In Moscow's Shadows 59: Imagining a Ukrainian peace deal
It may well be, as US/UK leaders are saying, that it is too late, that Putin is determined to wage war on Ukraine, but even as we assiduously wargame the potential routes of advance and attack, we sho...
20 Feb 202231min
In Moscow's Shadows 58: Ukrainian thoughts, welcome to stagnation, and more 2022 predictions
With Schrodinger's War both imminent and unthinkable there is, to be blunt, only so much that can usefully be said about Russia and Ukraine. I start with a few observations on whether insiders are try...
14 Feb 202232min
In Moscow's Shadows 57: Who's Trapping Whom on Ukraine, and some 2022 Predictions for Russia
I spin a post on the Nezygar Telegram channel out to explore the current uncertain state of play over Ukraine, covering topics from the current US claims of what its intelligence says about both Zelen...
30 Jan 202252min
Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas 2021-22 (6): A Christmas Scandal
One of the short bonuses provided to Patrons over the 2021-22 Christmas and New Year season, released generally a month later. A Christmas tale of villainy and corruption. There are all kinds of rumo...
28 Jan 202211min
Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas: 24 December 2021: Dmitry Mironov
One of the short bonuses provided to Patrons over the 2021-22 Christmas and New Year season, released generally a month later. Who is Lt. Gen. Dmitry Mironov? It may prove worth knowing about this bo...
24 Jan 202213min
In Moscow's Shadows 56: Jaw-Jaw so Far, not War-War (brief thoughts on the state of play)
After the Blinken-Lavrov talks, a brief one-segment podcast with a few thoughts on the current state of the dialogue, the risks of conflict, and the chances that Moscow will formally recognise the Don...
22 Jan 202222min
Twelve Days of Shadowy Christmas 2021-22 (7): Russia’s Planet Business in 2022
One of the short bonuses provided to Patrons over the 2021-22 Christmas and New Year season, released later: usually a month, in this case a fortnight, as I think it's worth hearing early in the year!...
12 Jan 202214min
In Moscow's Shadows 55: Kazakhstan, through the Russian lens
A Russian-led force deploying into Kazakhstan has inevitably had some people talking invasion, some stabilisation. I make no claims to being a Kazakhstan expert and look forward to people who are havi...
9 Jan 202239min
