Closing the Search Box [S2Ep21 audio]
Finding MH37011 Okt 2024

Closing the Search Box [S2Ep21 audio]

The ocean is a big place. So maybe it isn’t that surprising that MH370 wasn’t found.

At least, that’s what you hear a lot of people say.

It’s pretty widely accepted among the general public that the seabed search failed because, well, the ocean is big, why wouldn’t it be hard to find a plane in it?

But actually, the scientists who defined the search area had good reason to think that they knew where the plane had flown to, with a pretty good degree of accuracy. In today’s episode, we discuss how Australian scientists wrestled with the Inmarsat data, trying and discarding several approaches before settling on a method that allowed them to state, with mathematical certainty, where the seabed search would find the plane.

That search, of course, failed. But math is math — if the calculations failed to yield the correct location of the plane, there must be a reason why. A branch of statistics called Bayesian inference offers guidance on what to do next.



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Avsnitt(57)

I Respond to the YouTube Video About Me

I Respond to the YouTube Video About Me

I’ve been unflinchingly critical of other people’s videos about MH370, and now the shoe’s on the other foot. An account called Aviation Files has put up a video entitled “MH370: Why It Never Crashed” ...

27 Maj 42min

A CIA Officer's Perspective

A CIA Officer's Perspective

Someone took MH370. But who, and why? In today’s episode of Finding MH370, we delve into the motivation and methodology of one potential culprit with someone who has a rare and compelling perspective ...

25 Apr 35min

How To Cyberjack a 777 (Imagining the Impossible, part 3)

How To Cyberjack a 777 (Imagining the Impossible, part 3)

In the previous two episodes I talked about how search officials became convinced that the plane must have gone into the southern Indian Ocean because they didn’t think that debris could be planted, a...

21 Mars 41min

MH370 Vulnerability Exposed (Imagining the Impossible, part 2)

MH370 Vulnerability Exposed (Imagining the Impossible, part 2)

Soon after MH370 vanished in 2014, investigators became convinced that there was only one possible explanation: that the plane's captain, Zaharie Ahmed Shah, had hijacked the plane and carried out an ...

9 Mars 29min

MH370 Physical Evidence (Imagining the Impossible, part 1)

MH370 Physical Evidence (Imagining the Impossible, part 1)

In July of 2015, fifteen months after Malaysica Airlines Flight 370 disappeared into the night, a piece of its right wing washed ashore on La Réunion island in the western Indian Ocean. Investigators ...

28 Feb 37min

What the Government Doesn't Want You to Know [S2Ep51 audio]

What the Government Doesn't Want You to Know [S2Ep51 audio]

With the latest round of seabed search suspended after a fairly miniscule of progress, there’s a lot of frustration right now about the search for MH370. A lot of people just can’t believe that, in th...

18 Feb 14min

Seabed Search Wrap-up [S2Ep50 audio]

Seabed Search Wrap-up [S2Ep50 audio]

It’s Sunday, February 8, and Armada 86 05 has set sail from Gage Roads near Perth Australia, and is not heading back out to the search area, as many had hoped, but is instead sailing for the Pacific, ...

8 Feb 14min

Search Week 4: One Mystery Solved, Another Emerges

Search Week 4: One Mystery Solved, Another Emerges

Phase 2 of the seabed search for MH370 has ended, as Ocean Infinity’s search ship pulls its robot subs from the water and hands for port. In today’s episode we’ll talk about what they accomplished in ...

26 Jan 15min

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