Don’t Expect a Normal Reaction to an Abnormal Situation – Video Blog
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast11 Aug 2015

Don’t Expect a Normal Reaction to an Abnormal Situation – Video Blog


* On Friday we finally got the Non-Farm Payroll numbers for July
* The consensus is that this reports indicates that an interest rate hike is inevitable
* This is the rate hike that everybody has been expecting and this report see
* The report is weak, relative to previous months, but slightly ahead of the consensus
* It seems like we are going in the wrong direction
* Labor Force Participation Rate is stagnant at the lowest in decades
* Q2 GDP was much lower than expected
* the Atlanta GDP Now Forecast for Q3 at 1% - a third of the official forecast
* If the Fed was not willing to raise rates last year, when the economy grew at 5%, why would they raise rates now?
* The Fed may have backed themselves into a corner where they have to raise rates
* If so, Yellen has already prepared the market for a tiny raise
* They recognize that the market is fragile
* It would be a more credible move for the Fed to not raise rates at all
* The market's reaction to the jobs data and the "certainty" that rates are going up
* The dollar sold off somewhat
* Gold rose slightly
* Higher interest rages are expected to be bullish for the dollar - Why didn't the dollar rise?
* The old adage, "Buy on the rumor, sell on the fact"
* If the Fed raises rates in September, it will be the most highly anticipated rate hike ever
* If the market buys on the anticipation of a rate hike, the actual rate hike will be the sell signal
* The market is telling us it has gained all that it is going to gain from any future rate hike
* The Fed will deliver much less in the way of rate hike than the market expects
* The reaction in the stock market was more interesting - The market was down again
* The longest losing streak in the Dow in about 4 years
* The fact that the U.S stock market is still falling indicates whereas the currency markets may have factored in a rate hike, the equity markets have not
* I have been hearing the refrain,"There is no reason to fear a rate hike!"
* This is a very naive to look at the market because there is no historical precedent for interest rates to stay low for so long
* These are not "normal" times
* More importantly, the market only expects a rate hike if the economy get better
* But now the data shows that the economy is continuing to slow down
* The crowd that believes a rate hike will not harm the economy should reassess their thinking
* Corporate earnings, already under pressure will be further weakened by an interest rate hike
* The consumer is barely surviving with rates at zero
* 2015 is probably going to be the weakest year of the entire so-called recovery
* If the Fed really begins to raise interest rates, what is going to happen in 2016?
* We will be in a bear market, the real estate market will drop and a recession will follow
* The Fed's only medicine at that point will be QE
* The truth is, the economy did not need the first round of QE and it nees QE4 even less
* This is going to be the mother of all money drops and all the people who have been saying,"The Fed was right!" are taking a premature victory lap
* Hopefully it will shock the Keynesians into abandoning central banking and central planning
* And finally embracing a real market recovery based on free market principles
* Those of us who have seen the writing on the wall will be rewarded in the investment front
* For having the fortitude to maintain our positions and not throw in a winning hand
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· New jobs created indicate a weak labor market.· Manufacturing is as weak now is it was in the worst part of the covid pandemic.· 2023 will be an explosive year for gold and silver.Go to https://fountainheadme.com/peter for a free analysis that will tell you how to be more profitable selling products online.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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Deja Vu All Over Again… Again – Ep 857

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· Dubai is a world leader in economic freedom. · Financial media will ignore gold stocks until they’ve tripled. · More fraud happens under regulation than without. Go to https://shopify.com/gold for a FREE trial. Get an extra 3 months Free on a one year package. https://expressvpn.com/gold Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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In the Eye of the Inflation Hurricane – Ep 855

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Voters and Investors Keep Getting It Wrong – Ep 854

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The Gold Train Has Left the Station – Ep 853

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· Federal Reserve raises interest rates again as expected. · Markets spooked as Jerome Powell dropped bombshells in Fed meeting. · Biden administration gets fact checked and deletes tweet. · Weakness in the stock market will continue on after the election. Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now. Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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