E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more

E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more

(0:00) Bestie intros! Pasty Preppers

(4:17) 2024's Biggest Political Winner

(13:37) 2024's Biggest Political Loser

(19:41) 2024's Biggest Business Winner

(32:08) 2024's Biggest Business Loser

(37:31) 2024's Biggest Business Deal

(41:15) 2024's Most Contrarian Belief

(51:18) 2024's Best-Performing Asset

(56:46) 2024's Worst-Performing Asset

(1:06:14) 2024's Most Anticipated Trend

(1:12:28) 2024's Most Anticipated Media

(1:22:28) Emotional condition heading into 2024

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://lmc.icds.ee/lennart-meri-lecture-by-fiona-hill

https://news.gallup.com/poll/512135/support-third-political-party.aspx

https://apnews.com/article/robert-kennedy-president-election-utah-ballot-863513ec2bf75d1efc9b202cb8ddcc4a

https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabia-considers-accepting-yuan-instead-of-dollars-for-chinese-oil-sales-11647351541

https://geopoliticaleconomy.com/2023/08/10/us-saudi-arabia-sell-oil-dollars-chinese-yuan

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/putin-talk-oil-uae-saudi-meet-crown-prince-mohammed-bin-salman-2023-12-06

https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=853724306532726

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/07/californias-budget-deficit-balloons-to-68b-00130624

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/28/in-grips-of-war-ukraine-faces-gloomy-demographic-future

https://razumkov.org.ua/en/articles/pension-system-can-ukrainian-pensions-be-saved

https://www.jordannews.jo/Section-20/Middle-East/Israel-won-t-be-able-to-eliminate-Hamas-US-spokesperson-33415

https://www.forbes.com/sites/rrapier/2023/08/30/us-natural-gas-production-sets-new-record-high

https://www.anduril.com/roadrunner

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480

https://twitter.com/CeciliaZin/status/1740109465918328844

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/06/business/china-car-exports.html

https://img.caixin.com//2023-04-14/168147450347265.jpg

https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/21/china/china-russia-relations-record-trade-intl-hnk/index.html

https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm

https://thehill.com/opinion/4383282-turkey-is-a-us-ally-but-should-not-be-a-trusted-one

https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/12/06/turkey-nato-membership-alliance-russia-erdogan-sweden-syria

https://apnews.com/article/nato-sweden-turkey-erdogan-stoltenberg-639d70add38ec481253729b0e451f4ea

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/12/27/biden-endgame-ukraine-00133211

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/URA:NYSEARCA

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/12/28/the-west-may-now-have-no-option-but-to-attack-iran

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt9218128

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt13016388

https://www.imdb.com/title/tt11198330

https://www.amazon.com/Founders-Paypal-Entrepreneurs-Shaped-Silicon/dp/1501197266

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Episoder(401)

Mark Cuban on the AI Bubble: Who Actually Gets Wiped Out?

Mark Cuban on the AI Bubble: Who Actually Gets Wiped Out?

(0:00) Bubble talk: Comparing today's AI market to the dot-com bubble (7:50) AI's real-world limits: why enterprise AI is harder than expected (16:38) Transitioning to an AI-First Workspace (21:26) He...

20 Jul 0s

Can the AI Industry Regulate Itself? Stripe Wants PayPal, China Catches Up, NY Bans Datacenters

Can the AI Industry Regulate Itself? Stripe Wants PayPal, China Catches Up, NY Bans Datacenters

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:32) New AI regulatory proposal: DeepMind's Demis Hassabis proposes FINRA-type body (20:01) Stripe, Block, and Advent offer $53B to acquire PayPal (37:51) Apple sues OpenAI, al...

18 Jul 1h 29min

Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding

Former Intel CEO on What Went Wrong, What's Next + Lovable CEO on the Real Promise of Vibe Coding

(0:00) Former Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger joins Jason! (1:41) What Went Wrong at Intel (15:19) Why a Taiwan Blockade Would Cripple the US Economy (25:00) Lovable's Anton Osika: One Million New Apps a Week...

15 Jul 49min

The Trillion-Dollar Industries AI Is Disrupting: Voice, Law & the End of the Billable Hour

The Trillion-Dollar Industries AI Is Disrupting: Voice, Law & the End of the Billable Hour

(0:00) ElevenLabs' $600M ARR Ramp, 600 Employees & Life Without PMs (15:34) Celebrity Voice Deals, Deepfake Impersonation & Racing OpenAI and Anthropic (31:42) Legora's Hypergrowth, Disrupting Law Fir...

13 Jul 51min

More Trillion Dollar IPOs, Anthropic $3T, Zuck's Price War, China Ends Open Source?, Trump Accounts

More Trillion Dollar IPOs, Anthropic $3T, Zuck's Price War, China Ends Open Source?, Trump Accounts

(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner fills in for Friedberg! (2:58) OpenAI vs Anthropic IPOs: Why it matters who goes first, what they learned from the SpaceX IPO, the unlimited TAM of intelligence (27...

11 Jul 1h 42min

Open Source Wins, AGI Is Here, and Scorsese's AI Toolkit with CEOs of Cerebras & Black Forest Labs

Open Source Wins, AGI Is Here, and Scorsese's AI Toolkit with CEOs of Cerebras & Black Forest Labs

(0:00) The AI Buildout: Datacenters Bigger Than Cities (Andrew Feldman) (1:50) Reasoning, Inference, and Breaking Moore's Law (16:28) Open Source, AI Sovereignty, and the Road to AGI (40:54) The Innov...

10 Jul 1h 3min

AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom's CA Budget Lie

AI Sovereignty Wars, Palantir-Nvidia Deal, SCOTUS Birthright Ruling, Newsom's CA Budget Lie

(0:00) Bestie intros: Happy Fourth of July! (0:21) Palantir-Nvidia open source deal, Alex Karp's CNBC "Crashout" (33:52) Update on the AI jobs debate (50:24) Anthropic's Fable 5 available after export...

3 Jul 1h 42min

Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028

Nate Silver Predicts: Democrats Take the House, Newsom Is Fading & AOC Might Win It All in 2028

(0:00) Nate Silver joins the pod! (10:02) California's ballot counting problem: Raman's late-mail surge, ballot harvesting claims, and why the US counts slower than India (25:18) Democrats' three-way ...

29 Jun 1h

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