Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: John Stoltzfus & Jay Bryson

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with John Lipsky & Brian Belski. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

13 Mai 4min

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 13th, 2025Featuring:1) Constance Hunter, Chief Economist at EIU, Matt Miskin, Co-Chief Investment Strategist John Hancock Investment Management, and Kathy Jones, Chief Fixed Income Strategist at Charles Schwab, react to CPI. Before today's CPI reading, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq showed further gains, in spite of some investors feeling wary about the lack of detail in Monday's US-China tariff announcement and the risk of another flare-up between Beijing and Washington, with trade pressures already hitting businesses.2) Brian Belski, Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital Markets, brings us into the market open and discusses his bullish equity stance. The easing of trade tensions between the US and China gives investors hope that the US economy can avoid a recession, with traders now expecting the Federal Reserve to lower rates just twice in 2025.3) Nancy Tengler, CEO and CIO at Laffer Tengler investments, talks about the potential for renewed bullishness (or bearishness) in equities, and why she believes now is a time to turn to mid caps. Many investors are signaling the shift in trade sentiment will be enough to drive a recovery in global markets, despite some concerns. 4) John Lipsky, former managing director of the International Monetary Fund and distinguished visiting scholar at Johns Hopkins, on the US economy, global economic risks, and the Fed reversing its "red line" approach. With hopes riding high that the US economy can avoid a recession, traders now expect the Federal Reserve to lower rates just twice in 2025. 5) Brian Wieser, Principal at Madison and Wall, talks about trends as upfronts kick off for advertisers, ad spending amid economic uncertainty, and implications of Google and Apple search trial.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

13 Mai 56min

- David Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management- Tiffany Wilding, Economist at PIMCO- Monica Guerra, Head: Policy at Morgan Stanley- Skylar Montgomery-Koning, FX Strategist at BarclaysDavid Kelly, Chief Global Strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management and Tiffany Wilding, Economist at PIMCO react to CPI. Monica Guerra, Head: Policy at Morgan Stanley, discusses President Trump's tariff policy, the GOP tax bill, and other Congressional priorities ahead of the summer. Skylar Montgomery-Koning, FX Strategist at Barclays, discusses FX opportunities as President Trump continues to negotiate tariffs.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

13 Mai 24min

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Geoffrey Yu & Huw van Steenis. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

12 Mai 4min

- Scott Bessent, US Treasury Secretary- Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock- Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist at JPMorgan Investment Management- Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan StanleyUS Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent joins to discuss the US and China will temporarily lowering tariffs on each other's products and his weekend negotiations. Russ Koesterich, Portfolio Manager at BlackRock, talks about how equities are responding positively to easing tensions between the US and China on trade. Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist at JPMorgan Investment Management, talks about the global outlook for equities amid US-China trade negotiations. Seth Carpenter, Chief Global Economist at Morgan Stanley, talks about whether an agreement between the US and China on trade lessens the odds of a US recession.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

12 Mai 35min

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 12th, 2025Featuring:1) Geoffrey Yu, Senior Strategist: EMEA at BNY, talks about the market reaction to the US-China trade agreement and why the worst-case scenarios for markets are now a thing of the past. Investors rushed back into US assets, powering a 3% surge in S&P 500 futures, after China and the US agreed to cut tariffs and de-escalate their trade war.2) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Macro Strategy EMEA at Mizuho, on the "Sell America" narrative getting squeezed as the US dollar strengthens. The dollar topped a one-month high on the US-China trade talks, while gold fell more than 3% and the 10-year Treasury yield climbed five basis points to 4.42%.3) Lori Calvasina, Chief US Equity Strategist at RBC Capital Markets, joins for an extended discussion on equity relief post-US-China trade talks and whether she expects further choppiness. Every S&P 500 sector has advanced since President Trump's April 9 pause on his harshest tariffs, with gains led by information technology, industrials, and consumer discretionary segments.4) Huw van Steenis, Vice Chair at Oliver Wyman, on how international investors will re-balance their portfolios in reaction to US-China trade talks. Market breadth indicators, such as the 40-Week Technique Indicator and the S&P 500's cumulative advance-decline line, are signaling optimism and strength in the market, with some strategists boosting their allocation to stocks.5) Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, talks about why the result from Treasury Secretary Bessent's negotiations are the "best case scenario" for tech. Nvidia, Apple, Amazon, and Tesla took off in premarket trading following the announcement on trade.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

12 Mai 45min

- Peter Navarro, Senior Counselor: Trade & Manufacturing at the White House- Alicia Levine, Head: Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth- Sarah Bianchi, Senior Managing Director at Evercore ISI- Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities Peter Navarro, Senior Counselor: Trade & Manufacturing at the White House, joins for a discussion on the US_UK trade deal and other potential trade agreements. Alicia Levine, Head: Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY Wealth, discusses the outlook for the S&P 500 and equities as the US reaches a trade deal with the UK and continues negotiations with other countries. Sarah Bianchi, Senior Managing Director at Evercore ISI, talks about the latest on US trade policy. Dan Ives, Global Head: Technology at Wedbush Securities, talks Big Tech and how US giants will continue to fare through 2025.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

9 Mai 26min

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 9th, 2025Featuring:1) Sarah Ponczek, Portfolio Manager at UBS, on company paralysis and whether market sentiment is really changing after the single trade deal with the UK. Investors nvestors are focused on the outcome of the weekend trade talks between China and the US, as the Trump administration is considering a significant tariff reduction in talks with China to ease economic pain and de-escalate tensions.2) Shana Sissel, founder & CEO of Banrion Capital Management, brings us into the market open and talks about caution and opportunity in AI & tech. It comes as the S&P 500 briefly topped its April 2 high, led by economically-sensitive sectors, while Treasury yields surged as traders pared bets on interest-rate cuts.3) Joanna Gallegos, co-Founder at BondBloxx, talks about why fixed income needs to be a bigger part of investor portfolios, as long as investors are precise in their pickings, and talks about risks being signaled in the bond market. The market could be pricing in de-escalation at this weekend’s US-China talks. If there’s no such positive message, global markets could be hit hard Monday.4) Ankur Daga, CEO and founder at Angara, discusses US/India tariffs implications for the diamond market and how CEOs are strategizing amid tariff uncertainty. It comes as US Secretary Howard Lutnick mentioned a potential future tarde agreement with India, but noted that it will require a lot of work, with around 7,000 lines of tariffs to be changed or modified.5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a WSJ story on a Soviet spacecraft falling back to Earth and Bloomberg's report on Costco monthly payment plans.Eric MolloSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

9 Mai 31min