U.S. Stock Market Correction Not Made In China – Ep.104

U.S. Stock Market Correction Not Made In China – Ep.104


* What a week for global stock markets, but in particular, the U.S. stock market, which had its worst week in 4 years
* The Dow Jones down better than 1,000 points - over 10% from its peak puts it in official correction territory
* One-third of the stocks in the S&P 500 are already down 20% from their highs
* The Dow lost more than half of the 1,000 points today - 530 points, which is the 9th biggest point decline ever
* This is on top of the 350 points dropped on Thursday
* Thursday we broke below some key technical levels so Friday's drop was inevitable
* There could be a bigger one looming for Monday
* This is reminiscent of the weekend before Black Monday back in 1987
* We are only about 300 points above the lows from October last year when St. Louis Fed President James Bullard saved the market and sent the Dow up 2,000 points
* This time he is throwing the market an anchor
* He still indicates the Fed is undecided
* What data over the next couple of weeks could be that significant?
* The Fed does not want to admit that they can't raise rates
* When is the Fed going to blink?
* Valuations are extremely high, and the Fed is about to go from supporting the market to leaning against it
* The economy is decelerating
* I think the market is going to surrender all the gains it has made since March of 2009
* None of those gains have been real - they did not come from increased production or a genuine increase in corporate earnings, it was all Fed engineering
* The market has gained no ground since QE was suspended
* If the market goes down on Monday, what is the Fed going to do?
* The Fed needs an excuse not to raise rates
* The drop is not because of China
* The problem in China and in the emerging markets is caused by the perception that U.S. Fed is going to raise rates
* The markets want to blame the market correction on China but that is not why our market had a correction
* Emerging market currencies are taking the brunt of the selling by those who are expecting a Fed rate hike
* The euro is very strong today, and the dollar index is declining
* The euro is going to go on a big move, especially if the Fed caves
* Gold is up $80 in the last 2 weeks
* What happened to the theory that gold will collapse below 1000?
* Two weeks ago hedge funds were for the first time net short gold
* How is that trade working out for them now?
* A lot of people are trapped short the euro and short gold
* Now pro-dollar bets are pressing smaller currencies
* This is the last throes of the dollar bull, based on the rate hikes that aren't going to happen
* At the end of the 6 or 7 year journey, there can't be a rate hike
* If the Fed actually raises rates, they lose credibility because they will have to immediately reverse course
* If they do not raise rates, they can say caution is needed because of another dip in the recession
* This way they don't have to admit that the policy was a failure
* The only economic data that came out today was the August Manufacturing PMI number - expected to improve over last month
* It dropped again to 52.9 - the lowest level since October 2013, and the biggest miss in 2 years
* If the Fed is truly data dependent it would have already admitted that it can't raise rates
* At the end of 2014, I predicted that 2015 would be a much weaker economy than forecasted
* I was right about that
* I thought by now the Fed would have admitted that the economy is too weak for a rate hike
* But the Fed just keeps talking about a potential rate hike as though it were a real possibility
* This is a very dangerous game
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Avsnitt(1081)

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 24

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 24

Big News out of the Central Banks * U.S. FOMC * Primary concern - inflation is too low * no policy to "correct" the problem * Preparing markets for additional stimulus * Japanese Central Bank Doublespeak * Japanese sales tax hike postponed * Continued calls for more inflation * Why is sales tax is different than inflation? * Euro Decline * Mandating "stability" by increasing inflation? * Chinese Central Bank * Cut interest rate to 5.6% * Money flows to the dollar as a hedge because the market believes the Fed * Gold has not dropped much against the dollar and has risen against other currencies Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Nov 201431min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 23

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 23

Episode 23: Going to Extreme to Prove a Point: Two articles about Peter Schiff: * MarketWatch - writer refused to address corrections before going to print except for my official title - The point of my forecasts is to help people avoid problems ahead of time - I did not call for a stock market crash; I predicted QE4 - The Fed can prevent a Dollar Crisis - I said hyperinflation is unlikely, but a possibility * New Republic - Writer quotes selectively from a Reason article to prove his own spin - Points to the CPI to refute real inflation - The price of a Big Mac mirrored the CPI until 2002 - Now price of Big Mac rises 2x as fast as CPI - This illustrates how the government measures inflation Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Nov 201427min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 22

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 22

Episode 22: Lessons from the Michael Brown Case: * Don't rob a convenience store. * Don't rob a convenience store while high. * Don't be conspicuous after robbing a convenience store while high. * If a policeman then stops you, obey the policeman. * Do not try to take the policeman's gun away from him. * But if you get shot in the hand going for the gun and run away, do not charge the policeman when he says, "freeze!" * The political narrative hides the real problem: unhealthy family life. Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Nov 201421min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 21

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 21

Episode 21: BoJ Seems to relieve Consumers' Struggle With Rising Prices by Creating More Inflation * Investors & Economists shocked to learn that Japan is officially in recession * Instead of a 2.1 rebound, there were back to back declines - a huge miss. * Economists cry "More Stimulus!" * Abe admits rising prices hurt the economy, contrary to inflation "Goal" * The theory that rising prices stimulate the economy is proving wrong in Japan, Russia and the U.S. Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Nov 201426min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 20

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 20

Episode 20: Explosive Daily Upside Reversal in Gold Portends Potential Bottom * Weekly jobless claims higher than expected * Fewer people in the workforce * Job openings declining * Consumer sentiment survey at 7-year high? * false confidence in the economy due to oil prices * QE4 will be the mother of all QE * Gold and silver market reversal on Friday * Silver stocks up $4% * Gold stocks were up 6% Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Nov 201420min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 19

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 19

Episode 19: Low-Paying Jobs And Student Debt Undermining Marriage * There are more single Americans than ever * Job quality and debt are disincentive to marriage * Government policy promotes generations of single mothers * Two out of every five mothers are single * If the economy is getting better, why is this happening? Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Nov 201414min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 18

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 18

Episode 18 Synopsis * Obamacare architect Jonathan Gruber admits fraud promoting Obamacare: * "They proposed it and that passed, because the American people are too stupid to understand the difference." * Administration's argument to Supreme Court about constitutionality of Exchanges claims "typo" * The average American may not be able to make decisions for others, but they know what is best for themselves Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Nov 201420min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 17

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 17

Episode 17 Synopsis * Japanese yen fell to 7-year low * A result of Abenomics * Speculation that planned increase of sales will be delayed * price moving with strength of dollar * Chinese Yuan up vs Yen and euro * Next few months may expose Fed's false narrativ Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Nov 201410min

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