Why the Price of Money Surged in the Last Six Years
Odd Lots9 Okt 2025

Why the Price of Money Surged in the Last Six Years

What changed between 2019 and 2025? Why are interest rates so much higher? Why does it seem virtually unfathomable that the Fed will return to ZIRP anytime soon? Why do investors expect this rate cut cycle to be so shallow? The answer, theoretically, is that the neutral rate of interest has gone up. But what is the neutral rate of interest, and why has it moved? On this episode, we speak with Jamie Rush of Bloomberg Economics and Tom Orlik, the Chief Economist at Bloomberg Economics. They, along with Bloomberg's Stephanie Flanders, are the editors of a new book titled The Price of Money: A Guide to the Past, Present, and Future of the Natural Rate of Interest, in which they attempt to directly identify what the neutral rate of interest actually is. We discuss the big changes over the last several years, including deglobalization, demographics, and datacenters, that are pushing this number higher.

Listen to our sister show Trumponomics: Trump Isn’t the Only Reason the Price of Money Is Rising
Read more:
Trump’s Contradiction: Demanding Steep Rate Cuts for a ‘Booming’ Economy
Fed Set to Drive Global Rate Cuts as Europe Shifts to Pause

Only http://Bloomberg.com subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox each week, plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Episoder(1189)

Alison Roman's Plan to Conquer the Tomato Sauce Market

Alison Roman's Plan to Conquer the Tomato Sauce Market

Alison Roman is a cult figure in the world of food media. She's written multiple hit cookbooks and several of her recipes have gone viral. And her newsletter is incredibly popular. Now, she's putting ...

23 Feb 53min

Jamee Moudud on the Intellectual Roots of Zohranomics

Jamee Moudud on the Intellectual Roots of Zohranomics

NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani has certain ideas that make mainstream economists' head explode. Anything in the ballpark of rent control, specifically, is widely derided by defenders of the orthodoxy. But h...

21 Feb 55min

A16Z's David George on How Private and Public Markets Fused Into One

A16Z's David George on How Private and Public Markets Fused Into One

This year could be a big one for IPOs. From Anthropic to SpaceX to OpenAI, we could see some gigantic companies hit the public market. But of course, the big story is that big, thriving companies feel...

20 Feb 48min

Jared Sleeper on Which Software Companies Will Survive the "SaaSpocalypse"

Jared Sleeper on Which Software Companies Will Survive the "SaaSpocalypse"

The start of the year has been an absolutely brutal one for software companies. There’s a big fear that the rise of AI and advanced coding models will pull the rug out from this industry. But even bef...

19 Feb 49min

Ray Wang on How AI Is Causing DRAM Prices to Surge

Ray Wang on How AI Is Causing DRAM Prices to Surge

For years, DRAM -- or Dynamic Random Access Memory -- was kind of a sleepy, commoditized aspect of chip industry. Growth was steady, but modest, and prices just generally drifted lower. Suddenly all t...

16 Feb 45min

The Sixth Bureau, Episode 1: Your Friend From Nanjing

The Sixth Bureau, Episode 1: Your Friend From Nanjing

It’s an open secret that the Chinese government has engaged in a global campaign to acquire intellectual property from foreign rivals. At the center of that campaign is the Ministry of State Security,...

15 Feb 12min

Why Adam Posen Thinks Inflation Will Surge Back to 4%

Why Adam Posen Thinks Inflation Will Surge Back to 4%

The future is always tough to predict, but generally when it comes to inflation, a lot of the debate is about how long it will take the Federal Reserve to get back to its 2% target. In other words, pe...

13 Feb 56min

New CFTC Chairman Michael Selig on How to Regulate Prediction Markets

New CFTC Chairman Michael Selig on How to Regulate Prediction Markets

We are rapidly entering a world in which there are odds on virtually everything. During the recent Super Bowl, the big prediction market platforms didn't just offer bets on the game itself, but also o...

12 Feb 49min

Populært innen Business og økonomi

lydartikler-fra-aftenposten
stopp-verden
dine-penger-pengeradet
rss-penger-polser-og-politikk
e24-podden
rss-borsmorgen-okonominyhetene
pengepodden-2
livet-pa-veien-med-jan-erik-larssen
pengesnakk
finansredaksjonen
tid-er-penger-en-podcast-med-peter-warren
stormkast-med-valebrokk-stordalen
utbytte
morgenkaffen-med-finansavisen
liberal-halvtime
rss-sunn-okonomi
lederpodden
rss-markedspuls-2
rss-pa-konto
rss-investering-gjort-enkelt