Prediction Markets: All Bets Are War
What A Day10 Apr

Prediction Markets: All Bets Are War

From the moment the U.S. and Israel launched strikes in Iran at the end of February, several people have been profiting from them because of extremely well-timed bets they made on the prediction market website Polymarket. In March, Polymarket barred trades based on, “stolen confidential information.” And yet people appear to still be making trades using insider information. Just this week, a group of newly created accounts bet correctly on the U.S. and Iran reaching a ceasefire on April 7th. Saahil Desai, senior editor at The Atlantic, joins the show to discuss how prediction markets are capitalizing on war.

And in headlines, the White House denies reports of a schism between the Trump administration and the Vatican, humanitarian groups say the ceasefire in Gaza is failing, and a new analysis finds out just how much Democrats are saying the f-word on social media.

Show Notes:

Avsnitt(1597)

The War With Iran Has No Exit Plan

The War With Iran Has No Exit Plan

The Iran war is a little over a week old and the Trump administration has supplied more than a dozen explanations about why, exactly, it began. Confused? Well, now we’re getting wildly conflicting mes...

10 Mars 23min

Can States Stop Trump’s Election Meddling?

Can States Stop Trump’s Election Meddling?

President Donald Trump wants to dramatically change how Americans vote, and to make that happen he’s holding all other legislation hostage until Congress passes the SAVE America Act. The bill would re...

9 Mars 20min

Sen. Mark Warner Won’t Miss Kristi Noem

Sen. Mark Warner Won’t Miss Kristi Noem

On Thursday, President Donald Trump fired Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem via a Truth Social post. Her tenure was marked by a photoshoot in a superprison in El Salvador, brutal i...

6 Mars 21min

Can Talarico Turn Texas Blue?

Can Talarico Turn Texas Blue?

Three states – North Carolina, Arkansas, and Texas – held primaries Tuesday. The turnout was massive, but so were the stakes, with the balance of power in Congress being decided this year. Texas held ...

5 Mars 21min

Trump’s War Hits The Economy

Trump’s War Hits The Economy

The U.S.-Israeli war in Iran is sowing death and chaos, surely, but with ship traffic avoiding Iran’s shores, the war’s also threatening the global economy through higher oil prices. Miles Taylor expl...

4 Mars 24min

Why Congress Might Not Stop Trump’s War In Iran

Why Congress Might Not Stop Trump’s War In Iran

Today, Trump officials brief all of Congress on what, exactly, the administration’s objectives are in Iran. Until now, the Trump administration has given conflicting accounts as to why the U.S. attack...

3 Mars 19min

Trump’s Dangerous Gamble In Iran

Trump’s Dangerous Gamble In Iran

Over the weekend, the U.S. and Israel launched airstrikes that reportedly hit more than 2,000 targets across Iran. In response, Iran struck sites across the Middle East. What, exactly, is the United S...

2 Mars 24min

Hillary Clinton Called Her Epstein Hearing Political Theater

Hillary Clinton Called Her Epstein Hearing Political Theater

On Thursday, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton testified in front of the House Oversight Committee to answer questions during their investigation into convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein. S...

27 Feb 20min

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