America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Episoder(1936)

Bibi bump: Israel’s unrest flares

Bibi bump: Israel’s unrest flares

Protests against proposed judicial reforms have intensified. Could Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu succumb to the pressure at last? Pregnant Russians are flocking to countries with birthright citize...

27 Mar 202320min

Iraq, a hard place: 20 years after the invasion

Iraq, a hard place: 20 years after the invasion

America invaded Iraq 20 years ago this week. Today Baghdad is bustling, violence across the country is less frequent, but these gains have come at a horrific cost. India is getting a huge, essential i...

24 Mar 202322min

A bit Fed up: central banks’ dilemma

A bit Fed up: central banks’ dilemma

Central banks face a painful tradeoff: raise rates too quickly and risk banking-sector instability. Raise them too slowly and risk continued high inflation. Our correspondent travelled to Kyiv to meet...

23 Mar 202325min

Not shy and not retiring: pension reform in France

Not shy and not retiring: pension reform in France

Emmanuel Macron narrowly survived two no-confidence votes, sparked by his pushing a pension-reform package through the legislature without bringing it up for a vote. But his troubles are far from over...

22 Mar 202325min

Stopping the spread: how to fix the banks

Stopping the spread: how to fix the banks

Silicon Valley Bank. Signature Bank. Credit Suisse. The world’s banks look wobbly, leading to fears of broader economic pain. Our economics editor explains how regulators should stabilise the sector. ...

21 Mar 202323min

Bear backed: Xi heads to Moscow

Bear backed: Xi heads to Moscow

The visit of Xi Jinping, China’s president, to Moscow may seem like the solidifying of a simple, anti-Western alliance. But China is walking a delicate line to look after its own interests. A growing ...

20 Mar 202325min

Felling through the cracks: rainforests in crisis

Felling through the cracks: rainforests in crisis

The economics are clear-cut: the benefits of preserving the lungs of the world vastly outweigh those of felling trees. We travel to the Amazon and find that the problem is largely down to lawlessness ...

17 Mar 202325min

Puts Bibi in the corner: Israel’s protests

Puts Bibi in the corner: Israel’s protests

Proposed legislation that would hobble the judiciary has led to relentless demonstrations—and exposed a rift in Israeli society that has become dangerous to Binyamin Netanyahu and the country as a who...

16 Mar 202324min

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