America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

For full access to print, digital and audio editions of The Economist, subscribe here www.economist.com/intelligenceoffer

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Episoder(1932)

The Intelligence: Ron down, two left

The Intelligence: Ron down, two left

He went from being the most viable challenger to Donald Trump for the Republican nomination, to endorsing him. Our US editor opines on why Ron DeSantis’ campaign fell short, and what it means for the ...

22 Jan 202424min

The Intelligence: the relentless audacity of Alexei Navalny

The Intelligence: the relentless audacity of Alexei Navalny

The ominous disappearance of Russia’s opposition leader led many to fear the worst. But he has turned up in an Arctic penal colony—his message of resistance unchanged. From Batman-themed restaurants t...

19 Jan 202425min

Money Talks: Europe’s luxury crown

Money Talks: Europe’s luxury crown

European firms dominate the global luxury landscape, accounting for two-thirds of sales and nine of the ten most valuable luxury brands. A strong emphasis on heritage and control of the supply chain h...

18 Jan 202439min

The Intelligence: The darkness before the Don

The Intelligence: The darkness before the Don

Many of America’s business leaders reckon a second Trump term would be worse for them and for the economy than the first was—not that they’re speaking up about it. We examine just how much of Ukraine’...

18 Jan 202423min

The Intelligence: Gaza’s ever-graver crisis

The Intelligence: Gaza’s ever-graver crisis

A tentative aid deal in Gaza is just a sliver of what is needed; hunger and disease may well claim more Palestinian lives this year than the military campaign will. New research suggests American plac...

17 Jan 202423min

The Intelligence: The CCP would like chips with that

The Intelligence: The CCP would like chips with that

China’s flip-flopping on video-game regulation reveals a messy message: leaders want to encourage “hard tech” such as chips and AI over the consumer kind—without sparking another costly crackdown. We ...

16 Jan 202424min

The Intelligence: Independents’ day

The Intelligence: Independents’ day

Taiwan’s election of William Lai Ching-te of the pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party is sure to annoy leaders in Beijing; we ask what to expect next. Britain’s Post Office scandal simmered f...

15 Jan 202424min

The Intelligence: Air strikes on Houthi rebels

The Intelligence: Air strikes on Houthi rebels

America and its allies delivered on a threat to retaliate against Houthi rebels in Yemen who have been targeting Red Sea ships. How far will the escalation go? We visit Iowa ahead of the first event o...

12 Jan 202426min

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