America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Episoder(1929)

Hell for Tether: a cryptocurrency crimped

Hell for Tether: a cryptocurrency crimped

The notionally dollar-pegged “stablecoin” quietly underpins many crypto-market moves. We ask what the currency issuer’s clash with New York authorities means for the wider crypto craze. In many Africa...

25 Feb 202122min

Let the games be thin: Tokyo’s Olympic tussles

Let the games be thin: Tokyo’s Olympic tussles

Planners are in a corner. Delaying or cancelling the summer tournament looks like defeat; pressing ahead looks like a danger. We take a look at the sporting chances. Britain has decarbonised faster th...

24 Feb 202121min

Confirmation biases: Biden’s cabinet picks

Confirmation biases: Biden’s cabinet picks

President Joe Biden’s top posts are shaping up as Senate confirmation hearings continue—but some controversial nominations await a vote. We look at who is on the docket. Politics in the Democratic Rep...

23 Feb 202120min

Contrary to popular opinion: Mexico’s president

Contrary to popular opinion: Mexico’s president

Andrés Manuel López Obrador roared into office with a grand “fourth transformation” agenda. Even after two years of policy failures and power-grabbing, he remains wildly popular. An eye-catching new r...

22 Feb 202119min

Have I not news for you: Facebook’s Australian battle

Have I not news for you: Facebook’s Australian battle

A media code that would obligate tech giants to pay for linking to news stories looks set to pass. In response, Facebook pre-emptively took down those links—and a whole lot more. So-called honour kill...

19 Feb 202121min

Watts the problem: Texas’s energy failings

Watts the problem: Texas’s energy failings

Crippling blackouts can be explained in part by the state’s unique energy market, but the disaster exposes wider failures that must be confronted amid a changing climate. Today’s landing of another Ma...

18 Feb 202123min

The next of 1,000 cuts: Hong Kong activists on trial

The next of 1,000 cuts: Hong Kong activists on trial

It is not violent young protesters in the dock: the accused are the architects of the territory’s democracy. Our correspondent examines the city’s descent into authoritarian rule. In Colombia, activis...

17 Feb 202120min

Desert stands: France in the Sahel

Desert stands: France in the Sahel

Terror groups and separatists run riot in the sprawling region, and France has had some success in keeping the peace. But how, and when, to draw down its troops? Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, the World Trade O...

16 Feb 202122min

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