America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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Episoder(1929)

Another race question: murder in Atlanta

Another race question: murder in Atlanta

A shooting in the city left eight dead, six of them women of East Asian descent. We examine the past and present of anti-Asian sentiment in America. Frontex, Europe’s border-enforcement agency, is ris...

19 Mar 202119min

Forces to be reckoned with: Afghan peace talks

Forces to be reckoned with: Afghan peace talks

Negotiations in Moscow may at last forge agreement between the Afghan government and Taliban insurgents; that, in turn, would inform America’s long-promised drawdown. The International Criminal Court ...

18 Mar 202122min

Harms weigh: AstraZeneca vaccine fears

Harms weigh: AstraZeneca vaccine fears

Scattered reports of blood clots have sparked curbs across Europe, even though the jab is almost certainly safe. We take a hard look at the risks in relative terms. After Canada arrested a Huawei exec...

17 Mar 202122min

Earning them: Stripe’s monster valuation

Earning them: Stripe’s monster valuation

The firm got in early providing online-payment software to tech startups. Now it’s the most valuable Silicon Valley darling yet. We look at its future prospects. New York Governor Andrew Cuomo faces a...

16 Mar 202120min

Redrawing the map: a fragmented Syria

Redrawing the map: a fragmented Syria

As the country marks ten years of civil war, the economy is crippled; it has broken up into statelets and ethnic enclaves that may never be reunified. Violence against women is sparking a global wave ...

15 Mar 202122min

Casting the net wider: remaking the welfare state

Casting the net wider: remaking the welfare state

As the Biden administration fires a $1.9trn pandemic-relief bazooka, we consider how governments might rethink welfare: providing more-flexible benefits, investing in human capital and acting as an in...

12 Mar 202122min

Nuclear inaction: the legacy of Fukushima

Nuclear inaction: the legacy of Fukushima

The cleanup effort in and around the melted-down power plant is still progressing, but rebuilding communities—and, crucially, trust—is proving far more difficult. As Rupert Murdoch turns 90 we look at...

11 Mar 202122min

Whither permitting? Vaccine passports

Whither permitting? Vaccine passports

Formalising systems to divide the vaccinated from the unvaccinated is neither as risky nor as useful as many people think. In any case, vaccine passports are coming. On the anniversary of Tibet’s upri...

10 Mar 202118min

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