AI Security 2025 Wrap: 9 Predictions Hit & The AI Bubble Burst of 2026

AI Security 2025 Wrap: 9 Predictions Hit & The AI Bubble Burst of 2026

It's the season finale of the AI Security Podcast! Ashish Rajan and Caleb Sima look back at their 2025 predictions and reveal that they went 9 for 9. We wrap up the year by dissecting exactly what the industry got right (and wrong) about the trajectory of AI, providing a definitive "state of the union" for AI security.

We analyze why SOC Automation became the undisputed king of real-world AI impact in 2025 , while mature AI production systems failed to materialize beyond narrow use cases due to skyrocketing costs and reliability issues . They also review the accuracy of their forecasts on the rise of AI Red Teaming , the continued overhyping of Agentic AI , and why Data Security emerged as a critical winner in a geo-locked world .

Looking ahead to 2026, the conversation shifts to bold new predictions: the inevitable bursting of the "AI Bubble" as valuations detach from reality and the rise of self-fine-tuning models . We also explore the controversial idea that the "AI Engineer" is merely a rebrand for data scientists and a lot more…


Questions asked:

(00:00) Introduction: 2025 Season Wrap Up(02:50) State of AI Utility in late 2025: From coding to daily tasks(09:30) 2025 Report Card: Mature AI Production Systems? (Verdict: Correct)(10:45) The Cost Barrier: Why Production AI is Expensive(13:50) 2025 Report Card: SOC Automation is #1 (Verdict: Correct)(16:00) 2025 Report Card: The Rise of AI Red Teaming (Verdict: Correct)(17:20) 2025 Report Card: AI in the Browser & OS(21:00) Security Reality: Prompt Injection is still the #1 Risk(22:30) 2025 Report Card: Data Security is the Winner(24:45) 2025 Report Card: Geo-locking & Data Sovereignty(28:00) 2026 Outlook: Age Verification & Adult Content Models(33:00) 2025 Report Card: "Agentic AI" is Overhyped (Verdict: Correct)(39:50) 2025 Report Card: CISOs Should NOT Hire "AI Engineers" Yet(44:00) The "AI Engineer" is just a rebranded Data Scientist(46:40) 2026 Prediction: Self-Training & Self-Fine-Tuning Models(47:50) 2026 Prediction: The AI Bubble Will Burst(49:50) Bold Prediction: Will OpenAI Disappear?(01:01:20) Final Thoughts: Looking ahead to Season 4


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