The Tides of American Politics with David Shor (Ep.19)

The Tides of American Politics with David Shor (Ep.19)

A special thank you to Ground News for supporting this week's episode. Download the Ground News app for free at https://check.ground.news/ColemanHughes to join the fight against media bias For exclusive member-only content become a CwC subscriber via https://colemanhughes.org/ Today’s guest is David Shor, a political data scientist. David worked for the Obama campaign and was described in New York Magazine as “Obama’s in-house Nate Silver”. You may know David’s name because he was fired in June, over a tweet that was widely viewed as innocent. The tweet cited research showing that riots, unlike non-violent protests, tend to move voters to the right. Although Coleman wanted to talk to David about the circumstances of his firing, due to legal reasons, David can’t talk about it publicly. This episode focuses on the basics of polling and why the polls under predicted Trump’s performance in both 2016 and 2020. Coleman also talked about David’s skepticism of the so-called ‘Shy Trump Voter Effect’, the problem of non-response bias, and what to make of the growing cultural divide between college-educated and non-college-educated voters. Coleman had a very productive disagreement about the so-called racial resentment scales, used as a tool to understand why people voted for Trump and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Episoder(254)

Rep. Ro Khanna on Progressive Capitalism, Gaza, and 2028

Rep. Ro Khanna on Progressive Capitalism, Gaza, and 2028

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10 Aug 54min

Democrats Need to Ditch ‘Loser Politics,’ with Matthew Yglesias

Democrats Need to Ditch ‘Loser Politics,’ with Matthew Yglesias

Is there a meaningful difference between a commonsense Democrat and a center-right Republican? Matthew Yglesias thinks so. But he also thinks the Democrats have spent the last decade making it harder ...

3 Aug 1h 22min

The Real Reason Americans Are So Sick, with Jillian Michaels

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27 Jul 1h 16min

The Charlie Kirk Killing and America’s Forgotten History of Left-Wing Terror

The Charlie Kirk Killing and America’s Forgotten History of Left-Wing Terror

Noah Rothman is a senior writer at National Review and author of the new book Blood & Progress, which makes the case that left-wing political violence has a long and largely forgotten history in Ameri...

20 Jul 1h 2min

In Defense of Elites, with Richard Hanania

In Defense of Elites, with Richard Hanania

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13 Jul 1h 19min

Dr. Cornel West: Is America Living Up to Its Promise?

Dr. Cornel West: Is America Living Up to Its Promise?

Dr. Cornel West is one of the most distinct voices in American public life. He’s a philosopher, theologian, and moral critic who has spent decades asking the toughest questions about America—what this...

6 Jul 1h 11min

Douglas Murray: The Iranian Regime Means What It Says

Douglas Murray: The Iranian Regime Means What It Says

Douglas Murray is back as a columnist at The Free Press, and Coleman wastes no time putting him to work. They get into the Iran deal and why Murray thinks it won’t hold. They also dig into the nature ...

25 Jun 1h 3min

Caitlin Flanagan: Why I Finally Left Los Angeles

Caitlin Flanagan: Why I Finally Left Los Angeles

Caitlin Flanagan joins the show today, now an official columnist at The Free Press. Flanagan, one of the sharpest essayists working today, spent 35 years in Los Angeles before deciding she’d had enoug...

22 Jun 1h 4min

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