America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

America’s next top model: predicting the midterm results

Our model, built to predict the outcome of this year’s midterm elections, tips Republicans to take the House and Democrats to retain control of the Senate. The model’s architect discusses how and why he built it, and our polling guru explains why polls matter. Why there’s no nuclear-arms race in Asia—yet. And Egypt wants the Rosetta Stone back, but it’s not that simple.

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Episoder(1934)

Show and sell: Amazon v Hollywood

Show and sell: Amazon v Hollywood

The retail behemoth is splashing tremendous amounts of cash on streaming content; critics are unimpressed with the outcomes. But Amazon may have the best business model going. Statisticians in Britain...

6 Sep 202323min

Upping arms: the new three-way nuclear race

Upping arms: the new three-way nuclear race

The calculus of the cold war is back, but there are new variables in the equation—namely China’s growing arsenal. We look at how three-way deterrence could work. Two years after America’s schools reop...

5 Sep 202322min

Held fire: America’s murder rate slips

Held fire: America’s murder rate slips

The absolute numbers remain troubling but a close look at statistics reveals that, across American cities, fewer people are being killed. That democracy is good for a country’s economy is taken as ort...

4 Sep 202321min

Paranoia politics: a Tunisian lesson in demagoguery

Paranoia politics: a Tunisian lesson in demagoguery

The president is using racist hate-mongering as both a rallying tool and a distraction mechanism. It is the oldest trick in the autocrat playbook and it proving effective. Why are some Americans flock...

1 Sep 202325min

Going, going… Gabon: another African coup

Going, going… Gabon: another African coup

Putsches in Africa are becoming more common and there appears to be a trend. Are there more to come and is there any hope of restoring democracy? Lebanon’s tourism sector is bringing foreign money bac...

31 Aug 202322min

Game of drones: can Ukraine pull ahead?

Game of drones: can Ukraine pull ahead?

Three months into the counteroffensive, the military is reaping the fruits of several months of drone development. But as the war continues, will it be able to scale up its capacity and outpace Russia...

30 Aug 202325min

Teutonic plague: is Germany the sick man of Europe?

Teutonic plague: is Germany the sick man of Europe?

Owing to a host of deep-rooted economic and political challenges, it could be the only G7 economy to contract this year. How might it turn the tide? More people want flashy, bigger electric vehicles, ...

29 Aug 202324min

Going non-nuclear: East Asia’s changing families

Going non-nuclear: East Asia’s changing families

From Japan to South Korea, from China to Taiwan, family structures are becoming less traditional. More premarital cohabitation, single parenthood and two-income households are influencing demographics...

28 Aug 202329min

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