#24 - Samo Burja - How to Prevent Civilizational Collapse

#24 - Samo Burja - How to Prevent Civilizational Collapse

Why did Rome fall? What can we learn from past civilization collapses to protect our own? How do we fix our Institutions? In this Win-Win episode I speak to Samo Burja - a leading geopolitical analyst and founder of the intelligence brief Bismarck Analysis.

Samo is a prolific writer on nature of power, leadership, bureaucracy and governance. If you're worried about the health of our institutions and sense-making, this is the episode for you.


Chapters

00:00:00 - Intro

00:01:40 - Common Themes of Historical Civilizations

00:05:13 - Loss of Knowledge

00:13:38 - Impact of Demographic Collapse

00:17:06 - Indigenous Knowledge Loss

00:21:13 - Role of Institutions

00:24:01 - The Succession Problem & Knowledge Loss

00:38:34 - Bureaucracy and Goodhart's Law

00:45:52 - Democracy and Monarchy

00:50:44 - Sensemaking & AI

01:07:13 - Building New Civilizational Games

01:23:27 - Great Founder Theory

01:33:34 - What Makes a Great Founder?

01:38:53 - How to Avoid Getting Drunk on Power

01:44:50 - Democratization of Technology & Vulnerable Worlds

01:53:52 - Geopolitical Predictions


Links

♾️ Bismarck Brief https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/

♾️ Samo's Website https://samoburja.com/

♾️ Samo's Youtube https://www.youtube.com/@UC4QYBbgLkGaULStiC5yc_1Q


Credits

♾️ Hosted by Liv Boeree

♾️ Produced by Raymond Wei

♾️ Edit and Audio Mix by Ryan Kessler


The Win-Win Podcast:

Poker champion Liv Boeree takes to the interview chair to tease apart the complexities of one of the most fundamental parts of human nature: competition. Liv is joined by top philosophers, gamers, artists, technologists, CEOs, scientists, athletes and more to understand how competition manifests in their world, and how to change seemingly win-lose games into Win-Wins.


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Episoder(57)

#55 - Dean Ball x Daniel Kokotajlo Anti-Debate - Should GOVERNMENTS or MARKETS control AI?

#55 - Dean Ball x Daniel Kokotajlo Anti-Debate - Should GOVERNMENTS or MARKETS control AI?

Advanced AI is coming. Is it time for the government to step in and regulate? Or is it better in the hands of the market and tech CEOs? Or is there a more nuanced way to think about this topic entirel...

1 Apr 1h 25min

#54 - Greg Lukianoff - Free Speech in the Age of AI

#54 - Greg Lukianoff - Free Speech in the Age of AI

Free speech is often treated as a political issue. But what if it’s the foundational technology that makes peaceful civilization possible in the first place?I sat down with Greg Lukianoff — free speec...

11 Mar 1h 3min

#53 - John Schultz - Why Google Made ChatGPT, Gemini & Claude Play 900,000 hands of Poker...

#53 - John Schultz - Why Google Made ChatGPT, Gemini & Claude Play 900,000 hands of Poker...

Which LLM is best at POKER? What about the social deception game Werewolf? This week I'm collaborating with ⁠ @googledeepmind ⁠ and ⁠ @kaggle ⁠ to explain their new “AI Game Arena” project, designed t...

6 Feb 35min

#52 - Will MacAskill - What Comes AFTER Superintelligence?

#52 - Will MacAskill - What Comes AFTER Superintelligence?

Superintelligence is predicted to arrive within a decade. If that's true, then what comes AFTER? And how can we prepare for it?Which is why I sat down with one of the few people actively thinking abou...

27 Jan 1h 29min

#51 - Tyler Cowen - Markets, Institutions and Why AI Hype is (Probably) Overblown

#51 - Tyler Cowen - Markets, Institutions and Why AI Hype is (Probably) Overblown

What if the biggest risk from AI isn’t superintelligence gone rogue, but the inflexibility of our human institutions?My guest today, Tyler Cowen, thinks so. Tyler is a professor at George Mason univer...

12 Jan 1h 52min

#50 - Samantha Sweetwater - Why Indigenous Wisdom Is Important In The AI Age

#50 - Samantha Sweetwater - Why Indigenous Wisdom Is Important In The AI Age

What if the purpose of life is to find ways of harmonizing the forces of nature, including the nature of ourselves?My guest this week thinks so. I sat down with systems thinker and "True Human" author...

17 Des 20252h 11min

#49 - British Politician Katie Lam - Defeating Grooming Gangs, Stagnation & Safetyism

#49 - British Politician Katie Lam - Defeating Grooming Gangs, Stagnation & Safetyism

Britain was once a beacon of liberty, and the birthplace of the industrial revolution. So why is its economy floundering, while the USA is surging? Has a culture of extreme bureaucracy turned the form...

25 Nov 20252h 20min

#48 - Jim Rutt - Why Capitalism Is Now A Game of Mind Control

#48 - Jim Rutt - Why Capitalism Is Now A Game of Mind Control

Capitalism has historically been our biggest blessing. But what if it's now turning into our biggest curse? Is it time to change the game?My guest today believes so. Jim Rutt is an early internet pion...

8 Okt 20252h 30min

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