Live From Mars28 Jul 2025

2026 Grammy Predictions: Kendrick Lamar, Lady Gaga, Billie Eilish & More

We’re heading into August, which means the Grammy eligibility deadline is just around the corner. On this episode of Live From Mars, I’m breaking down the state of the 2026 Grammy race across the Big Four categories: Album of the Year, Record of the Year, Song of the Year, and Best New Artist.

From frontrunners like Kendrick Lamar’s GNX and Lady Gaga’s Mayhem to under-the-radar picks like Miley Cyrus and Ravyn Lenae, I walk through who’s favored to win, who deserves to be in the conversation, and who might get snubbed. I also explain the confusing eligibility rules, talk about late entries like Sabrina Carpenter’s upcoming Man’s Best Friend, and yes — I address the Alex Warren situation.

Topics covered:

Grammy eligibility window explained
Album of the Year: Kendrick vs Gaga vs the field
Record of the Year: Why “Luther” might sweep
Song of the Year: Could Billie Eilish’s “Wildflower” surprise?
Best New Artist: Is it Rosé’s year — or will someone else break through?
My personal picks, hot takes, and what to watch for next

Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro + Grammy eligibility timing

04:20 - Album of the Year: frontrunners, dark horses, and my pick

14:44 - Record of the Year: Kendrick, Gaga, Billie, and "APT"

19:35 - The Alex Warren beef explained

21:06 - Song of the Year: “Wildflower,” “Abracadabra,” and what’s eligible

24:47 - Best New Artist: Rosé, Addison Rae, Ravyn Lenae, and more

If you're into pop music, artist narratives, or just want to sound smart come Grammy night, this one’s for you.

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