Risky Science Podcast

Risky Science Podcast

The Risky Science Podcast features conversations with scientists, insurers, investors, portfolio managers, and others about the evolving science of predicting and modeling risk across both natural and man-made perils.

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Episoder(52)

2026 Hurricane Season: Risk, Markets, Models

2026 Hurricane Season: Risk, Markets, Models

This is the audio recording of our June 11 panel on the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season — three people who actually price this risk for a living, in conversation for an hour.The ground they cover: wher...

17 Jun 1h 6min

Ebola, Statistics, and What Pandemic Science Can Teach Markets

Ebola, Statistics, and What Pandemic Science Can Teach Markets

The Democratic Republic of Congo is in the middle of its 17th Ebola outbreak since 1976 and the WHO has declared a public health emergency of international concern. There are no approved vaccines. No ...

27 Mai 54min

Wildfire's Garbage-In Problem With Brian Bastian

Wildfire's Garbage-In Problem With Brian Bastian

California’s homeowners insurance market, backed by privae capital, is still in retreat. The publicly-backed FAIR Plan is financial buckling. And somewhere in the gap between what the cat models captu...

20 Mai 25min

Modeling Every Risk for Every Client with Willis' Ben Fidlow

Modeling Every Risk for Every Client with Willis' Ben Fidlow

Ben Fidlow is a Fellow of the Casualty Actuarial Society and leads analytics and risk advisory at Willis. In this episode, he explains how brokerage modeling differs fundamentally from carrier or vend...

13 Mai 25min

The Wrong Model for the Wrong Job With Roy Wright

The Wrong Model for the Wrong Job With Roy Wright

In this episode of Risky Science, recorded at ClimateTech Connect in April, IBHS CEO Roy Wright breaks down why catastrophe models were never designed to price individual risk, why mitigation only wor...

6 Mai 24min

The LA Fires and the Risk Market Value Chain With Joy Chen

The LA Fires and the Risk Market Value Chain With Joy Chen

The Eaton and Palisades fires are now the most expensive wildfire disaster in U.S. history — and what's happening in Los Angeles right now is a real-time stress test of the entire insurance value chai...

28 Apr 42min

How Catastrophe Models Work and Where They Fall Short With Anil Vasagiri

How Catastrophe Models Work and Where They Fall Short With Anil Vasagiri

This episode is part of a series of live conversations recorded at Climate Tech Connect 2026 in Washington, D.C.Anil Vasagiri, Head of Risk Data Solutions at Swiss Re is a rare combination of technica...

22 Apr 27min

Why Mixing Catastrophes With Prediction Markets Is More Dangerous Than It Looks With Jamie Pietruska

Why Mixing Catastrophes With Prediction Markets Is More Dangerous Than It Looks With Jamie Pietruska

The LA wildfires burned more than a hundred thousand acres. They destroyed thousands of homes. And while they were still burning, people were placing bets on them.Not insurers. Not reinsurers. Not cat...

15 Apr 48min

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