Processing uncertainty in real time

Processing uncertainty in real time

Volatility has returned, and markets are recalibrating risk premia as new sources of uncertainty emerge across oil, inflation expectations, private credit and the AI investment cycle.

In this episode of the Barclays Brief, Ronnie Wexler speaks with Ajay Rajadhyaksha to break down how markets are processing this uncertainty, and the transmission mechanisms that matter most for the medium-term path.

They explore how investors are interpreting elevated oil prices and what sustained higher prices could mean for inflation expectations, as well as why private credit concerns remain slow moving rather than systemic. They also examine the structural tailwinds from AI, where hyperscaler CapEx and breakthrough adoption rates may continue to anchor long run productivity and growth.

As the conversation tracks the market reaction to the escalating conflict in Iran and other recent headline shifts, Ronnie and Ajay focus on the observable indicators and signals shaping the medium-term outlook.

Clients can read more on Barclays Live:

Middle East Escalation Hub

When it rains...

Barclays Equity Factor Insights: March 2026

Takeaways From Anthropic's Enterprise Agent Event

Important Content Disclosures

Important non-Research Content Disclosures

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Avsnitt(46)

Nuclear fusion: Tomorrow's solution to today's problem​

Nuclear fusion: Tomorrow's solution to today's problem​

Nuclear fusion has long been viewed as a transformational energy breakthrough, capable of delivering abundant, zero-carbon at operation energy by recreating the same reaction that powers the sun. Rece...

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Japan: Why the world is watching

Japan: Why the world is watching

Little more than a week ago, a rare, coordinated US-Japan intervention to support the yen caught investors’ attention. Coupled with rising expectations of another Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike and Pri...

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US equities: Beyond the pullback

US equities: Beyond the pullback

After a spring sell-off and renewed summer weakness in technology stocks, uncertainty has remained a defining feature of the investment landscape. During the market sell-off following the start of the...

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AI credit supply tests market capacity

AI credit supply tests market capacity

The AI buildout is fuelling a wave of new credit supply, and the sheer volume of debt is starting to test the market's capacity to absorb it. Year-to-date, the AI ecosystem has accounted for roughly 2...

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Challenging market consensus

Challenging market consensus

Markets can become crowded around consensus views. In this episode of the Barclays Brief, Patrick Coffey is joined by Brian Kuritzky from our Rates Sales team to explore potential investor complacency...

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Cooling the AI buildout

Cooling the AI buildout

Power constraints have dominated the conversation around AI infrastructure, but the buildout is facing a broader convergence of execution risks. Cooling, water use, permitting, labour shortages and gr...

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Opportunities in Asian Equities

Opportunities in Asian Equities

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Brexit, Burnham and Britain's Next Decade

Brexit, Burnham and Britain's Next Decade

Ten years after the Brexit referendum, many studies assess the effects on the UK economy as negative, pointing to weaker growth, lower investment and a tighter fiscal backdrop as its legacy. But the f...

30 Juni 10min

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