Walmart Is The Canary In The Retail Coal Mine –  Ep.113

Walmart Is The Canary In The Retail Coal Mine – Ep.113


* We finally got some economic news today, all of it bad
* All of it "unexpected"...
* Hope springs eternal on Wall Street
* That's why the Federal Reserve can maintain its forecast of an interest rate hike before the end of the year
* Although now a second Fed official has come out saying he doesn't think a rate hike will be appropriate this year
* All this was forecasted by me; there was a method to their madness to maintain the theater that a rate hike is even possible
* When is the Fed going to admit that their earlier forecast of a big recovery and liftoff is wrong?
* CNBC finally admitted they do not want me on because I correctly predicted that the Fed would not raise rates
* The same is true for Bloomberg
* However, the last time I was on Fox Business, that video on my YouTube Channel got over 80,000 views
* That is probably more people who viewed the live show!
* By the way, don't forget to like me on Facebook follow me on Twitter and and subscribe to my YouTube Channel
* It's not going to be too much longer before more and more people will agree the Fed is not going to raise rates
* If I am right and the Fed launches QE4, it will be hard for the conventional media to ignore me - I am not saying it will be impossible, though
* These podcasts are developing a greater and greater audience, and you can help spread the word by sharing them, to get the word out
* Let's get to the economic data, starting with the Weekly Mortgage Applications
* This number was significant in the precipitous 27.6% drop in the composite index with purchased mortgages dropping 34%
* Part of this was due to last week's big jump as mortgage applicants tried to get ahead of new government rules
* But the drop is much bigger than the pop - this is a bad sign
* The consensus forecast for the Producer Price Index was for month over month prices to drop .2% instead they dropped .5%
* Year over year, down 1.1%; last month it was down .8%
* This is bad news to the Fed, which is looking for higher inflation
* The real negative news was the September Retail Sales Number
* It was expected to be weak, up only .1 and that's what we got, but last month's .2 number was revised down to flat
* Now we're up .1 from zero, meaning August and September Retail Sales missed expectations
* This will pull numbers away from Q3 GDP
* I think we will get Q3 GDP below 1%
* It might be below zero, which will be the first half of a recession
* We also got Business inventories, which were unchanged, but the inventory ot sales ration popped up to 1.37 - that ties the high for the move
* This glut of product is bad news for the economy
* The last 2 times we had inventory to sales ration this high, we were already in recession - 2001 and 2008
* The worst news was Walmart's bombshell announcement that profits are suffering due to labor costs
* Their sales are suffering, too
* 75% of the losses are due to higher wages and the balance came from lower sales
* Walmart is the nation's biggest retailer and should benefit most from a stronger dollar and cheap gas
* Walmart's stock was down 10% on the day, one of the worst days in the history of Walmart
* YTD, it is down 33% from its highs - a super bear market for Walmart
* The Left proclaims that Walmart is getting rich on the backs of the workers - a collapse in Walmart stock price is not good for workers because profits are what creates the jobs
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Media Spins Horrible Holiday Sales as Reflecting Economic Strength: Ep. 28

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Media Spins Horrible Holiday Sales as Reflecting Economic Strength: Ep. 28 * This holiday shoppers had more shopping hours * 5% less traffic than last year * 11% less money spent than last year * The economy can't support robust holiday sales * Despite big drop in gas prices * Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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Black and Blue Friday for Oil Producers and Gold Miners: Episode 27

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30 Nov 201435min

Despite Higher GDP, U.S. Economic Data Continues to Disappoint: Episode 26

Despite Higher GDP, U.S. Economic Data Continues to Disappoint: Episode 26

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26 Nov 201428min

The Real Outrage in Ferguson is the Reaction Not the Verdict

The Real Outrage in Ferguson is the Reaction Not the Verdict

The Real Outrage in Ferguson is the Reaction Not the Verdict: Episode 25A * Riots are not the caused by the Grand Jury * The Grand Jury's statement did not address Michael Brown's culpability * All evidence points to officer's innocence * Media fears addressing Michael Brown's violent behavior * Young men are not raised to respect the law * This will happen again because there is no recourse to violence and false witness< Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Nov 201417min

Paul Krugman Runs Premature Victory Lap: Episode 24A

Paul Krugman Runs Premature Victory Lap: Episode 24A

Paul Krugman runs premature victory lap: Episode 24A * Assumes that money-printing works because there is "no inflation" * Krugman's cure for the stock market bubble was the real estate bubble * The test is when the printing presses stop Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Nov 201417min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 24

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 24

Big News out of the Central Banks * U.S. FOMC * Primary concern - inflation is too low * no policy to "correct" the problem * Preparing markets for additional stimulus * Japanese Central Bank Doublespeak * Japanese sales tax hike postponed * Continued calls for more inflation * Why is sales tax is different than inflation? * Euro Decline * Mandating "stability" by increasing inflation? * Chinese Central Bank * Cut interest rate to 5.6% * Money flows to the dollar as a hedge because the market believes the Fed * Gold has not dropped much against the dollar and has risen against other currencies Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Nov 201431min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 23

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Episode 23: Going to Extreme to Prove a Point: Two articles about Peter Schiff: * MarketWatch - writer refused to address corrections before going to print except for my official title - The point of my forecasts is to help people avoid problems ahead of time - I did not call for a stock market crash; I predicted QE4 - The Fed can prevent a Dollar Crisis - I said hyperinflation is unlikely, but a possibility * New Republic - Writer quotes selectively from a Reason article to prove his own spin - Points to the CPI to refute real inflation - The price of a Big Mac mirrored the CPI until 2002 - Now price of Big Mac rises 2x as fast as CPI - This illustrates how the government measures inflation Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Nov 201427min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 22

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 22

Episode 22: Lessons from the Michael Brown Case: * Don't rob a convenience store. * Don't rob a convenience store while high. * Don't be conspicuous after robbing a convenience store while high. * If a policeman then stops you, obey the policeman. * Do not try to take the policeman's gun away from him. * But if you get shot in the hand going for the gun and run away, do not charge the policeman when he says, "freeze!" * The political narrative hides the real problem: unhealthy family life. Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Nov 201421min

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