America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Episoder(1934)

Take the first left? Colombia’s election

Take the first left? Colombia’s election

POLLS SUGGEST // Polls suggest the country might get its first-ever leftist leader. Whatever the outcome, a fresh outbreak of violent protest may await. Africa’s increasingly crippling fuel shortages ...

27 Mai 202223min

Let’s get the parties charted: the Partygate report

Let’s get the parties charted: the Partygate report

A long-awaited inquiry into lockdown gatherings on Boris Johnson’s watch reveals lurid details of brash bashes. Yet the prime minister will be able, once again, to brush off the controversy. We ask wh...

26 Mai 202225min

Active shooters, inactive politics: America’s latest school massacre

Active shooters, inactive politics: America’s latest school massacre

After 19 children and two adults were gunned down in Texas, we ask why gun laws are actually loosening in many states and why even moderate gun controls do not get passed. The rapid spread of monkeypo...

25 Mai 202223min

The city that never slips: Beijing and covid

The city that never slips: Beijing and covid

China’s Communist Party leaders have painted themselves into a corner: they cannot be seen to put the capital into lockdown, but permitting covid to spread could be catastrophic. We look into the myri...

24 Mai 202225min

Labor’s day: Australia’s election

Labor’s day: Australia’s election

Anthony Albanese, the first Labor prime minister in a decade, has pledged to do far more on climate change. His party’s slim win shows how Australian politics is changing. Bosses are increasingly turn...

23 Mai 202222min

Straight out of Orwell: Russia’s propaganda machine

Straight out of Orwell: Russia’s propaganda machine

The Kremlin’s propaganda machine ensures that Russians have a much different view of the war in Ukraine than the rest of the world. Our correspondent spent a day immersed in Russian media, to learn wh...

20 Mai 202226min

Pestilent peninsula: covid in North Korea

Pestilent peninsula: covid in North Korea

North Korea’s zero-covid strategy appears to have failed. The country has officially acknowledged 162 cases; the true number is probably orders of magnitude more. The country’s health-care system is i...

19 Mai 202224min

It’s his party: American primaries

It’s his party: American primaries

Five American states held primary elections yesterday. The most important were in Pennsylvania, where a Trump-backed candidate won the Republican gubernatorial primary. The Republican senate race rema...

18 Mai 202224min

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