GMS Weekly Podcast | Week 44 Ship Recycling Market Recap: “Halloween November?” Global Tonnage Tumbles, Currencies Slide, and Sentiment Sinks

In this Week 44 edition of the GMS Weekly Podcast, the global ship recycling industry closes October on a haunting note as weak fundamentals, volatile currencies, and scarce tonnage continue to shadow the sub-continent markets. From India and Bangladesh to Pakistan and Turkey, sentiment stays fragile while inflation trends, oil movements, and new HKC developments keep recyclers on edge.

Global Market Overview October ended with more tricks than treats. The Baltic Dry Index slipped 1.3 percent week-on-week and nearly 8 percent for the month, marking its first monthly drop since April. Oil eased almost 1 percent to around USD 60.67 per barrel as OPEC+ announced fresh Q1 2026 cutbacks. A temporary U.S.–China trade truce brought brief relief, but volatility and policy uncertainty persist.

Limited vessel supply kept yards mostly idle, with buyers hesitant to commit amid falling plate prices and a widening two-tier market for sanctioned ships.

Bangladesh Chattogram showed faint sparks as a few hungry recyclers chased prompt deals, but domestic steel demand failed to ignite. Local plate levels slipped USD 3 to USD 529.50 per ton, and the taka weakened to BDT 122.37 per USD. HKC certifications continue to climb, with 21 yards expected to be approved by year-end, a bright spot in an otherwise subdued market.

India Alang faced another quiet stretch as the rupee dropped 1.25 percent to INR 88.70. Steel prices ended flat, while discounted sanctioned vessels pushed legitimate bids lower, unsettling buyers and widening the pricing gap. Inflation remains low at 1.54 percent, hinting at potential relief through cheaper financing if confidence returns.

Pakistan Gadani recyclers endured renewed “imports ire.” Cheap Iranian steel and a lack of HKC-compliant yards kept activity muted despite plate values roughly USD 230 above India’s. The PKR closed at 283.17 per USD as margins tightened and sentiment weakened.

Turkey Aliaga continued to face a supply pinch. Local recyclers raised offers slightly to attract owners, but the lira slid to TRY 42.06 and inflation rose above 33 percent. With few vessels arriving, operational pressure remains heavy.

Market Sentiment As we sail into November, recyclers confront familiar headwinds: weak demand, currency stress, HKC uncertainty, and a vanishing pipeline of ships. Whether markets rebound or remain haunted will define the rest of 2025.

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