Traders Watch for Weakening Signs amid Market Highs

Traders Watch for Weakening Signs amid Market Highs

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 1st, 2025
Featuring:
1) Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management, joins for an extended discussion on the outlook for yields and why there could be more bond investment in 2025. The 10-year Treasury yield declined four basis points to 4.19% in the early morning as investors increased wagers on the scale of potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year.
2) Cam Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, talks about equity all-time highs and raising the pain trade. US equity futures retreated slightly after the S&P 500 notched its best quarter since 2023, as investors monitor progress on trade talks and wrangling in Washington over President Trump’s tax bill.
3) George Goncalves, Head: US Macro Strategy MUFG Securities, Americas, talks about the outlook for US economic growth should the tax bill pass and his economic projections for 2025 as the labor market shows signs of weakening. Investors are also watching for a slew of economic data, including PMI readings and the US job openings report, ahead of Thursday’s nonfarm payrolls, and a discussion on monetary policy at the European Central Bank’s annual retreat.
4) Michael Lasser, Equity Research Analyst: Consumer Hardline Staples at UBS, explores the potential ramifications of the bill on an aggregate consumer spending level, as well as the potential impacts for each consumer subsector and individual stocks. US consumer spending declined 0.3% in May, the most since the start of the year, indicating uncertainty around the Trump administration's economic policies is weighing on growth.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a story from The Athletic on ESPN and MLB resuming broadcasting rights talks and a WSJ story on why the July 4th BBG may get more expensive.

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Episoder(4024)

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 4th, 2025

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 4th, 2025

- Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist and founder at Yardeni Research- Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist at the Mastercard Economics Institute- Lynn Martin, President at NYSE- Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former NY Fed President Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist and founder at Yardeni Research, discusses the outlook for the equity rally after President Trump's tariff deadline and his firing of the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist at the Mastercard Economics Institute, talks about the outlook for the US consumer, consumer spending, and the US economy. Lynn Martin, President at NYSE, discusses the outlook for IPOs, regulation, and crypto products. Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion columnist and former NY Fed President, discusses his Opinion column on how the Fed is currently under siege and why he believes it will come out OK.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

4 Aug 31min

Markets and a Possible September Rate Cut

Markets and a Possible September Rate Cut

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 31st, 2025Featuring:1) Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, offers her S&P target and talks about risks to the market and whether US government data can be trusted. Stocks clawed back some of last week’s steep losses as equity investors pinned their hopes on the Federal Reserve to ride to the rescue with interest-rate cuts following Friday’s dismal US jobs data.2) Kathy Jones, Chief Investment Strategist, Fixed Income at Charles Schwab, on how the bond market could punish President Trump for firing the BLS chief, or whether the warnings will go unheeded and the market will continue to rally. Treasuries pared last week’s gains, with yields on the 10-year climbing three basis points to 4.25%. The US 10-year yield had dropped 16 basis points Friday, while policy-sensitive two-year yields fell 28 basis points.3) Kara Murphy, CIO at Kestra Investment Management, brings us into the market open and talk about asset allocation and the equity outlook. Friday’s tumble on Wall Street — sparked by rising US unemployment and slower job creation — boosted bets on a Fed rate cut to support the economy. Traders rushed into Treasuries despite worries about the inflationary effect of President Trump’s tariffs, which have kept policy makers in hawkish mode.4) Sevasti Balafas, CEO at GoalVest Advisory, discusses the true risks to the market following a big week of eco moves last week and how clients are positioning.5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on graduate school and the New York Times' story on Curtis Sliwa's appearance as he runs for NYC mayor.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

4 Aug 32min

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Stephanie Roth & Michael Darda

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Stephanie Roth & Michael Darda

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Stephanie Roth & Michael Darda. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

1 Aug 5min

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 1st, 2025

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 1st, 2025

- Jamieson Greer, US Trade Representative at Office of the US Trade Representative- Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research- Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager: Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock- Tom Forte, Senior Consumer Internet Analyst at Maxim Group- Michael Collins, Exec Portfolio Advisor: Multi-Sector at PGIM Fixed Income Jamieson Greer, US Trade Representative at Office of the US Trade Representative, joins Bloomberg Television for a discussion on tariff policy and US trade as the Trump administration reaches its August 1 deadline on tariffs. Stephanie Roth, Chief Economist at Wolfe Research and Jeffrey Rosenberg, Portfolio Manager: Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund at BlackRock, and Michael Collins, Exec Portfolio Advisor: Multi-Sector at PGIM Fixed Income react to the July jobs report. Tom Forte, Senior Consumer Internet Analyst at Maxim Group, reacts to Apple earnings as Big Tech earnings wrap up.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

1 Aug 26min

Key Jobs Reading and Tariff Rates Unveiled

Key Jobs Reading and Tariff Rates Unveiled

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 30th, 2025Featuring:1) Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, Michael Darda, Chief Economist at Roth Capital, and Kristina Campmany, Senior Portfolio Manager at Invesco, react to the July jobs report. 2) Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at the Yale Budget Lab, offers his latest analysis of US tariffs. The average US tariff will rise to 15.2% if rates are implemented as announced, according to Bloomberg Economics, up from 13.3% earlier — and significantly higher than the 2.3% in 2024 before Trump took office.3) Anurag Rana, Senior Tech Analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence, wraps Amazon and Apple earnings. Amazon dropped in premarket trading after projecting weaker-than-expected operating income and trailing the sales growth of its cloud rivals, while Apple gained after a beat.4) Sebastien Page, CIO and Head of Global Multi-Asset at T. Rowe Price, joins to discuss staying in the market and asset allocation. Global stocks extended a selloff in early trading as President Trump’s sweeping import tariffs fueled concerns about the outlook for economic growth.5) Anna Wong, Chief US Economist at Bloomberg Economics, brings us into the market open and discusses her outlook for labor and the impact of US tariffs.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

1 Aug 53min

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Rich Clarida & Lael Brainard

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Rich Clarida & Lael Brainard

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Rich Clarida & Lael Brainard. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

31 Jul 5min

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 31st, 2025

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: July 31st, 2025

- Esther George, former President and CEO at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City- Jason Furman, Professor: Practice Economic Policy at Harvard Kennedy School- Walter Piecyk, Partner at Lightshed Partners- Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment and Portfolio Strategist, Americas at BlackRock Esther George, former President and CEO at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, joins to discuss Fed Chair Jay Powell's press conference yesterday and the outlook for rate cuts in 2025. Jason Furman, Professor: Practice Economic Policy at Harvard Kennedy School, joins to discuss the outlook for US growth ahead of President Trump's tariff policy deadline. Walter Piecyk, Partner at Lightshed Partners, joins to preview Apple earnings. Gargi Chaudhuri, Chief Investment and Portfolio Strategist, Americas at BlackRock, joins to talk the outlook for equities and the S&P.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

31 Jul 26min

Fed Decision and Big Tech Earnings

Fed Decision and Big Tech Earnings

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 29th, 2025Featuring:1) Lael Brainard, Senior Fellow at Harvard University and former Fed Vice Chair and former Director of the National Economic Council, talks about the Fed, rate cuts, and Fed independence. Fed Chair Jay Powell said in his press conference after the Fed held rates yesterday that the central bank needed to stay on guard against inflation risk and rejected arguments for an interest-rate cut.2) Rich Clarida, Global Economic Advisor at PIMCO, offers his reaction to yesterday's Fed decision and talks about the outlook for rate cuts and Fed independence. Fed Chair Jay Powell said the Fed is well-positioned for now, given lingering uncertainties surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariffs and their economic impact, and that a reasonable base case is that the effects on inflation could be short-lived.3) Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist at JPMorgan Investment Management, talks markets and rates ahead of tomorrow's jobs report and tariff deadline. Stocks rose in early trading as Big Tech earnings delivered on optimism around the AI boom, with Microsoft Corp. on course to become the second company to reach a $4 trillion market capitalization.4) Mark Lehmann, CEO at Citizens JMP, on growing M&A sentiment and how the AI race is playing out in San Francisco. It comes as Meta said yesterday it is increasing spending next year, with executives saying now is the time to seize on investment opportunities in artificial intelligence.5) Anurag Rana, Senior Tech Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, wraps Microsoft earnings and looks ahead to Amazon and Apple.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

31 Jul 52min

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