Expectations Investing Part 2: General Motors to Nvidia
What does an investor have to believe for today’s share price to make sense? Ricky Mulvey and Asit Sharma continue their conversation about Expectations Investing, applying the framework to four companies with different growth outlooks. They discuss: - Value drivers for a mature automaker. - A high-growth payment processing company experiencing a narrative shift. - If Nvidia can maintain its moat over the long-term. Companies discussed: GM, CP, ADYEY, NVDA Host: Ricky Mulvey Guest: Asit Sharma Engineer: Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
9 Sep 202332min
Disney’s Lost Decade and Next Act
The market’s had a surprisingly strong 2023, but investors might be eying easy low-risk yields elsewhere. Jason Moser and Matt Argersinger discuss: - (00:21) How some investors might be tempted to move out of stocks given the yields elsewhere - (9:41) The latest with Disney – its standoff with Charter, plans to take full ownership of Hulu, and what investors should make of its lost decade - (19:11) NYC’s “de facto ban” for Airbnb, what it means for the company and says about the state of housing and short-term rentals. (31:44) Jason and Matt break down two stocks on their radar: Hershey and Masimo. Stocks discussed: DIS, NFLX, ABNB, UBER Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Matt Argersinger, Jason Moser Engineer: Dan Boyd Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
8 Sep 202339min
Expectations Investing Part 1
How can you use a company’s stock price to give you a window into the future? (00:21) Bill Barker and Deidre Woollard discuss: - Reasons for skepticism when it comes to AI hype. - How long a leash unprofitable software companies may have. - If being located in SIlicon Valley is still an advantage for tech companies. (18:20) Asit Sharma and Ricky Mulvey break down the basics of expectations investing and give a framework for applying it to individual companies. Companies discussed: PATH, AI, ASAN, NVDA Host: Deidre Woollard Guests: Ricky Mulvey, Bill Barker, Asit Sharma Producer:Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Dan Boyd, Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
7 Sep 202332min
Airbnb Leaves NYC, Joins S&P 500
New York City cracked down on short-term rentals, but is it a big deal for Airbnb? (00:21) Ricky Mulvey and Jason Moser discuss: - How restrictions on short-term rentals could impact Airbnb’s growth story. - Why investors are sour about AMC’s new share issuance. - One company managing its share count well. Plus, (15:20) Deidre Woollard interviews Oliver Franklin-Wallis, author of “Wasteland: The Dirty Truth About What We Throw Away, Where It Goes, And Why It Matters”. Companies discussed: ABNB, EXPE, AMC, LOW Hosts: Ricky Mulvey, Deidre Woollard Guests: Jason Moser, Oliver Franklin-Wallis Engineers: Dan Boyd, Tim Sparks Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
6 Sep 202327min
Cable Takes on The Mouse
If you can’t watch ESPN right now, it’s because one cable company is taking a stand against Disney. (00:21) Ricky Mulvey and Jim Gillies discuss: - Charter Communications’ problem with the streaming economy. - DoorDash’s battle with restaurants over pricing. - Why investors may want to look at Canadian banks. Plus, (17:52) Deidre Woollard and Robert Brokamp check in on the bond market, and how investors can benefit from higher rates. Companies discussed: CHRT, DIS, DASH Host: Ricky Mulvey Guests: Jim Gillies, Deidre Woollard, Robert Brokamp Engineers: Dan Boyd, Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
5 Sep 202330min
Stadium Sponsors – Buy or Sell?
NFL Football is back this week, should you be keeping an eye on the companies plastered on the side of stadiums? (00:41) Ricky Mulvey and Dylan Lewis discuss: - Why stadium sponsors generally don’t outperform their peers or the market. - When major sponsorships do and don’t make sense as part of a marketing budget. - Monster Energy’s brilliance in focusing on extreme sports. Companies discussed: F, PG, PAYC, MNST, ALGT, LUMN, MET, SOFI, AAPL, GOOG, GOOGL Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Ricky Mulvey Engineers: Tim Sparks Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
3 Sep 202323min
A Homebuyer's Dilemma Might Be A Homebuilder's Delight
Existing home sales are down around 20% year over year for two reasons: mortgage rates are too high and there aren't enough homes for sale. Matt Argersinger and Deidre Woollard discuss: - The current situation of home sales and what could change it. - Why homebuilders are in a good position right now. - If renting will become permanent for more Americans and which companies might benefit. Host: Deidre Woollard Guest: Matt Argersinger Producer: Ricky Mulvey Engineer: Rick Engdahl Companies discussed: NVR, INVH, TOL, LEN, MAA, AVB Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
2 Sep 202326min
Different Customers, Different Retail Results
The outlook for major retailers depends a lot on whether their core customers are feeling the pinch. (00:38) Jason Moser and Bill Mann discuss: - Troubling signs on consumer savings rates dropping and more people dipping into their 401ks. - How the consumer crunch is affecting retailers like Dollar General, Big Lots, Five Below and Chewy.. - Why Lululemon is bucking the trend, and Salesforce is cruising despite tighter budgets in enterprise software too. (19:06) Certified Financial Planner Matt Frankel talks about how student loan borrowers can prepare for payments to begin again in October and the new programs in place to help borrowers. - You can find the Department of Education’s website and resources here. - And here’s the White House’s fact sheet on the SAVE plan (30:34) Jason and Bill break down two stocks on their radar: TakeTwo Interactive and Samsara. Stocks discussed: DG, BIG, FIVE, CHWY, LULU, CRM, TTWO, IOT Host: Dylan Lewis Guests: Bill MAnn, Jason Moser Engineer: Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
1 Sep 202339min
