America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Episoder(1931)

The Intelligence: Russia pushes back on Kharkiv

The Intelligence: Russia pushes back on Kharkiv

The northeastern province has been subject to more and more shelling, and Western officials are worried about Ukraine’s capacity to respond. Could there be a breakthrough? Not everyone is happy with t...

13 Mar 202423min

The Intelligence: Europe is not so hot on its green parties

The Intelligence: Europe is not so hot on its green parties

Melting ski slopes, floods and droughts are enraging the continent’s citizens, but not quite enough for them to consider voting differently. Our correspondent explains what the electorate is weighing ...

12 Mar 202424min

The Intelligence: Kim Jong Un’s fighting talk

The Intelligence: Kim Jong Un’s fighting talk

As the hermit kingdom is getting ever cosier with Russia, it is becoming bolder in its provocations of conflict with the south. Growing risks of escalation threaten not just the region, but the world....

11 Mar 202423min

The Intelligence: Haiti’s latest nightmare

The Intelligence: Haiti’s latest nightmare

Despite growing pressure from powerful local gangs, Ariel Henry, the prime minister, is refusing to step down. The state has descended into such a quagmire that he cannot even return. Can it be brough...

8 Mar 202421min

The Intelligence: Labour’s union

The Intelligence: Labour’s union

A steady 20-point lead in the polls suggests that the Labour Party could comfortably win Britain’s next election. How have they managed to gain such a broad support base? Two embarrassing blunders fro...

7 Mar 202423min

Babbage: The science that built the AI revolution—part one

Babbage: The science that built the AI revolution—part one

What is intelligence? In the middle of the 20th century, the inner workings of the human brain inspired computer scientists to build the first “thinking machines”. But how does human intelligence actu...

6 Mar 202442min

The Intelligence: A Super predictable Tuesday

The Intelligence: A Super predictable Tuesday

In a result that will surprise few, America is on track to hold a rematch of the 2020 presidential election, with Joe Biden and Donald Trump winning most of the primaries held last night. But will the...

6 Mar 202420min

The Intelligence: Modi’s battle for the south

The Intelligence: Modi’s battle for the south

The richer, more urban region does not just differ economically, but politically too. Can Mr Modi tone down the BJP’s Hindu nationalism and gain traction there? The EU has a grand plan to protect its ...

5 Mar 202424min

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