and what the Fed will do next. As Warren sees it, timing is everything.Plus, we’ll hear from Alex Gurevich on how central banks are monopolistic entities just like Apple. Catch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ZBbjl1 and you can find more of Warren’s work here: https://www.3fourteenresearch.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
10 Mar 202333min
Should We Still Ride The Inflation Winners?
All eyes are on tomorrow’s jobs report as stocks struggle to hold their footing into the weekend. Maggie Lake is joined by James Davolos, portfolio manager at Horizon Kinetics, to discuss whether investors should continue allocating with another inflation wave in mind. Are the inflation winners still working, or is it time to look elsewhere? Plus, we hear from Alex Gurevich on why he remains steadfast in his view that deflation is on the way. Check out the entire How to Unf*ck Your Future series here: https://rvtv.io/3yfCpBR and find more of James’ work here: https://horizonkinetics.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
9 Mar 202340min
Is There a Canary in the Coal Mine?
Job openings declined in January, as Fed Chair Jerome Powell prepares the market for more rate hikes. But what are we missing? Maggie Lake is joined by Doomberg, editor of the self-titled Substack newsletter, to break down the action unfolding across the energy sector — specifically in coal, LNG, and nuclear power. Plus, we’ll hear from geopolitical expert Peter Zeihan on why Russia will never be involved in the global supply chain and how that could impact Germany. Check out that entire series here: https://rvtv.io/3yfCpBR and find more of Doomberg’s work here: doomberg.substack.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
8 Mar 202342min
Did Powell Let The Bond Bears Out?
In his Senate testimony this morning, Fed Chair Powell came out swinging saying that “the ultimate level of interest rates is likely to be higher than previously predicted.” U.S. equities tumbled in response, while bond volatility picked up. Maggie Lake is joined by Greg Weldon, CEO of Weldon Financials, to hear how he’s finding opportunities in gold, energy, agriculture, and short bonds. Plus, we’ll hear from Dario Perkins on why this is the start of a vastly different macro environment. That interview is part of our 2-week 'How to Unf*ck Your Future' series, and you can watch the entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3Jk2AO6 and find more of Greg’s work here: http://www.weldononline.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
7 Mar 202338min
Is This the Calm Before the Storm?
With more rate hikes looming, the market is trying to find its footing. But is it safest for investors to just hold cash? Maggie Lake is joined by Real Vision’s Mike Coolbaugh, founder and CIO at Strom Capital Management, and Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading Group, for a discussion on how to trade this price action and the broader macro landscape. As a discretionary macro trader, Mike will update us on how the market is pricing in the Fed and other macro trends he’s watching. Then, Dave will join for a technical breakdown of how he’s trading this environment. Plus, we’ll hear from Real Vision co-founder and CEO Raoul Pal on why this might be the best time to buy and hold Tech for the next 20 years. Check out that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3ITzWCb. You can find more of Mike’s work here: https://www.elementmacro.com. And you can follow Dave’s trades here: https://www.aspentrading.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
6 Mar 202337min
Why It's a Good Time to Buy if You're Thinking Long-Term
Ross Gerber has made headlines recently for calling out Elon Musk’s management of Tesla and for seeking a seat on the board. But in this episode of 3 Ideas, find out why he still thinks Musk is the visionary Tesla needs, and more importantly, why he’s bullish on the stock. Stick around to hear what other names Gerber likes and why China’s reopening is a major part of his bullish thesis. Recorded on Friday, February 3, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
5 Mar 202341min
Is Inflation Actually Slowing in the U.S. Now?
The U.S. Consumer Price Index report for January showed that inflation cooled off only slightly — less than most economists’ expectations. Andreas Steno Larsen dives deeper into the numbers to find out whether U.S. inflation is, in fact, retreating. He also takes a step back to look at liquidity on a global scale as the Bank of Japan picks Kazuo Ueda to become its next governor. Recorded on February 15, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
4 Mar 202327min
