Hyun Song Shin on How Big the Yen Carry Trade Really Is
Remember August 5th? That was the day that markets around the world plunged in historic fashion and everyone became an overnight expert on the yen carry trade. But what really is the yen carry trade? ...
29 Aug 202438min
A New Way for the Fed to Fight a Market Crisis
When the Treasury market broke in March 2020, the Federal Reserve intervened in extraordinary fashion. It purchased more than $1 trillion worth of Treasury securities in that month alone. Superficiall...
28 Aug 202434min
This Is What The Rate Cut Cycle Could Look Like
At Jackson Hole, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell gave a clear signal that the rate cut cycle is likely to start in September. But of course that just opens more questions. Will it be a 25bps cut? Will it b...
27 Aug 202426min
What It’s Like to Be a Fed President at Jackson Hole
This year’s Economic Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming marked a big change for US monetary policy, with Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell telegraphing the first rate cuts in potentially two year...
26 Aug 202435min
Lots More on What We Just Learned at Jackson Hole
Every year, the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City hosts an economic symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. It’s a chance for central bankers and other policymakers to talk about issues facing the globa...
23 Aug 202420min
The Hottest Way for Banks to Get Risk Off Their Balance Sheets
Synthetic risk transfers, in which banks purchase insurance-like protection on some of their loans, is a growing market on Wall Street, with billions worth of deals made in the US last year. But of co...
22 Aug 202452min
Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova on the Art of Election Betting
Political prediction markets — where traders can make bets on election outcomes — have been around for years. But in this cycle in particular, we've seen an explosion of interest, with people constant...
19 Aug 202444min
Lots More With Claudia Sahm on What the Sahm Rule Is Saying Now
The Federal Reserve appears to be ready to pivot into rate cutting mode. Inflation has come down significantly, and the unemployment rate has been trending upward for most of the year. In fact, in the...
16 Aug 202425min
