America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Episoder(1931)

The Intelligence: Mandela’s vision, tested

The Intelligence: Mandela’s vision, tested

Thirty years of democracy have not led to uniform prosperity, and nearly everyone disagrees about the equality of opportunity. How will the disenchantment manifest at the polls? How two small Texas to...

6 Mai 202427min

The Intelligence: Our meeting with Macron

The Intelligence: Our meeting with Macron

France’s president is known for pronouncements of grand scope with one eye toward history. But when our journalists visited him at his residence his assessment of the state of the world was bleak—a da...

3 Mai 202429min

The Intelligence: The kids are alright, turns out

The Intelligence: The kids are alright, turns out

When you look around the world, and at a wider set of measures, Generation Z are far better off than the popular narrative would have you believe. We examine what India’s push to soup up its nukes mea...

2 Mai 202421min

Babbage: Teens and their screens

Babbage: Teens and their screens

Ever since there have been smartphones and social media, there have been concerns about how they might be affecting children. Over the past decade, doctors have seen a decline in mental health in the ...

1 Mai 202442min

The Intelligence: Going back to raid school

The Intelligence: Going back to raid school

A dramatic overnight raid in New York City was just one sign that protests at American universities are set to continue—a clear historical echo in an already-fraught election year. We ask why a niche ...

1 Mai 202427min

The Intelligence: Dengue’s grip on Latin America

The Intelligence: Dengue’s grip on Latin America

The dengue-fever case counts now break regional records every year—and the structural reasons behind the spike suggest this sometimes-deadly virus will soon threaten more of the world. Breaches and se...

30 Apr 202422min

The Intelligence: A civil society in waiting

The Intelligence: A civil society in waiting

The ruling military junta that seized power in a coup in 2021 is losing ground, slowly—and the rebels are now thinking about what happens if they win. We examine the structural reasons behind Britain’...

29 Apr 202422min

Checks and Balance: Aid, and a bet

Checks and Balance: Aid, and a bet

For months, a big foreign-aid deal looked like it was going nowhere in the House of Representatives. Now $95bn of support is heading out the door. How did the bill get through? What does it mean for U...

26 Apr 202448min

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