Walmart Is The Canary In The Retail Coal Mine – Ep.113
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast15 Okt 2015

Walmart Is The Canary In The Retail Coal Mine – Ep.113


* We finally got some economic news today, all of it bad
* All of it "unexpected"...
* Hope springs eternal on Wall Street
* That's why the Federal Reserve can maintain its forecast of an interest rate hike before the end of the year
* Although now a second Fed official has come out saying he doesn't think a rate hike will be appropriate this year
* All this was forecasted by me; there was a method to their madness to maintain the theater that a rate hike is even possible
* When is the Fed going to admit that their earlier forecast of a big recovery and liftoff is wrong?
* CNBC finally admitted they do not want me on because I correctly predicted that the Fed would not raise rates
* The same is true for Bloomberg
* However, the last time I was on Fox Business, that video on my YouTube Channel got over 80,000 views
* That is probably more people who viewed the live show!
* By the way, don't forget to like me on Facebook follow me on Twitter and and subscribe to my YouTube Channel
* It's not going to be too much longer before more and more people will agree the Fed is not going to raise rates
* If I am right and the Fed launches QE4, it will be hard for the conventional media to ignore me - I am not saying it will be impossible, though
* These podcasts are developing a greater and greater audience, and you can help spread the word by sharing them, to get the word out
* Let's get to the economic data, starting with the Weekly Mortgage Applications
* This number was significant in the precipitous 27.6% drop in the composite index with purchased mortgages dropping 34%
* Part of this was due to last week's big jump as mortgage applicants tried to get ahead of new government rules
* But the drop is much bigger than the pop - this is a bad sign
* The consensus forecast for the Producer Price Index was for month over month prices to drop .2% instead they dropped .5%
* Year over year, down 1.1%; last month it was down .8%
* This is bad news to the Fed, which is looking for higher inflation
* The real negative news was the September Retail Sales Number
* It was expected to be weak, up only .1 and that's what we got, but last month's .2 number was revised down to flat
* Now we're up .1 from zero, meaning August and September Retail Sales missed expectations
* This will pull numbers away from Q3 GDP
* I think we will get Q3 GDP below 1%
* It might be below zero, which will be the first half of a recession
* We also got Business inventories, which were unchanged, but the inventory ot sales ration popped up to 1.37 - that ties the high for the move
* This glut of product is bad news for the economy
* The last 2 times we had inventory to sales ration this high, we were already in recession - 2001 and 2008
* The worst news was Walmart's bombshell announcement that profits are suffering due to labor costs
* Their sales are suffering, too
* 75% of the losses are due to higher wages and the balance came from lower sales
* Walmart is the nation's biggest retailer and should benefit most from a stronger dollar and cheap gas
* Walmart's stock was down 10% on the day, one of the worst days in the history of Walmart
* YTD, it is down 33% from its highs - a super bear market for Walmart
* The Left proclaims that Walmart is getting rich on the backs of the workers - a collapse in Walmart stock price is not good for workers because profits are what creates the jobs
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Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only.Register for The 2024 MoneyShow in Miami, FL (April 10-12): https://www.miamisymposium.com/speakers/4532d84bf93311d3a5dd00104b96e7b5/peter-schiff/?scode=062042Join Peter on the Annual Investor Summit at Sea! Get the details and reserve your spot at https://InvestorSummitAtSea.comJoin my Locals community to get The Pete Schiff Show ad-free! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investSIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: http://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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