Fed Continues To Extend And Pretend On Rate Hikes – Ep.115

Fed Continues To Extend And Pretend On Rate Hikes – Ep.115


* I am recording this podcast from New Orleans, where I am attending the Investment Conference
* Today, I am going to talk predominantly is the FOMC statement that came out yesterday following the conclusion of their 2-day October meeting
* It was largely expected that the Fed would not raise interest rates in October and that's exactly what happened
* I predicted this a long time ago
* What is amazing is that, as a result of this announcement, more people expect the Fed to raise rates in December
* Going into this announcement, the dollar was on the defensive, silver was up about .50, gold was up $15.00
* It sure looked like people were expecting a more dovish tone from the Fed
* After all, a lot of bad economic news has come out since the September meeting
* When the Fed statement was released, there was no such change in language
* This now leads people to believe that the statement was hawkish
* They still don't understand the game: Nothing has changed.
* the Fed has to pretend that a rate hike is right around the corner in order to pretend that the recovery is real
* They can't admit that the economy is weak because they want to take credit for saving the economy
* They have to keep pretending, and they have to keep making up excuses
* Steve Leesman was asking why we need emergency rates when the emergency is over
* The emergency is not over, as far as the Fed is concerned because there is no real recovery
* If we had a legitimate recovery, of course the Fed could raise rates
* Thus the game: they continue to talk as if they might raise rates, and the markets buy it
* As soon as their statement came out, gold tanked, it ended up down about $10, silver gave up most of its gains, and the dollar was broadly higher
* If you actually read the statement, there is nothing hawkish about it
* It is basically the same as the September
* The only thing that stands out is an absence of concern
* The FOMC is not worried about all the bad news
* "In determining whether it will be appropriate to raise the target range at its next meeting, the Committee will assess progress--both realized and expected--toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. The Committee anticipates that it will be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate when it has seen some further improvement in the labor market and is reasonably confident that inflation will move back to its 2 percent objective over the medium term. "
* None of that is going to happen. The labor market is deteriorated - the labor force participation rate is still shrinking
* These are metrics Janet Yellen needs to see improve
* The Fed knows that these minutes will be misinterpreted
* They want to preserve the illusion that a rate hike is possible so they can preserve the illusion that this is a legitimate recovery and not a gigantic bubble
* But, what's going to happen when the Fed doesn't raise rates and ends up launching QE4 the Fed is going to have zero credibility
* The U.S. economy is in worse shape now than it was leading into the 2008 financial crisis
* Now everybody is talking about how important the jobs number will be - the Fed has not raised rates in 7 years. How can one jobs report make the difference?
* Meanwhile we've had months of stronger jobs numbers and the Fed did not raise rates
* I think the truth is the Fed has decided not to raise rates
* But they still need to maintain the perception that they might raise rates and that'... Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Avsnitt(1086)

Government Hiring Spree Means Higher Taxes and Inflation - Ep 982

Government Hiring Spree Means Higher Taxes and Inflation - Ep 982

The September Jobs Report: A Deeper Dive into Government Hiring and Market ImplicationsCut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. Get $20 credit by being one of the first 500 traders. https://kalshi.com/goldPeter unpacks the September jobs report, highlighting the surprising surge in government hiring amidst looming elections. He questions the authenticity and timing of these figures, suggesting political motivations behind the data boost for the Biden-Harris administration. Peter contrasts private versus government job creation, explaining the economic implications of these new roles funded by taxpayers. As he laments the service sector's dominance and the fading strength of manufacturing, he predicts post-election job revisions. Peter also advises against broad faith in market indicators and reiterates the urgency of investing in gold and silver stocks, casting a skeptical eye on Bitcoin's faltering performance compared to gold. Overall, he stands firm against superficial economic narratives, advocating for practical investment strategies informed by a realistic outlook.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffTimestamps:00:42 Jobs Report and Political Implications04:18 Analyzing the Jobs Data09:57 Government vs. Private Sector Jobs14:53 Economic Consequences of Government Hiring25:08 Labor Market Developments and Automation32:51 Employer Liability and Automation34:22 Market Reactions and Fed Rate Cuts36:20 Oil Prices and Inflation Concerns37:51 Manufacturing Recession and Service Sector Strength45:49 Gold and Silver Market Dynamics52:59 Emerging Markets and Investment Opportunities54:23 Bitcoin's Bear Market Analysis57:28 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#jobsreport #governmentjobs #inflationOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Okt 202455min

Government Stimulus Is Inflation in Disguise - Ep 981

Government Stimulus Is Inflation in Disguise - Ep 981

Gold reaches record highs, silver follows. Market reactions, inflation concerns, Fed's policies, and economic predictions Get an extra 3 months free. https://expressvpn.com/goldGet $20 credit by being one of the first 500 traders. https://kalshi.com/goldPeter discusses the new all-time records set by gold and silver, highlights the puzzling behavior of gold mining stocks, and criticizes the mainstream financial media's understanding of inflation and Federal Reserve policies. He elaborates on the significant data from the Fed's favorite inflation measure, the core PCE, revealing how it misrepresents the true state of inflation. Peter also explains why the Fed's strategy is misguided and suggests that persistent inflation will lead to an eventual return to QE. He ties in how geopolitical moves, like China's recent stimulus announcement, and domestic factors, including Saudi Arabia's oil production strategy, influence market dynamics. Furthermore, Peter argues for the importance of investing in gold and silver as he predicts a substantial increase in their value due to ongoing economic missteps by the Fed.Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Sep 202453min

Fed Caves With Aggressive Rate Cut - Ep 980

Fed Caves With Aggressive Rate Cut - Ep 980

FOMC Rate Cut Analysis: Fed's Decision, Market Reactions, and Economic RealitiesPeter Schiff analyzes the highly anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut following the two-day FOMC meeting, emphasizing its effects on the markets and broader economy. He critiques Jerome Powell's justification for the 50 basis points cut, the Fed's stance on inflation, and the true state of employment in the U.S. Schiff also discusses the contradictions in Trump's and Harris's economic promises, their implications for future fiscal policies, and the potential consequences for the U.S. dollar, interest rates, and the overall economy. He highlights the ongoing issues with the national debt and the risks of price controls. Additionally, Schiff advises on investment strategies, including gold, silver, and international equities, amid the anticipated economic downturn.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff01:39 Market Reactions and Predictions02:36 Inflation and Price Controls Discussion05:11 Trump's Economic Policies and Price Controls08:53 Interest Rates and Economic Indicators16:37 Fed's Rate Cut and Market Impact28:19 Questioning the Strength of the Economy29:01 The Fed's Balance Sheet Dilemma30:01 Historical Perspective on Interest Rates33:33 The Recession and Rising Interest Rates38:27 Trump's Economic Promises and Criticisms47:13 Preparing for the Economic Collapse51:09 Investment Strategies for the Future53:09 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EconomicOutlookOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Sep 202453min

Gold Soars as The Fed Readies Rate Cuts - Ep 979

Gold Soars as The Fed Readies Rate Cuts - Ep 979

Market Analysis, Gold Surge, and Personal AnnouncementPeter Schiff discusses the stock markets' performance on Friday the 13th, noting that while major indexes ended on a positive note, the only asset to hit a new all-time high was gold. He interrupts the usual podcast to announce his wife Lauren's new music duo, 'The Laughing Cats,' and their debut album, 'Funny Money,' highlighting the first single 'G.Y.B.' now available on Spotify. Peter then resumes, detailing gold's significant rise to new record highs and contrasting it with the stock market's performance in terms of gold pricing. He also critiques the U.S. budget deficit, discusses potential economic impacts of the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cut, and assesses the presidential debates, focusing on issues of tariffs and tax cuts. Peter emphasizes the investment potential of gold and gold stocks amidst the current economic landscape.Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/gold 🎶 New single from Laughing Cats out today: https://open.spotify.com/artist/2f3z6IPGfomCl9FsJeyb8d?si=9morm92NRdikGW3hbt0iPA🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:25 Stock Market and Gold Performance00:46 Announcement: The Laughing Cats' New Album04:48 Gold's Record Highs and Market Analysis17:25 Bitcoin and Oil Market Insights22:46 Inflation and Federal Reserve Rate Cuts26:22 CPI and PPI Data Analysis32:56 Wall Street's Call for Rate Cuts33:27 Record-Breaking Budget Deficit36:07 Economic Weakness and Job Statistics37:26 Presidential Debate Analysis43:32 Tax Cut Promises and Economic Realities48:23 Tariffs and Their Impact54:43 The Illusion of Tax Cuts01:00:20 Conclusion and Investment Advice#goldprice #investmenttips #stockmarketanalysisOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Sep 20241h

Financial Markets Back on the Brink of Collapse - Ep 978

Financial Markets Back on the Brink of Collapse - Ep 978

Market Turmoil & Economic Uncertainty: A Deep Dive into Non-Farm Payroll Report and Fed PoliciesIn this episode, we explore today's weaker-than-expected non-farm payroll report and its impact on the markets. Despite a brief improvement in stock indices following rate cut expectations, concerns loom as markets question whether a 25 or 50 basis point rate cut is forthcoming. The podcast dissects the current state of the labor market, the potential Fed actions, and the implications for tech stocks, gold stocks, cryptocurrencies, and overall market dynamics. We also delve into the historical context, drawing parallels to the financial crisis of 2008 and discussing the looming recession and inflation threats.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at NetSuite.com/GOLD🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#stockmarket #inflation #cryptocurrencyOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

7 Sep 20241h 1min

Making Lemonade Out of Economic Lemons - Ep 977

Making Lemonade Out of Economic Lemons - Ep 977

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. 🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Sep 202454min

The Fed Makes Its Biggest Mistake Yet - Ep 976

The Fed Makes Its Biggest Mistake Yet - Ep 976

Market Turmoil, Political Drama, and Economic ForecastsPeter delves into a tumultuous week in the markets and politics. He covers key events including Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech and its implications for interest rate cuts, the Democratic National Convention, and Robert Kennedy Jr.'s decision to drop out and endorse Donald Trump. Peter argues that the Federal Reserve is pivoting from fighting inflation to addressing rising unemployment, critiques the state of unemployment statistics and job market data, and discusses the potential for a gold price boom amidst a weakening dollar. Additionally, Peter offers in-depth commentary on the flaws in government spending and social security, the misrepresentations in political narratives, and explores future economic outlooks. He closes with a call to invest in gold and gold stocks.NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. http://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Aug 202455min

Gold Breaks $2,500. Harris Would Send it to the Moon - Ep 975

Gold Breaks $2,500. Harris Would Send it to the Moon - Ep 975

Unprecedented Gold Highs and Underlying Market DynamicsPeter discusses the historic rise of gold prices, which closed above $2,500 per ounce for the first time. He contrasts the performance of gold with that of Bitcoin, highlighting gold's significant growth since the start of the century. Peter also explores the underwhelming response of gold mining stocks to gold's record highs and predicts a bullish future for gold prices and mining stocks. Additionally, he critiques potential economic policies of Kamala Harris, cautioning that they may lead to increased inflation. Peter urges listeners to invest in gold, silver, and mining stocks, emphasizing the importance of proactive investment to mitigate inflationary risks.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Aug 202455min

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