America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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Episoder(1934)

Le Pen pusher: Macron wins again

Le Pen pusher: Macron wins again

Emmanuel Macron’s re-election is historic and, for many, a relief. But, as we discuss in the final instalment of our French-election series, the campaign revealed divisions that will trouble his secon...

25 Apr 202227min

Rwanda-on-Thames: Britain’s asylum proposal

Rwanda-on-Thames: Britain’s asylum proposal

BRITAIN’S GOVERNMENT has proposed sending asylum-seekers to Rwanda. The plan has been widely criticised as expensive and ineffective—but the greater danger is that the plan works. New research suggest...

22 Apr 202223min

Knocking on hell’s Dvornikov: the battle for Donbas

Knocking on hell’s Dvornikov: the battle for Donbas

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has entered a new phase, and its forces in Ukraine have a new commander—one with a history of targeting civilians. The next few weeks are likely to see huge, bloody battle...

21 Apr 202225min

Sana’a sunrise: A ceasefire in Yemen

Sana’a sunrise: A ceasefire in Yemen

In Yemen, fighting between Houthi rebels and a Saudi-led coalition has led to hundreds of thousands of deaths. Recently, a ceasefire has taken hold — but whether it presages the war’s end or further f...

20 Apr 202223min

In neither camp: Neutrality and war

In neither camp: Neutrality and war

ONE-THIRD of the world’s population lives in countries backing neither Russia nor Ukraine. The Biden administration has tried to persuade them off the fence, without much success. In Egypt, social mor...

19 Apr 202222min

Running for cover: our Ukraine-refugees special

Running for cover: our Ukraine-refugees special

The war in Ukraine has created the greatest flux of refugees in Europe since the second world war. We visit Poland, where the response has been remarkably smooth, and a New York neighbourhood that is ...

18 Apr 202227min

Girls interrupted: Afghanistan

Girls interrupted: Afghanistan

When the Taliban resumed power, there were hopes that women might not be as excluded, repressed and abused as they were previously. Those hopes have faded. As smartphone sales plateau, tech giants are...

15 Apr 202223min

Food haul: aid trickles into Tigray

Food haul: aid trickles into Tigray

A ceasefire agreed weeks ago should have mitigated the suffering of starving Ethiopians caught up in war; we ask why so little aid has got through. Rebuilding Ukraine’s infrastructure and economy will...

14 Apr 202221min

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