Yellen’s Confidence Defies Data, Logic, and Common Sense – Ep.122

Yellen’s Confidence Defies Data, Logic, and Common Sense – Ep.122


* The price of gold was down another $15 today, a 6-year low
* Selling began early this morning following a better than expected jobs report from ADP
* This is private payrolls released a couple of days before the official government Non-Farm Payroll number, coming out on Friday
* Last month's ADP report was 182,000 jobs, which was below expectations
* But the government reported better than expected jobs numbers
* Today's number was not significant enough to have triggered a sell-off in gold within seconds of the release of the news
* So far, ADP has missed 8 of the 12 expectations this year
* By the way, hedge funds are the most short they've ever been in gold
* We'll see what happens between now and the end of the year if we get a lot of hedge funds that want to book those profits
* Paper profits may be difficult to realize if everyone needs to take them at the same time
* In the physical world, demand for gold continues to hit records
* 98-99% of the gold market is people selling gold they don't actually have to people who don't actually want it
* It's interesting to me the difference between the market reaction to positive economic news versus negative news
* The November PMI number, although slightly better than expected it is still a 2-year low
* Where the news went from bad to horrific was when we got the November ISM number. Manufacturing is considered insignificant now because it is a smaller part of our economy, but the last time it was almost as low as this, the Fed immediately launched QE3.
* Now with ISM number nearly as weak as it was when we launched QE1, the Fed is hinting at a rate hike, which is absurd if you believe that the Fed is data dependent.
* If the Fed does raise rates in December it proves conclusively that they were never data dependent and that they were using it as a delay tactic
* Had the Fed raised rates years ago, it would have pushed the economy into recession that much sooner, but they've now waited so long, that the economy is already going back into a recession on its own
* If the Fed now raises rates even slightly, we will go into recession that much more quickly, causing credibility loss.
* Also, yesterday we got motor vehicle sales numbers, and we did 18.2 million, beating the expected number of 18.1 million; however this is the second or third month in a row that domestic sales have declined
* This is all a product of the auto bubble. Contrary to comparisons to the housing bubble, where people bought homes for investments, the bubble exists in automobile financing
* Also contributing to the weakness in gold, were Janet Yellen's recent statements containing the strongest indications yet that interest rates may raise in December
* She did, however, go out of her way to insist that the Fed has not made a decision, based on data coming in prior to the December meeting
* Yellen admits to improvements in the labor market, but acknowledges that there is underemployment and low labor force participation
* She did say, however, that she is confident that over the next 1-2 years, the economy will show real improvement in full employment and labor force participation
* She also believes that the economy is indicating enough momentum that inflation will also reach or exceed the 2% benchmark
* Paradoxically, economic data over the last 6 months show no such momentum
* If the manufacturing sector is already in recession, as data indicates, what makes Yellen believe that the service sector, which has shown modest growth, can sustain any growth?
* The only problem Yellen does address is overseas markets
* Ironically the worst thing that can happen to the U.S. economy is for markets to have more confidence in overseas economies, Our Sponsors: * Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Avsnitt(1073)

Charlie Kirk Was Right - Ep 1041

Charlie Kirk Was Right - Ep 1041

Peter Schiff critiques the August CPI report, warns of rising inflation, and reflects on the tragic assassination of Charlie Kirk.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “navigating global trade: 3 insights for leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff delves into the latest economic insights surrounding the August Consumer Price Data and its implications for Federal Reserve policy. He critiques government labor market statistics, asserting their unreliability and the significant discrepancies between reported job growth and actual economic conditions. Schiff discusses the potential repercussions of anticipated rate cuts, the rising concerns over inflation, and the implications for gold and silver investments. He also reflects on recent tragic events, including the assassination of prominent political commentator Charlie Kirk, highlighting the societal implications of such violence. Tune in as Schiff navigates these pressing topics, offering his unfiltered perspective on the current economic landscape and its future trajectory.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:58 Anticipation of August Consumer Price Data01:43 Analysis of CPI Report and Fed's Inflation Target03:26 Critique of Government Data and Labor Market04:53 Impact of Job Market on Fed's Rate Decisions07:05 Historical Context and Fed's Policy Shifts07:50 Market Reactions and Predictions22:48 Gold and Silver Investment Insights27:33 Performance of Gold Stocks vs. S&P 50037:22 Economic Outlook and Policy Implications39:38 Economic Challenges and Predictions40:45 The Future of Gold and Inflation42:44 Government Jobs and Economic Impact45:04 Trump's Renaming of Departments47:08 Remembering 9/11 and Its Aftermath48:25 The Tragic Assassination of Charlie Kirk53:18 Racial Double Standards in Media01:02:14 Impact of Welfare Policies on Black Families01:16:49 Concluding Thoughts and ReflectionsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#CharlieKirk #Inflation #EconomicOutlookOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Sep 1h 16min

An Independent Fed May Be Ruled Unconstitutional - Ep 1040

An Independent Fed May Be Ruled Unconstitutional - Ep 1040

Peter Schiff critiques the August jobs report, analyzes the Federal Reserve's actions, and discusses the implications for gold and the U.S. dollar.This episode is sponsored by Lucy. Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff dives deep into critical economic issues affecting the United States, including a thorough analysis of the latest August Jobs Report, which reveals a troubling trend of job losses reminiscent of the Great Recession. He critiques the economic policies of former President Trump, highlighting the stark contrast between the current labor market and its portrayal as robust by the Federal Reserve. Schiff also explores the implications of a potential constitutional ruling on the independence of the Federal Reserve and its impact on inflation and the dollar. Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:26 Discussion on the August Jobs Report04:04 Critique of Trump's Economic Policies07:47 Analysis of the Federal Reserve's Actions14:18 Housing Market Concerns26:29 Gold and Silver Market Insights30:57 Bitcoin vs. Gold: A Comparative Analysis31:29 Bitcoin's Performance Over the Years31:49 The Rise of Bitcoin ETFs and Treasury Companies34:00 The Supreme Court and the Federal Reserve35:40 Constitutional Scrutiny of the Federal Reserve37:16 The Independence of the Federal Reserve48:04 Historical Context of Paper Money in the U.S.55:07 The Future of Gold and the U.S. Dollar56:03 Investment Opportunities and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#FederalReserve #BitcoinVsGold #EconomicAnalysisOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Sep 57min

Donald Trump Is Wrong - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1039

Donald Trump Is Wrong - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1039

Peter Schiff examines Trump's unconstitutional tariffs, the implications for the gold market, and the potential economic consequences ahead.This episode is sponsored by Hims. Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff dives deep into the pressing economic issues surrounding Donald Trump's policies, including his controversial tariffs and their constitutional implications. Schiff provides a thorough analysis of the gold market, illustrating its current strength amidst a backdrop of increasing uncertainty in the dollar's value. He discusses Trump's attempts to influence the Federal Reserve, highlighting the potential legal and ethical ramifications of such actions. With a critical eye, Schiff underscores the economic consequences of these policies and advocates for investing in gold as a hedge against the impending financial turmoil. Join Schiff for an insightful exploration of the realities facing the economy today and the strategies for navigating them successfully.Chapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:54 Labor Day Weekend Podcast Announcement02:08 Gold Market Analysis04:28 Trump's Tariffs and the Constitution15:58 Commercial Break17:49 Market Reactions and Predictions27:16 Trump and the Federal Reserve30:27 Trump's Strategy to Control the Fed31:50 Legal and Ethical Implications35:56 Economic Consequences of Trump's Policies47:07 The Role of Gold in Economic Stability51:44 Investment Strategies and Market Predictions56:58 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#DonaldTrump #GoldMarket #EconomicPoliciesOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Sep 55min

Powell Gets His Mind Right - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1038

Powell Gets His Mind Right - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1038

Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech marks a major pivot at the Federal Reserve. Peter Schiff explains how political pressure from the Trump administration has forced Powell’s hand, why stagflation is now undeniable, and what this means for gold, the dollar, and the future of the U.S. economy.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free ebook “Navigating Global Trade: 3 Insights for Leaders” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this Sunday Night Live edition of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter compares Powell’s capitulation to the “mind right” scene in Cool Hand Luke, warns about the Fed’s coming return to QE, and exposes the dangerous precedent of the U.S. government seizing a 10% stake in Intel. Schiff lays out why gold, silver, and foreign stocks are outperforming, and why the next phase of the crisis will be even more severe.00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks02:15 Powell’s Jackson Hole Speech: A Sober Assessment06:48 Trump’s Pressure and Powell’s “Mind Right” Moment12:02 Comparing Trump and Biden Economies18:37 Stagflation Confirmed: Weak Growth, Stronger Inflation24:10 Fed Policy, Employment Risks, and Inflation Mandate29:44 The End of Inflation Averaging at 2%36:50 Rate Cuts, Quantitative Tightening, and QE Ahead44:15 Market Reactions: Stocks, Bonds, and the Dollar51:28 Gold and Silver Surge vs. Bitcoin’s Underperformance58:44 Mining Stocks: GDX and GDXJ Leading 2025 Returns01:05:37 Foreign Stocks and the Great Rotation Out of U.S. Equities01:12:52 Intel’s 10% Government Stake and Rising Corporatism01:20:46 Investment Strategy: Gold, Mining, and Foreign Markets01:28:14 Conclusion and Schiff Sovereign UpdateFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#federalreserve #stagflation #gold #inflation #dollarcollapse #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Aug 1h 1min

Trump Administration Planning to Hijack the Fed - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1037

Trump Administration Planning to Hijack the Fed - The Peter Schiff Show Ep 1037

Peter Schiff is joined by James Hickman, a.k.a. Simon Black of Sovereign Man, to discuss the U.S. debt crisis, the Federal Reserve’s future, and why America may be headed toward a sovereign debt and dollar collapse.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite.Download the free “CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this special edition of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter welcomes longtime friend and entrepreneur James Hickman, best known by his pen name Simon Black. Together, they dive into the launch of their new joint project Schiff Sovereign, the growing U.S. debt disaster, and the Trump administration’s controversial plan to take control of the Federal Reserve.00:00 Introduction and Special Guest Announcement02:34 James Hickman: The Man Behind Simon Black04:01 The Birth of Schiff Sovereign05:27 Introducing James to the Audience09:01 The US Debt Crisis Unveiled14:25 Historical Context and Interest Rates21:21 The Fed's Role and Future Challenges25:41 Trump Administration's Plan for the Fed25:52 Money Heist: A Metaphor for the Fed30:03 Economic Data Manipulation30:59 Control of the Central Bank31:20 Unusual Resignation at the Fed32:35 Political Influence on the Fed34:24 Mortgage Fraud Scandal36:26 Implications of Rate Cuts36:58 Treasury Strategies and Debt Refinancing40:14 Stablecoins and the Genius Act49:46 Historical Context and Future Predictions50:25 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac01:02:43 Concluding Thoughts and Future PodcastsFollow @peterschiff  X: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/books#federalreserve #debtcrisis #dollarcollapse #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Aug 1h 4min

Surprise PPI Surge Dashes September Rate Cut Hopes - Ep 1036

Surprise PPI Surge Dashes September Rate Cut Hopes - Ep 1036

Peter Schiff examines the surprising PPI surge, critiques economic data, and addresses the implications for inflation and the Fed's policies.This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. This episode is sponsored by NetSuite. Download the free “CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning” at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff dives into the latest economic data, revealing how a surprising PPI surge has dashed hopes for a September rate cut. He critiques the government’s misleading job numbers and discusses the implications of a growing budget deficit on the economy. Schiff also highlights the troubling trend of inflation, emphasizing the Fed's failure to act appropriately amidst worsening economic indicators. With insights on the gold and silver markets, he underscores the importance of understanding the true state of the economy, challenging the narratives promoted by politicians and the mainstream media. This episode is essential for anyone looking to grasp the reality of today’s financial landscape through Schiff’s candid analysis.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:56 Hurricane Impact and Podcast Continuation01:37 Disappointing Economic Data Analysis02:55 Trump's Reaction to Job Numbers08:36 Inflation and Fed's Response16:53 Budget Deficit and Economic Comparison20:58 Tariffs and Legal Challenges27:56 Gold and Silver Market Insights33:52 Big Funds and Gold Stocks34:57 Gold Fund and Dividend Payers35:33 Global Investment Shifts37:04 Bank Receivership and Qenta Deal40:08 Qenta's Asset Handling Issues46:11 Legal Battles and Customer Rights53:11 Organizing Customer Lawsuits01:04:15 Final Thoughts and Call to Action#PPI #EconomicData #GoldMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

18 Aug 1h 4min

How Trump Is Accelerating America’s Economic Decline - Ep 1035

How Trump Is Accelerating America’s Economic Decline - Ep 1035

Peter Schiff examines gold market dynamics, critiques Trump's economic policies, and discusses investment strategies amidst rising market trends.This episode is sponsored by HIMs. Start your free online visit today at https://hims.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff dives deeply into the current dynamics of the gold market, highlighting the significant impact of tariffs and Trump's economic policies on gold and its stocks. Listeners will gain insights into the asymmetric opportunities within gold stocks, the performance of Bitcoin compared to gold, and the ongoing de-dollarization trend. Schiff emphasizes the importance of recognizing the risks and rewards in today's market, urging investors to consider their strategies carefully. With a focus on international markets and the future of U.S. manufacturing, this episode encapsulates Schiff's unyielding perspective on economic realities, making it a must-listen for those seeking to navigate the complexities of investment in a turbulent financial landscape.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:03:01 Gold Market Insights04:30 Impact of Tariffs on Gold08:30 Gold Stocks Performance11:14 Bitcoin vs. Gold14:24 Investment Strategies and Fund Performance19:49 US Dollar and International Markets24:20 Trump's Economic Policies31:19 Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac History36:26 Government Takeover of Fannie and Freddie37:02 Trump's Plan for Fannie and Freddie38:11 The Implicit vs. Explicit Guarantee Debate39:48 The Case for Abolishing Fannie and Freddie43:55 Trump's Economic Policies and Their Impact44:57 The Future of US Manufacturing49:37 Investment Strategies and Market Trends53:21 Personal Investment Performance and Advice58:45 Upcoming Events and Final Thoughts#goldinvesting #economictrends #marketanalysisOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Aug 1h 7min

Trump Fires BLS Commissioner, Agitates for Fed Mutiny - Ep 1034

Trump Fires BLS Commissioner, Agitates for Fed Mutiny - Ep 1034

Peter Schiff critiques the latest jobs report, dissects the implications of Trump's tariffs, and explores the weak labor market and economic realities.In this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter Schiff delves into the deceptive nature of recent job reports, highlighting how misleading statistics mask a weak labor market. He critiques the government's methodology in reporting job creation, emphasizing the significant downward revisions that undermine the perceived strength of the economy. Schiff discusses the implications of rising tariffs on consumer prices and how they contribute to stagflation, ultimately leading to a precarious economic outlook. As he analyzes the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates amidst these troubling indicators, Schiff reinforces his belief that the realities of the labor market and inflation are far more dire than official narratives suggest. Tune in for an insightful examination of the economic landscape through Schiff's candid lens.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction to the Jobs Report00:42 Historical Context of Economic Indicators01:22 Critique of Recent Job Reports03:32 Revisions and Market Reactions06:42 Current Jobs Report Analysis08:23 Unemployment Rate and Labor Market Realities10:59 Manufacturing Job Losses15:43 Trump's Reaction and Firing of Labor Department Head23:44 Economic Data and Market Implications26:50 Federal Reserve Meeting Insights29:47 Fed's Inflation Struggles and Policy Decisions31:22 Powell's Response to Interest Burden Concerns33:41 Impact of Tariffs on Inflation and Economy37:04 Rolex Tariffs and Consumer Behavior42:37 Trump's Influence on Fed and Rate Cuts55:30 Upcoming Appearances and Personal Updates#JobsReport #EconomicIndicators #LaborMarketOur Sponsors:* Check out Avocado Green Mattress: https://avocadogreenmattress.com* Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF* Check out Fast Growing Trees and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://www.fast-growing-trees.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Aug 1h

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