OpenAI's GPT-5 Flop, AI's Unlimited Market, China's Big Advantage, Rise in Socialism, Housing Crisis

OpenAI's GPT-5 Flop, AI's Unlimited Market, China's Big Advantage, Rise in Socialism, Housing Crisis

(0:00) Bestie intros! Gavin Baker, Ben Shapiro, and Phil Deutch join the show

(7:32) GPT-5 underwhelms, benchmark saturation, OpenAI's product excellence

(18:14) AI's TAM, ROIC, and energy implications

(27:27) China's major advantage and how the US can counter it

(43:46) Political parties picking winners, energy subsidy reversal, how the bureaucratic branch was created and how to fix it

(52:38) Socialism, OBBB impact on energy, does socialism in the US rely on Mamdani in NYC?

(1:10:00) Tariffs update: $125B+ revenue so far, India and Switzerland hit hard, Trump's ad hoc approach

(1:27:51) Nvidia chips being smuggled to China

(1:31:13) Apple's $700B in buybacks since 2015 and failing AI strategy

(1:40:09) Summer reading recommendations

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://x.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

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Referenced in the show:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-08-08/openai-s-gpt-5-met-with-mixed-reviews-confusion-in-first-day

https://www.anthropic.com/news/build-ai-in-america

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=whE75zEFBpU

https://www.census.gov/library/visualizations/time-series/demo/historic.html

https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/two-chinese-nationals-arrested-complaint-alleging-they-illegally-shipped-china-sensitive

https://www.ft.com/content/6f806f6e-61c1-4b8d-9694-90d7328a7b54

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Episoder(398)

The Trillion-Dollar Industries AI Is Disrupting: Voice, Law & the End of the Billable Hour

The Trillion-Dollar Industries AI Is Disrupting: Voice, Law & the End of the Billable Hour

(0:00) ElevenLabs' $600M ARR Ramp, 600 Employees & Life Without PMs (15:34) Celebrity Voice Deals, Deepfake Impersonation & Racing OpenAI and Anthropic (31:42) Legora's Hypergrowth, Disrupting Law Fir...

13 Jul 51min

More Trillion Dollar IPOs, Anthropic $3T, Zuck's Price War, China Ends Open Source?, Trump Accounts

More Trillion Dollar IPOs, Anthropic $3T, Zuck's Price War, China Ends Open Source?, Trump Accounts

(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner fills in for Friedberg! (2:58) OpenAI vs Anthropic IPOs: Why it matters who goes first, what they learned from the SpaceX IPO, the unlimited TAM of intelligence (27...

11 Jul 1h 42min

Open Source Wins, AGI Is Here, and Scorsese's AI Toolkit with CEOs of Cerebras & Black Forest Labs

Open Source Wins, AGI Is Here, and Scorsese's AI Toolkit with CEOs of Cerebras & Black Forest Labs

(0:00) The AI Buildout: Datacenters Bigger Than Cities (Andrew Feldman) (1:50) Reasoning, Inference, and Breaking Moore's Law (16:28) Open Source, AI Sovereignty, and the Road to AGI (40:54) The Innov...

10 Jul 1h 3min

AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom's CA Budget Lie

AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom's CA Budget Lie

(0:00) Bestie intros: Happy Fourth of July! (0:21) Palantir-Nvidia open source deal, Alex Karp's CNBC "Crashout" (33:52) Update on the AI jobs debate (50:24) Anthropic's Fable 5 available after export...

3 Jul 1h 42min

Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028

Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028

(0:00) Nate Silver joins the pod! (10:02) California's ballot counting problem: Raman's late-mail surge, ballot harvesting claims, and why the US counts slower than India (25:18) Democrats' three-way ...

29 Jun 1h

Socialists Sweep NYC, China Catches Up in Coding, AI Memory Crunch, Micron's Blowout Quarter

Socialists Sweep NYC, China Catches Up in Coding, AI Memory Crunch, Micron's Blowout Quarter

(0:00) Gavin Baker and Travis Kalanick join the show! (1:05) Mamdani-endorsed socialists sweep congressional primaries in NYC (22:51) Future of the Democratic Party, the Israel issue, social media ban...

26 Jun 1h 41min

GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen's $56B Plan to Take Over eBay

GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen's $56B Plan to Take Over eBay

(0:00) David Friedberg intros GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen! (1:56) Building and selling Chewy for $3.35B, how to compete with Amazon in e-commerce (11:58) Post-Chewy life, activist investing, the road to G...

23 Jun 1h 3min

World's First Trillionaire, Anthropic Fable Banned, The New Oligarchs, Iran Peace Deal

World's First Trillionaire, Anthropic Fable Banned, The New Oligarchs, Iran Peace Deal

(0:00) Bestie intros! (2:41) The New Oligarchs, America's incoming politburo, and learned helplessness (14:18) SpaceX's record breaking IPO, $60B Cursor acquisition, and trillionaire reactions (33:34)...

19 Jun 1h 24min

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