U.S. Economy Teetering on the Brink of Recession – Ep 82
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast14 Maj 2015

U.S. Economy Teetering on the Brink of Recession – Ep 82


* Another week and another round of bad economic news
* Wall Street may be finally paying attention
* JOLT Report projected at 5.158 million; came in at 4.994 million
* April Retail Sales expected to rise .2%; came in flat
* X Automobiles expected an increase of .5, actual number was .1
* Beneath the surface there was a collapse in retail sales in all areas except groceries
* Weakest year over year increase in retail sales since 2009
* Department Store Sales experienced the biggest drop since January 2014
* A look beneath the headlines of the jobs numbers reveals that the jobs are not good jobs
* The Birth/Death Model assumption added 175,000 jobs to the last jobs report
* These numbers came from a biased source
* The fact that there is no spending is evidence that the job market is not as robust as the numbers claim
* Jobs numbers can be made up but retail sales can't
* Wall Street is surprised that we have weak data because they believe we are experiencing job growth
* March Business Inventories up .1% versus expectation of .2%
* February Business Inventories was revised down from .3% to .2%
* I estimate that Q1 GDP will contract by greater than 1%
* The Atlanta Fed just revised down their Q2 GDP estimate to .7, which would indicate the U.S. economy contracted for the first half of the year
* The Fed is still looking for 3% rise in GDP for 2015, which would mean we would need growth of 6% for the last half of the year
* It is more likely that we will get a negative number again for Q2
* Two consecutive contracting quarters will indicate an official recession
* If we are in a recession, the Fed will not raise rates and is more likely to respond with stimulus
* I predicted that a pause in QE3 would trigger another recession
* When the Fed is unable to raise rates to stimulate the economy, the only trick they will have up their sleeve will be QE4
* When that happens, the moves we saw today in the FOREX and Precious Metals markets will look tame by comparison
* The dollar has already broken its uptrend
* Europe, with the exception of Greece is experiencing growth in GDP, and Great Britain is doing better than Europe, because they shrunk their government instead of applying stimulus
* What we are going to get next is old-fashioned Keynesian, pump-priming stimulus
* Will that give us economic growth? Not a chance.
* The last three rounds of QE didn't give us economic growth and neither will the next one
* It may blow more air into the stock market bubble, but the air is going to come out of the dollar bubble even faster
* Where is the Fed's balance sheet going to be at the end of QE4? It is 4.5 trillion right now.
* How can anyone possibly believe Janet Yellen when she says she is going to shrink the balance sheet?
* Are creditors are going to get wise and there is going to be a run on the dollar
* You can see the beginnings of it today
* The dollar was down across the board
* Gold was back to about $1,250; every time it gets to this level it gets knocked down by short-sellers, but eventually they are going to have to give up
* All this bad economic data is going to sink in
* It is not the weather
* The market still has to adjust for the reality that the economy is really weak
* The Fed will not admit that QE didn't work, so in the face of recession they will have to do it again
Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Avsnitt(1087)

Biden Bombs Bigly - Ep 967

Biden Bombs Bigly - Ep 967

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required.For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. Thanks Constant Contact. Start GROWING your business today with a free trial at https://constantcontact.comSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comInvest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/investBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

29 Juni 202456min

New Inflationary Government Program Subverts Fed - Ep 966

New Inflationary Government Program Subverts Fed - Ep 966

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Juni 202455min

Fed Fakes Inflation Fight as Pretext for Future Cuts - Ep 965

Fed Fakes Inflation Fight as Pretext for Future Cuts - Ep 965

Get an additional 15% off an annual membership at https://masterclass.com/goldVisit https:/indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Juni 202452min

Did China Just Sucker Investors Out of Their Gold? - Ep 964

Did China Just Sucker Investors Out of Their Gold? - Ep 964

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Juni 202456min

Biden Is the Real Felon, Not Trump - Ep 963

Biden Is the Real Felon, Not Trump - Ep 963

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only.Thanks Constant Contact. Start GROWING your business today with a free trial at https://constantcontact.com🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

3 Juni 20241h

Is the Money in Your Pocket Counterfeit? - Ep 962

Is the Money in Your Pocket Counterfeit? - Ep 962

During an unexpected podcast episode from The Bahamas, Peter Schiff discusses the significant breakout in silver prices, reaching the highest since 2013, and the new record highs in gold. He elaborates on central banks' preference for gold over silver and the retail selling trend, emphasizing an opportunity to buy both metals after a correction. Schiff points out the ineffectiveness of the Fed's statements and actions on the true value of gold and silver, suggesting that prices will rise regardless of rate cuts. He uses historical experiences and the transition from real silver coins to nickel-clad copper as an example of government devaluation of currency. Schiff highlights the potential in buying physical silver, especially 'junk silver', for its barter value and the current low premiums as an investment opportunity. He also touches on the importance of investing in gold and silver mining stocks, recommending professional guidance for navigating the sector.NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/goldGet an additional 15% off an annual membership at https://masterclass.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

23 Maj 202456min

Tariffs and Inflation Are Taxes - Ep 961

Tariffs and Inflation Are Taxes - Ep 961

In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter discusses the recent milestone where the Dow Jones industrial average traded above 40,000 for the first time, yet closed down on the same day. He elaborates on nominal vs. real terms of value, emphasizing the importance of measuring stock markets in terms of gold to gain an accurate perspective on value over time. Schiff critiques the government's role in inflating the economy, creating an illusion of prosperity while diminishing the dollar's value, and further explores how tariffs and fiscal policies contribute to the U.S. economic challenges, including growing debt and inflation. The episode also features wider discussions on the impact of inflation data, global economic indicators, and the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates and its inability to control inflation effectively. Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Maj 202456min

Abolish the US Council of Economic Advisers - Ep 960

Abolish the US Council of Economic Advisers - Ep 960

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/goldJoin Peter on the Annual Investor Summit at Sea! Get the details and reserve your spot at https://InvestorSummitAtSea.comJoin my Locals community to get The Pete Schiff Show ad-free! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investSIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Maj 20241h 4min

Populärt inom Business & ekonomi

badfluence
framgangspodden
varvet
rss-jossan-nina
uppgang-och-fall
rss-svart-marknad
rss-borsens-finest
bathina-en-podcast
24fragor
lastbilspodden
avanzapodden
rss-kort-lang-analyspodden-fran-di
affarsvarlden
borsmorgon
rss-dagen-med-di
kapitalet-en-podd-om-ekonomi
tabberaset
svd-tech-brief
dynastin
rss-en-rik-historia