America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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Episoder(1934)

Vlad the in-jailer: Alexei Navalny sentenced

Vlad the in-jailer: Alexei Navalny sentenced

Alexei Navalny returned to Russia after being poisoned in an assassination attempt that many believe came from the Kremlin. He was immediately arrested, and yesterday his prison sentence was extended ...

23 Mar 202223min

Russian to judgment: Putin accused of war crimes

Russian to judgment: Putin accused of war crimes

Joe Biden, among others, has called Vladimir Putin “a war criminal.” International tribunals have tried and convicted war criminals from Rwanda and Serbia: will Russia’s president suffer the same fate...

22 Mar 202223min

Blood will out: Russian mercenaries

Blood will out: Russian mercenaries

Russian forces advancing on Kyiv have stalled. Ukraine has refused the demand to surrender Mariupol. But it’s not just Russian regular troops fighting: we look at Russia’s use of mercenaries. Lithuani...

21 Mar 202222min

Mention the war: Germany awakes

Mention the war: Germany awakes

For decades, Germany was doctrinally pacifist: a legacy left over from the second world war. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has changed that, seemingly overnight. As Russia’s military advance has stalle...

18 Mar 202226min

Shock and war: global prices rise

Shock and war: global prices rise

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has pushed global prices, which were already climbing, even higher. As America’s central bank raises its target interest rate for the first time in four years, we break do...

17 Mar 202224min

Bear hug? China’s take on Ukraine

Bear hug? China’s take on Ukraine

China appears content to let the carnage continue in Ukraine, anticipating a win for Vladimir Putin. Its real concern is avoiding an apparent win for America and the West. Never mind fears that crypto...

16 Mar 202224min

Capital accounts: on the ground in Kyiv

Capital accounts: on the ground in Kyiv

Our correspondent finds Ukraine's capital already accustomed to an eerie war footing. People are getting married and playing music, even as medicine runs out and a new volunteer army braces for fighti...

15 Mar 202224min

Abject lesson: the siege of Mariupol

Abject lesson: the siege of Mariupol

To the west, strikes near Poland have rattled NATO partners. But look to the south-east to see what Russia intends for the Ukrainian cities it encircles. Chile’s new president Gabriel Boric is just th...

14 Mar 202223min

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