America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Episoder(1935)

Power strip: SCOTUS’s environmental ruling

Power strip: SCOTUS’s environmental ruling

America’s Supreme Court has essentially shorn the Environmental Protection Agency of its agency in making national policy. We ask what that means for the climate-change fight. Hong Kong is marking 25 ...

1 Jul 202227min

Son rise: the Philippines’ next President Marcos

Son rise: the Philippines’ next President Marcos

It is a remarkable turnaround for a notorious family: the late dictator’s son just took the reins. But how will he govern? Scotland’s separatist party is again pushing for an independence referendum. ...

30 Jun 202222min

Uprising tide: the coming inflation-driven unrest

Uprising tide: the coming inflation-driven unrest

In a global period of belt-tightening, popular anger will spill over. Our correspondent visits places where powderkegs seem closest to being lit; our predictive model suggests where might be next. Chi...

29 Jun 202221min

A force awakens: NATO’s new game plan

A force awakens: NATO’s new game plan

War in Ukraine has stiffened the alliance’s spine; leaders meeting this week will refashion troop-deployment plans reflecting a vastly changed security situation. The property sector makes a staggerin...

28 Jun 202224min

Comings to term: America’s abortion-rights rollback

Comings to term: America’s abortion-rights rollback

The Supreme Court ruling has convulsed the country; passing the question of abortion rights to the states will divide America yet further. We ask what it means for the court to go so plainly against p...

27 Jun 202224min

Shooting from the hip: The Supreme Court expands gun rights

Shooting from the hip: The Supreme Court expands gun rights

Yesterday, America’s Supreme Court issued its most important Second Amendment ruling in more than a decade, striking down a New York law that tightly regulated concealed carrying of guns. The ruling m...

24 Jun 202225min

Pride and prejudice: China’s LGBT crackdown

Pride and prejudice: China’s LGBT crackdown

In much of the world, things are improving for sexual minorities. The opposite is true in China, where authorities are cracking down on the LGBT community. Bangladesh is suffering its worst flooding i...

23 Jun 202222min

Eastern encroaches: Ukraine’s losses in Donbas

Eastern encroaches: Ukraine’s losses in Donbas

Russia is making steady, piecemeal gains in the region; Ukrainian forces are simply outgunned. That disparity defines the war’s progression—for now. More than 20 countries have radio stations run by a...

22 Jun 202226min

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