评估气候变化对中国世界文化遗产的风险

评估气候变化对中国世界文化遗产的风险

这项由气候风险实验室和中国研究人员共同开展的研究,对中国39处世界文化遗产进行了全面的气候风险评估,涵盖148处具体遗址及其保护缓冲区。该研究结合专家见解和未来气候预测,揭示了到21世纪末,几乎所有被评估的遗址都将面临中度至极度风险,原因是气温上升和降水强度增加。数据尤其凸显了古代建筑结构的脆弱性,例如五台山,它们极易受到极端降雨和冻融循环的影响而发生物质退化。除了这些标志性地标之外,作者还强调,数以千计鲜为人知的遗产遗址仍未得到保护,记录不足,面临着全球变暖带来的更大威胁。因此,该研究呼吁迫切需要从被动保护转向积极的适应策略,包括采用基于自然的解决方案和建立数字化清单。这种系统性的筛选是优先分配保护资源、确保中国丰富文化遗产长期传承的重要工具。 本期“气候影响下的遗产保护”播客重点介绍了Lei等人于2026年发表在《npj Heritage Science》上的研究成果:《中国世界文化遗产地的气候风险评估》(https://doi.org/10.1038/s40494-026-02512-9

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