Second Breakfast: Xi-Trump, Taiwan Deterrence, Tibetan Buddhism, Antietam
ChinaTalk30 Okt 2025

Second Breakfast: Xi-Trump, Taiwan Deterrence, Tibetan Buddhism, Antietam

Featuring the Kirsten and Charlotte Asdal alongside Tony (https://www.breakingbeijing.com/) Eric Robinson, Justin (https://justinmc.substack.com/) and myself Chapters 02:55 US-China Relations: Punctuated Decoupling 05:52 Woo Trump didn't sell out Taiwan! But what if he did? 08:21 Xi Jinping's Confidence and Military Calculations 24:12 Blockades 28:54 Innovation vs. Production in Defense Technology 43:08 Book Recommendations and Cultural Reflections 44:57 Game of the Week: Historical Insights Outtro music: suno' s version of bad bunny singing about antietam. I promise I won't do this for every episode outtro until the AI gets better. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Episoder(512)

The Future of Secure Telecom

The Future of Secure Telecom

In the wake of Salt Typhoon, what does the future of secure telecom look like? To find out, ChinaTalk interviewed John Doyle, a former Green Beret who spent a decade building Palantir’s national secu...

25 Nov 202559min

Transistor Radio: OpenAI Loses the Mandate, Railroad Bubble = AI Bubble

Transistor Radio: OpenAI Loses the Mandate, Railroad Bubble = AI Bubble

Doug, Dylan, and Wei of SemiAnalysis join me (Jon was sleeping at 5AM taiwan time...) for a pre-holiday get together. 01:00 AI Mandate--OpenAI slipping 19:03 Dylan sells TSMC on AI better than sama ...

25 Nov 202550min

Second Breakfast: Witkoff and Putin's Peace Deal

Second Breakfast: Witkoff and Putin's Peace Deal

Eric Robinson, Justin Mc, Tony Stark and I talk China's sushi ban, Witkoff's peace plan, Jake Sullivan, William Manchester's absurd memoir Here's the full text of the peace plan: https://www.axios.co...

21 Nov 202559min

The Z.ai Playbook

The Z.ai Playbook

Zixuan Li is Director of Product and genAI Strategy at Z.ai (also known as Zhipu 智谱 AI). The release of their benchmark-topping flagship model, GLM 4.5, was akin to “another DeepSeek moment,” in the w...

21 Nov 20251h 16min

Jake Sullivan on Playing the Long Game

Jake Sullivan on Playing the Long Game

After five long years since ⁠his last ChinaTalk appearance⁠, Jake Sullivan returns to the show! We discuss… Sullivan’s experience managing crises, implementing grand strategy, and cultivating lea...

18 Nov 20251h 10min

Second Breakfast: Acquisition Reform? Are We Really Doing It?

Second Breakfast: Acquisition Reform? Are We Really Doing It?

Justin and Eric cohost with Pete Modigliani and Matt McGregor, coauthors of the Defense Tech and Acquisition substack (https://defenseacquisition.substack.com/). Chapters 16:24 The Future of Defense...

15 Nov 20251h 4min

Overfit: AI Lovers, Chinese Model Takeover, Vice Signalling, Hefei Model

Overfit: AI Lovers, Chinese Model Takeover, Vice Signalling, Hefei Model

Jasmine Sun (https://jasmi.news/), Nathan Lambert (https://www.interconnects.ai/), and special guest Afra Wang (https://afraw.substack.com/). Our article on 'China makes AI girlfriends and America m...

11 Nov 202559min

Second Breakfast: Colby's Pigpen, Counter-UAS, Training, Eat like a Trumper (or Iranian Spy?)

Second Breakfast: Colby's Pigpen, Counter-UAS, Training, Eat like a Trumper (or Iranian Spy?)

we cooked better than cafe milano 00:00 Colby's trainwreck of a hearing + right wing DC food 16:42 Countering Drones 35:32 How to train seriously Guests include: Tony Stark, Army vet who write...

7 Nov 20251h 5min

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