Repricing EVERYTHING — Gold, Bitcoin, and the Dollar

Repricing EVERYTHING — Gold, Bitcoin, and the Dollar

In this Global Macro Update, Nik walks through a massive chart pack to help decode today’s volatile macro landscape. Gold is leading the way, outpacing Bitcoin over the past 12 months and signaling a global monetary reset in motion. Nik connects the dots between soaring gold prices, weakening demand for U.S. Treasuries, and a shift away from dollar recycling as trade relationships are restructured. He analyzes Bitcoin’s technical setup, MVRV valuation, and ETF inflows, and explores how rising bond volatility and term premia are draining liquidity. Plus, new insights on the U.S. energy boom, unemployment pressures, and why the Fed may cut rates even as inflation stays tame.

Link to Bessent speech: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SRCsjVlA0VA&t=1s

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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc

Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball

Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt

Chapters:

00:00:00 Bitcoin and Gold Performance: A 12-Month Overview

00:03:01 Understanding Gold Price Movements in a Global Economy

00:05:42 The Importance of Bitcoin's Decentralization

00:08:30 Understanding Bitcoin's Realized Price and Investor Behavior

00:11:14 Bitcoin Price Drivers and Realized Price

00:13:49 Evolution of Bitcoin Volatility

00:16:36 The Impact of Bitcoin Bounce and Market Liquidity Trends

00:19:11 Understanding M2 and Asset Base Relationship

00:22:01 Changing Dynamics in US Treasury Holdings

00:24:52 Impact of US Government Spending Cuts on the Economy

00:27:42 Impact of Tariffs on Economic Growth and Inflation

00:30:18 Inflation Trends and Market Responses

00:33:12 Fed's Rate Cut Strategy and Economic Indicators

00:35:56 Impact of US Manufacturing Decline

00:38:32 Path to U.S. Fiscal Sustainability

00:41:13 Bitcoin's Growing Share in Global Equities

00:44:04 Conclusion and Farewell

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

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Episoder(305)

Bitcoin Has A 7x To Catch Gold

Bitcoin Has A 7x To Catch Gold

In this episode, Nik walks through TBL Pulse and the macro charts he watches every day, starting with why bitcoin is climbing while liquidity drains. He explains why the TBL liquidity index has fallen...

6 Okt 21min

Bitcoin Doesn’t Care About The Bond Crisis

Bitcoin Doesn’t Care About The Bond Crisis

In this episode, Nik asks how bitcoin is outperforming both gold and the dollar in the middle of a global bond crisis. He covers why rising yields, bond volatility, and a stronger dollar all point to ...

2 Okt 14min

Europe Is About To Print

Europe Is About To Print

In this Global Macro Update, Nik covers the blowout in French government bond yields against German bunds and why he sees a sovereign debt crisis developing in France. He explains why a falling euro s...

30 Sep 21min

Bitcoin’s Volatility Is Dying (And That’s Bullish)

Bitcoin’s Volatility Is Dying (And That’s Bullish)

In this Global Macro Update, Nik walks through a chart pack of more than 100 charts, starting with the bitcoin gold ratio charging back above 20 while global bond markets remain in meltdown. He shows ...

29 Sep 48min

Central Banks Have Lost Control

Central Banks Have Lost Control

In this episode, Nik welcomes back James Van Straten of CoinDesk for a conversation on the global bond meltdown and the fiscal crisis building in the United Kingdom. James explains why he thinks centr...

25 Sep 20min

The Bear Market Is Over

The Bear Market Is Over

In this episode, Nik covers bitcoin's move to $87,000 and why breaking $82,700, the post-bear-market high from May, means the bear market that defined 2026 is over. He zooms all the way into one-minut...

21 Sep 36min

Healthcare Is Eating 70% Of Federal Tax Revenue

Healthcare Is Eating 70% Of Federal Tax Revenue

In this episode, Nik welcomes Stu Lackey and Jon Gordon of SOUND HSA for a conversation on the fiscal side of American healthcare. Nik opens with the charts: almost $4 trillion of the just over $5 tri...

18 Sep 45min

What Happens If The Fed Hikes Tomorrow

What Happens If The Fed Hikes Tomorrow

In this Global Macro Update, Nik covers the global bond meltdown and what happens to Liquidity if the Fed hikes rates. He starts with bitcoin losing the trend line he had been tracking and slipping fr...

15 Sep 18min

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