America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Episoder(1930)

Press to exit: Hong Kong’s media arrests

Press to exit: Hong Kong’s media arrests

The raid of an outspoken pro-democracy newspaper, carried out under the city’s newish security law, has further spooked its media outlets. We ask what remains of press freedom. Our correspondent visit...

18 Jun 202122min

A hardline act to follow: Iran’s presidential election

A hardline act to follow: Iran’s presidential election

The supreme leader is consolidating theocratic power and ensuring a hardline legacy. Voters know they have little meaningful choice; many will simply stay home. A trial shows the life-saving power of ...

17 Jun 202121min

Present, tense: Biden and Putin meet

Present, tense: Biden and Putin meet

Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin have much to hammer out today—but don’t expect it to be genial. We examine what is on the table, and how each president will be judged. Competition in the cryptocurrency w...

16 Jun 202123min

Patrons’ taint: Brazil’s pork-barrel politics

Patrons’ taint: Brazil’s pork-barrel politics

President Jair Bolsonaro campaigned on a promise to overturn the country’s political patronage, but as his popularity has slipped he has come to need it. The latest bids to return to commercial supers...

15 Jun 202121min

Promises, promises: the G7’s fuzzy climate pledges

Promises, promises: the G7’s fuzzy climate pledges

Where they are clear, the summit’s commitments do not add much to existing targets; mostly, though, they are woefully short on detail. We pick through the pledges. Germany is facing up to a colonial-e...

14 Jun 202122min

Staying powers? The G7’s changing role

Staying powers? The G7’s changing role

For the seven world leaders meeting in Britain the immediate crises are clear. But a broader question hangs over them: how can the G7 maintain its relevance? A ruling in Britain excites a debate that ...

11 Jun 202122min

An exit wounds: America’s Afghanistan retreat

An exit wounds: America’s Afghanistan retreat

Air bases have been handed over; America’s remaining troops are shipping out and NATO forces are following suit. Can Afghanistan’s government forces hold off the Taliban? In parts of China, a playful ...

10 Jun 202121min

You don’t say: Indonesia joins Asia’s digital censorship

You don’t say: Indonesia joins Asia’s digital censorship

As governments across South-East Asia crimp online freedoms, the region’s healthiest democracy might have been expected to resist the trend. Not so. President Daniel Ortega of Nicaragua is using a new...

9 Jun 202118min

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