America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Episoder(1931)

The Intelligence: He said, she fled

The Intelligence: He said, she fled

All over the world, young men are identifying more with the political right, even as women drift more to the left. What is behind the gulf, and how to close it? The seeming drop in crime in Naples is ...

17 Apr 202422min

The Intelligence: The most personal choice

The Intelligence: The most personal choice

The case for assisted dying is essentially one of individual freedom—and plenty of Britons support a change in the law to permit it. Japan’s Noto peninsula is still reeling from a New Year’s Day earth...

16 Apr 202426min

The Intelligence: A region holds its breath

The Intelligence: A region holds its breath

For the first time Iran launched a huge attack on Israel from its own territory, though the effort largely failed. Israel’s response could easily lead to regional war; what is it likely to be? The fir...

15 Apr 202426min

The Intelligence: America’s deeply divided electorate

The Intelligence: America’s deeply divided electorate

We have combined polling data to make a detailed portrait of the American electorate. Have a tinker with our interactive model: plug in their age, sex, religion, and more, and let us estimate how your...

12 Apr 202427min

The Intelligence: The race to save Kharkiv

The Intelligence: The race to save Kharkiv

Since the invasion began, Ukraine's second city has suffered a third of all aerial attacks. The latest one has been especially gruelling. A census of Mexico’s missing people is likely underestimating ...

11 Apr 202424min

The Intelligence: Can Japan and America Trump-proof their alliance?

The Intelligence: Can Japan and America Trump-proof their alliance?

The leaders of both countries will meet for dinner at the White House tonight. In light of Asia’s changing geopolitics, defence will certainly be high up on the agenda. Somali pirates are wreaking hav...

10 Apr 202421min

Drum Tower: Xi’s doomed economic plan

Drum Tower: Xi’s doomed economic plan

The Economist’s editor-in-chief Zanny Minton Beddoes was recently in Beijing for the China Development Forum, an annual gathering where senior Chinese officials meet foreign business bosses.She joins ...

9 Apr 202437min

The Intelligence: Bear up

The Intelligence: Bear up

In Russia inflation is under control, wages are on the up and supposedly tough sanctions have been successfully skirted. Why is the pariah economy proving so resilient? Despite the nasty rhetoric of m...

9 Apr 202425min

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