All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intro! (1:15) Macro picture update: 0.25% raise, jobs rip up, wage growth continues to slow (17:52) Interest rates impact on mega-cap company creation (33:58) Mass extinction event coming to startups, reckoning for VCs, venture debt issues (1:02:33) Adani's potential fraud, role of short sellers Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2023/02/03/january-jobs-labor-market https://www.wsj.com/articles/fed-approves-quarter-point-rate-hike-signals-more-increaseslikely-11675278190 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://www.ustreasuryyieldcurve.com https://www.amazon.com/Intelligent-Investor-Definitive-Investing-Essentials/dp/0060555661 https://chamathreads.substack.com/p/higher-rates-will-lead-to-the-next https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://medium.com/@alt.cap/time-to-get-fit-an-open-letter-from-altimeter-to-mark-zuckerberg-and-the-meta-board-of-392d94e80a18 https://www.freightwaves.com/news/fedex-to-cut-global-officer-director-workforce-by-at-least-10 https://www.theverge.com/2023/1/27/23574322/zuckerberg-puts-metas-middle-managers-on-notice https://twitter.com/tomloverro/status/1620466827519496194 https://twitter.com/msuster/status/1620653106387386368 https://twitter.com/gradypb/status/1620937502248034304 https://www.axios.com/2023/02/01/david-cahn-leaves-coatue-for-sequoia-capital https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADANIENT:NSE?window=1Y https://hindenburgresearch.com/adani https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-30/most-adani-stocks-drop-as-rebuttal-draws-hindenburg-response https://www.sec.gov/rules/proposed/2022/34-94313.pdf https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2023/03/wall-street-muddy-waters-activist-short-sellers-tesla-gamestop/672774

4 Feb 20231h 12min

(0:00) David Sacks does bestie intros! (2:49) DOJ sues Google over ads business (23:09) EU probes Microsoft over Slack complaint based on "bundling" Teams (40:27) Pfizer CEO grilled at Davos, studies questioning vaccine effectiveness (1:12:14) Ukraine escalation: US to send tanks and warms to Crimea invasion, reconstruction costs, and more (1:22:39) Science Corner: Will we soon be able to reverse aging? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://thebulletin.org/2023/01/press-release-doomsday-clock-set-at-90-seconds-to-midnight https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/24/us/doomsday-clock-midnight.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-sues-google-for-alleged-antitrust-violations-in-its-ad-tech-business-11674582792 https://blog.google/outreach-initiatives/public-policy/doj-ad-tech-lawsuit-response https://noahpinion.substack.com/p/would-breaking-up-google-really-do https://thehustle.co/12232022-ad-spend https://www.adweek.com/programmatic/advertisers-sweet-tooth-fades-with-many-unfazed-by-googles-latest-cookie-removal-delay https://www.politico.eu/article/microsoft-european-union-antitrust-video-calls-software-giant https://twitter.com/rebelnewsonline/status/1615770518606561282 https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.122.061025 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-31401-5 https://www.seacoastonline.com/story/opinion/columns/2022/01/29/kerr-covid-vaccines-anti-vaxxers-should-reject-hospital-beds-too/9246198002/ https://www.cnn.com/videos/media/2021/12/05/marcus-lamb-death-covid-19-vaccines-rs-vpx.cnn https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9451592 https://twitter.com/jason/status/1478587551271161857 https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1618381912413962240 https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/25/ukraine-war-news-us-will-send-abrams-tanks.html https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-now-getting-western-tanks-looking-at-fighter-jets-next-2023-1 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/18/us/politics/ukraine-crimea-military.html https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-11661589/PETER-HITCHENS-Sending-Ukraine-tanks-turn-Europe-one-big-radioactive-graveyard.html https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1618321900324950018 https://intellinews.com/ukraine-spiralling-towards-default-according-to-fitch-267768 https://www.wsj.com/articles/roman-abramovich-ukraine-russia-peace-sanctions-11674572583 https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(22)01570-7#%20

27 Jan 20231h 38min

(0:00) Bestie intro, who gets credit for the podcast? (6:27) Top candidates for the Republican nominee in 2024: DeSantis, Youngkin, Haley; major 2024 issues, balancing the budget (19:13) WEF in Davos: is it a grift? Somber mood, globalist mishaps, evaluating the US free trade policy (39:51) Rebuilding infrastructure while avoiding the debt ceiling, immigration reform (1:00:42) TikTok's endgame in the US: banned, spun out, or something else? (1:17:22) Pharma meets AI, best AI business models Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/RitchieTorres/status/1616124738752987152 https://twitter.com/TalbertSwan/status/1616101666582892547 https://www.wsj.com/articles/at-davos-mood-is-somber-as-many-ceos-question-economys-future-11673952415 https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/01/17/davos-globalization-wef-economic-seige https://twitter.com/ShellenbergerMD/status/1614782758328598528 https://www.facebook.com/worldeconomicforum/videos/8-predictions-for-the-world-in-2030/10153920524981479 https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2022/02/how-insects-positively-impact-climate-change https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/dark-side-davos-revealed-global-elite-bookings-sex-workers-soar https://archive.wphna.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/04-03_The_National_Interest._Samuel_Huntington_Davos_Man.pdf https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/15/business/auburn-tiktok-ban-students.html https://www.theinformation.com/articles/vc-s-8-billion-bytedance-headache?rc=g3wfdp https://www.wsj.com/articles/tiktok-tries-to-win-allies-in-the-u-s-with-more-transparency-11673836560 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/technology/byte-dance-tik-tok-internal-investigation.html https://www.ft.com/content/6670acad-8a5b-4c4a-b6a8-48dc307b6d4d https://www.hellopearl.com https://roboflow.com https://www.reuters.com/business/retail-consumer/brazils-americanas-shares-plunge-pre-market-accounting-inconsistencies-2023-01-12 https://www.wsj.com/articles/alec-baldwin-shooting-charges-involuntary-manslaughter-rust-movie-11674081157

20 Jan 20231h 36min

(0:00) Bestie intro! (0:43) Reacting to Slate's article on All-In (11:18) SF business owner caught spraying homeless person on camera (29:22) Microsoft to invest $10B into OpenAI with unique terms, generative AI VC hype cycle (1:09:57) Biden's documents, America's over-classification problem (1:27:16) Best cabinet positions/ambassadorships   Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg   Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast   Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg   Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect   Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1613135006272045056 https://www.epsilontheory.com/gell-mann-amnesia https://slate.com/technology/2023/01/all-in-podcast-elon-musk-david-sacks-jason-calacanis-chamath-palihapitiya-david-friedberg.html https://newrepublic.com/article/168125/david-sacks-elon-musk-peter-thiel https://twitter.com/BettyKPIX/status/1613080547022229504 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-12/bankers-bet-millions-on-sovereign-debt-deals-tied-to-green-goals https://fortune.com/2023/01/11/structure-openai-investment-microsoft https://www.ft.com/content/6670acad-8a5b-4c4a-b6a8-48dc307b6d4d https://openai.com/blog/introducing-openai https://ai.facebook.com/tools/pytorch https://fairuse.stanford.edu/overview/fair-use/four-factors https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USAPEFANA

13 Jan 20231h 31min

(0:00) Bestie New Year catch-up! (2:44) Prediction 1: 2023's biggest political winner (17:25) Prediction 2: 2023's biggest political loser (21:57) Prediction 3: 2023's biggest business winner (30:34) Prediction 4: 2023's biggest business loser (42:03) Prediction 5: 2023's biggest business deal (52:41) Prediction 6: 2023's most contrarian belief (1:03:03) Prediction 7: 2023's best-performing asset (1:07:50) Prediction 8: 2023's worst-performing asset (1:14:46) Prediction 9: 2023's most anticipated trend (1:21:40) Prediction 10: 2023's most anticipated media (1:27:07) Breaking news: OpenAI reportedly in talks to sell existing shares at a ~$29B valuation Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/articles/citadel-posts-record-revenues-for-hedge-fund-securities-operations-11672942665 https://www.reuters.com/world/saudi-arabia-gathers-chinas-xi-with-arab-leaders-new-era-ties-2022-12-09/ https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/03/business/europe-natural-gas-prices.html https://www.nytimes.com/2023/01/04/technology/salesforce-layoffs.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/amazon-to-lay-off-over-17-000-workers-more-than-first-planned-11672874304 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1598076726671642624 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/30/world/asia/xi-putin-china-russia.html https://twitter.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/1611052287954149377 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-03/blackstone-s-breit-gets-4-billion-from-university-of-california https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/gop-rebels-block-kevin-mccarthy-defiance-trump-rcna64280 https://www.wsj.com/articles/chatgpt-creator-openai-is-in-talks-for-tender-offer-that-would-value-it-at-29-billion-11672949279

6 Jan 20231h 38min

(0:00) Bestie catch up! (3:05) Kicking off the 2022 Bestie Awards (4:12) Biggest winner in politics (9:11) Biggest loser in politics (16:37) Biggest political surprise (23:35) Biggest winner in business (29:48) Biggest loser in business (42:21) Biggest business surprise (51:16) Best science breakthrough (57:36) Biggest flash in the pan (1:42:24) Best CEO (1:47:38) Best investor (1:51:21) Worst investor (1:52:22) Best turnaround (1:55:58) Worst human being (1:59:57) Most loathsome company (2:01:32) Best new tech (2:02:34) Best trend (2:05:09) Worst trend (2:07:50) Best new media (2:10:26) The Rudy Giuliani Award for Self-Immolation! Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://civil.ge/archives/469054 https://www.popularmechanics.com/military/weapons/a39946577/us-to-replace-javelin-stinger-missile-stockpiles-sent-to-ukraine https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/capm.asp https://www.wsj.com/articles/bob-iger-bob-chapek-disney-coup-11671236928 https://twitter.com/TwitterBusiness/status/1605651865818914816 https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-12-13/crispr-gene-editing-breakthrough-brings-cancer-cures-closer https://twitter.com/ShellenbergerMD/status/1604871630613753856 https://www.amazon.com/San-Fransicko-Progressives-Ruin-Cities/dp/B08V3DV718 https://twitter.com/ShellenbergerMD/status/1491418120086454278 https://twitter.com/seanhannity https://youtu.be/HBiV1h7Dm5E https://www.amazon.com/Vital-Question-Evolution-Origins-Complex/dp/0393088812 https://www.amazon.com/Life-Ascending-Great-Inventions-Evolution/dp/0393065960 https://www.amazon.com/Putting-Rabbit-Hat-Brian-Cox/dp/1538707292 https://www.amazon.com/Audible-Cinema-Speculation/dp/B09V3FTWKY

24 Des 20222h 17min

(0:00) Jason's new gig! (1:05) Twitter's new privacy rules, notable suspension, doxing dynamics (20:48) Nuclear fusion breakthrough and geopolitical ramifications (42:58) Jason and Sacks's big night (51:11) State of the markets: Coupa acquired by Thoma Bravo, startups at all stages seeing heavy valuation reductions, what LPs are thinking (1:22:08) TV catch up, worst person in tech bracket Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.finextra.com/newsarticle/41483/checkoutcom-chalks-70-off-valuation https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/1602457619431493634 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1603190155107794944 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Ignition_Facility https://www.ft.com/content/4b6f0fab-66ef-4e33-adec-cfc345589dc7 https://www.neimagazine.com/news/newsfusion-industry-survey-shows-significant-increase-in-private-investment-9860867 https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/thoma-bravo-buy-coupa-software-615-billion-2022-12-12 https://www.finextra.com/newsarticle/41483/checkoutcom-chalks-70-off-valuation

16 Des 20221h 29min

(0:00) Bestie gut health! (2:17) Twitter Files Part 2: shadow banning and blacklisting entire accounts and topics; how content moderation was handled at other tech giants (33:09) Twitter Files Part 1: Suppressing the New York Post's Hunter Biden laptop story (47:30) China effectively ends Zero-Covid policies, Iran, China, and Japan demographics (58:27) Kevin O'Leary defends FTX on CNBC, was paid $15M as a spokesperson; Sinema flips to Independent Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-york-times-staffers-to-stage-first-strike-in-over-40-years-thursday-11670471199 https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1598822959866683394 https://twitter.com/bariweiss/status/1601007575633305600 https://twitter.com/c4chaos/status/1601048264262180864 https://twitter.com/bariweiss/status/1601020845224128512 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1601052241145696256 https://twitter.com/bariweiss/status/1601023504916172800 https://twitter.com/NewsPolitics/status/1601028254831620096 https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/04/jack-dorsey-to-congress-full-written-testimony-on-political-bias.html https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1601031111244599296 https://twitter.com/JamesTodaroMD/status/1601042622516035584 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1601042125130371072 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1601044058276655104 https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1598831435288563712 https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1600243405841666048 https://nypost.com/2022/12/03/twitter-files-reveal-james-baker-in-hunter-biden-laptop-scandal https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hunter-biden-laptop-data-analysis https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/19/hunter-biden-story-russian-disinfo-430276 https://www.cnn.com/2022/12/08/china/china-zero-covid-relaxation-reaction-intl-hnk/index.html https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Iran#/media/File:Iran_single_age_population_pyramid_2020.png https://www.indexmundi.com/graphs/population-pyramids/japan-population-pyramid-2020.jpg https://www.wsj.com/articles/letter-from-top-apple-supplier-foxconn-prodded-china-to-ease-zero-covid-rules-11670504366 https://www.wsj.com/articles/sen-kyrsten-sinema-leaves-democratic-party-11670587227

10 Des 20221h 13min