Top Traders Unplugged4 Okt 2025

SI368: Valuation Has Left the Room ft. Cem Karsan & Alan Dunne

Cem Karsan joins Alan Dunne to chart a market running on more than just momentum. Beneath the surface: a structural liquidity engine, political incentives aligned with asset reflation, and a surge in non-correlated flows reshaping risk itself. As institutions scramble to catch up and volatility begins to rise with price, Cem draws on lessons from the late 90s to explain why the real story is not about valuation - but positioning. From AI’s misunderstood impact to the growing role of options, gold, and crypto, this is a portrait of a regime defined not by fundamentals, but by reflex and constraint.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:23 - What has been on our radar recently?

02:00 - Industry performance update

03:07 - Are current valuations a sign of a bubble?

12:13 - The importance of reflexivity

18:59 - The move towards non correlation is upon us

22:55 - What is driving up asset prices?

26:34 - When will the supply/demand imbalance normalize?

31:56 - Reaching an uncontrollable situation

35:47 - What are markets showing us about options?

39:38 - Precious metals is the place to be

42:26 - Is AI actually the game changer that we all expect it to be?

52:07 - Will better technology = better performance?

56:03 - A timeline for possible risk dates

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In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

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Disclaimer

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