The Limits of Coronavirus Predictions

The Limits of Coronavirus Predictions

As governments around the world try to predict the toll and duration of the coronavirus, they’re turning increasingly to a handful of forecasting models for answers. But many of the leading models differ drastically in their approach and methods. What do we need to know about these forecasts? And what are their limitations?


Guest: Jordan Ellenberg, mathematics professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.


Host: Lizzie O’Leary

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Avsnitt(2396)

The Laquan McDonald Case Isn’t Over

The Laquan McDonald Case Isn’t Over

Chicago’s mayoral election is Tuesday. The race has been crowded, contentious, and very much shaped by the Laquan McDonald case.Guest: Jamie Kalven, a journalist with the Invisible Institute. Tell us ...

25 Feb 201915min

Who Wants to Be a (Heavily Taxed) Millionaire?

Who Wants to Be a (Heavily Taxed) Millionaire?

As Democrats try to find an economic message that can win in 2020, a group of like-minded millionaires is making the rounds, telling any politicians who will listen, “We want to pay more in taxes.” Wh...

22 Feb 201923min

Meet the EPA’s Ghost-Writer

Meet the EPA’s Ghost-Writer

A scientist on the outer fringes of his field has been patiently making the case that the U.S. government applies far too conservative controls on toxins in the environment. Now, he’s trying to implem...

21 Feb 201920min

Can Palantir Be Used For Good?

Can Palantir Be Used For Good?

On today’s show, host Will Oremus looks at the fallout from Amazon’s announcement last week that they’re abandoning plans for a new headquarters in New York City. Some celebrated it as a victory; othe...

20 Feb 201928min

The Fight to Change Frat Culture

The Fight to Change Frat Culture

People who believe the fraternity system is broken have been trying every which way to force changes -- something, anything, to stop the parade of injuries, sexual assaults, and deaths that have happe...

20 Feb 201913min

Utah’s Medicaid Battle

Utah’s Medicaid Battle

Voters during the 2018 midterms favored the expansion of Medicaid, but it’s being met with some pushback by conservative legislators. What can Utah’s Medicaid episode teach us about how health care fi...

19 Feb 201918min

A Cautionary Green New Deal Tale

A Cautionary Green New Deal Tale

The Green New Deal brought attention back to the idea of high-speed rail in America. This week California squandered it. What lessons should Americans be taking from the failed high-speed rail project...

15 Feb 201912min

Has Anything Changed Since Parkland?

Has Anything Changed Since Parkland?

After the school shooting in Parkland, Florida, we saw a group of students speed through the stages of grief and go directly to action. One year later, have they made any lasting changes to the gun co...

14 Feb 201915min

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