It Looks Like a Recession Because It Is One – Ep. 132

It Looks Like a Recession Because It Is One – Ep. 132


* The bear market in global stocks continues, and I believe we're in a bear market in the U.S.
* Technically the major averages are not quite down 20%, although some of the averages are
* Transports were down 30% from their highs
* The Russell 2000 was down more than 25%
* Many individual sectors are way down into bear market territory, as are some individual stocks
* IBM hit a new 6-year low; and, of course, IBM is the poster boy for share buy-backs
* Imagine how much shareholder money has been flushed down the toilet buying back stock at over $200/sh and now we're looking at 12o and falling
* But remember: all bear markets begin as corrections
* The bear market of 2001, when the S&P was cut in half, and the NASDAQ fell by 80%, started as a correction
* The same thing in 2008 - they were calling that a correction, too, until they realized that it was a bear market
* In fact, the main thing I am hearing today is the comeback - the Dow had a huge comeback because it was down more than 560 points at the low and it closed down at just 249
* The NASDAQ was down more than 160 and it closed down only 5
* Had we closed at the lows of the day maybe we would be closer to a short-term bottom
* This is another short-covering inter-day rally creating a slippery slope of hope for the market to continue to slide down
* Today, we have hit the most 52-week lows in any month since September of 2008
* Earlier in the day, we were showing the biggest monthly point drop in the history of the stock market
* It's not just the worst January, it's the worst month of any year, ever
* The market has got to be telling us that not only are we in a bear market, but we are in a recession
* The market is forward-looking: it is telling us that we are in a recession
* The bond market is priced as if we are in a recession
* Maybe that is because we are in a recession
* All the economic data indicates a severe recession
* The market is behaving as though something bad is happening - we haven't seen action like this since 2008, yet people are dismissing all of this evidence
* If it walks like a recession, quacks like a recession, smells like a recession, it is a recession
* There are now more people acknowledging that the Fed should not continue raising rates in the near future - an article in the Guardian says:"Janet Yellen and Fed left with face full of egg after interest rate rise blunder" accuses the Fed of raising rates too early
* The problem isn't that they raised rates early, it is that they raised them too late
* Actually the real problem is that they never should have lowered rates to zero in the first place
* I said this from the beginning: They sealed their fate as soon as they dropped rates to zero - no matter when they raised rates it would be a disaster, and the longer they waited it would be a disaster
* What is ridiculous is that the Fed wants us to believe that they can raise rates, after leaving them at zero for so long, and that we could sometime just be fine
* The narrative that Ben Bernanke, Janet Yellen and the Obama administration have been selling is that they saved the economy
* The economy is in much worse shape now than it was 7 years ago
* Instead the Fed's poisonous cure made us sicker than ever - That is what I wrote in "Crash Proof"
* When I forecasted the bursting of the real estate bubble and the Great Recession and financial crisis, I said the economy could withstand that
* What would kill it was the Fed's cure, they came up with the exact remedy I was afraid they would and it is having this exact effect
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Avsnitt(1086)

Misplaced Outrage: The Truth About Health Insurance Companies - Ep 998

Misplaced Outrage: The Truth About Health Insurance Companies - Ep 998

Gold reaches record highs, silver follows. Market reactions, inflation concerns, Fed's policies, Bitcoin scrutiny, and Trump's political stance.Mint Mobile: Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only.Nutrafol: Get $10 off your first month’s subscription + free shipping at https://nutrafol.com when you use promo code GOLDPeter Schiff discusses the significant rise in gold prices, noting that gold is nearing its all-time high in Australian dollars and other currencies while lagging in the U.S. dollar. He explains the underperformance of gold mining stocks and touches on labor costs in Australia. Peter also critiques current market sentiments, especially around Bitcoin, arguing against Michael Saylor's extreme advocacy and highlighting the potential risks of institutional investments in Bitcoin. Schiff then shifts gears to politics, offering a critical analysis of Donald Trump's economic policies, including misleading claims about inflation and tariffs. He also examines Trump's stance on entitlements and his approach to immigration reform. Concluding with poignant contrasts between the Daniel Penny and Luigi Mangione cases, Peter offers a compelling narrative on the current socio-political climate.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Gold's Meteoric Rise and Market Analysis02:51 Gold Mining Stocks and Market Sentiment05:33 Silver's Performance and Investment Advice08:02 Bitcoin's Market Dynamics and Institutional Investments09:43 Bitcoin vs. Gold: A Critical Comparison11:48 Political Influence on Bitcoin and Economic Policies20:40 Trump's Economic Claims and Tariff Policies35:54 Trade Deficits and Misconceptions37:33 Trump's Deportation Stance39:31 Youth Vote and Political Naivety41:18 Trump's Infallibility Complex42:38 Entitlement Reform and Obamacare46:49 Healthcare Industry and Insurance54:22 Contrasting Murders: Luigi and Penny01:02:22 Podcast Wrap-Up and Upcoming Topics#GoldMarket #BitcoinInvesting #USPoliticsOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Dec 202459min

Bitcoin Tops $100K on Expected Government Bailout - Ep 997

Bitcoin Tops $100K on Expected Government Bailout - Ep 997

Discusses market's record highs, job report boosts, consumer sentiment post-Trump election, Bitcoin surge, and upcoming economic challenges.- Get 15% off OneSkin with the code GOLD at https://oneskin.co- Go to https://legalzoom.com and use promo code SCHIFF to get 10% off.Peter Schiff discusses the new record highs in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ, the slight downturn in the Dow, and the significant jump in consumer sentiment post-election. Schiff emphasizes the discrepancy between consumer optimism about Trump's election and his own skepticism. He critiques Jerome Powell's inflation forecast and the reliability of job reports, highlighting an ironic spike and drop in Bitcoin prices. Schiff touches upon job market anomalies, rising consumer credit despite high interest rates, and the potential implications of political changes on the financial market. He concludes with a critical view on the feasibility of the proposed 3-3-3 economic plan and the broader economic implications of Trump’s policies and Bitcoin expectations.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Market Update02:45 Consumer Sentiment and Election Impact05:34 Jobs Report Analysis06:12 Bitcoin's Rollercoaster Ride07:25 Economic Data and Government Jobs16:28 Bitcoin and Government Policies31:03 The Impact of Bitcoin on the Economy33:08 Consumer Credit Numbers Analysis36:34 Job Cuts and Unemployment Data37:10 Trade Deficit Insights39:31 Scott Bessent's Economic Plan45:58 Challenges of Reducing Budget Deficits54:48 Oil Production Goals and Economic Realities59:26 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Bitcoin #Trump #economyOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Dec 202456min

Powell Knows the Public Can’t Handle the Truth - Ep 996

Powell Knows the Public Can’t Handle the Truth - Ep 996

Discussion on US comments, import/export dynamics, reserve currency, major exports, economic data trends, and constitutional aspects of the exit tax.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldSign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/gold😹 🎶 New music video 'Jerk' by Laughing Cats: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iLpkHV5JvEAPeter Schiff addresses comments from his previous podcast about America's imports and elaborates on the nation's dependency on them. He explains the significant trade deficit and America's reliance on the dollar's reserve currency status, which allows for importing more than exporting. Schiff also provides insights into the economic repercussions of this imbalance, highlighting the country's major exports. The podcast discusses the federal financial burden, economic data releases, and the consequences of high interest rates on national debt. Schiff finishes with commentary on current events, including Biden's pardon of Hunter and Roger Ver's tax evasion case challenging the constitutionality of the exit tax.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Addressing Comments02:10 America's Import and Export Dynamics03:39 Top 10 American Exports17:02 Economic Data and Market Reactions27:08 Interview with Jerome Powell36:14 The Debt Bubble and Interest Rates38:27 Promotions and Announcements42:06 Biden's Pardon of Hunter44:48 Fraud and Legal Battles51:10 Roger Ver and the Exit Tax01:04:14 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#JPowell #Fed #EconomyOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Dec 20241h 2min

Bye-Bye, What Americans Buy - Ep 995

Bye-Bye, What Americans Buy - Ep 995

Peter Schiff discusses Black Friday's origin, American consumerism, the nation's heavy reliance on imports, and Trump's economic policies.This episode is sponsored by:OneSkin: Get 15% off OneSkin with the code GOLD at https://oneskin.coLucy: Go to https://lucy.co/gold and use promo code GOLD to get 20% off your first orderPeter Schiff discusses the concept of Black Friday and its origins, contrasting it with current perceptions of economic strength. He delves into the United States' heavy reliance on imported goods, listing numerous products and categories predominantly produced abroad. Schiff criticizes American consumer habits, particularly the reliance on debt for holiday spending, and challenges the notion of economic strength based on consumption rather than production. He critiques Donald Trump's trade policies, immigration stance, and economic strategies, arguing that America's perceived strength is a myth dependent on unsustainable consumption and foreign production. Schiff also touches on the impracticality of Trump's proposals for cutting government spending and tariffs, emphasizing the need for long-term investments and sacrifices to rebuild America's productive capacity.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:45 The History and Significance of Black Friday05:03 Economic Misconceptions and Consumer Behavior08:57 The Reality of American Consumption11:01 Trump's Views on the Dollar and BRICS17:49 The Consequences of Losing Foreign Goods30:57 America's Dependence on Imported Goods31:19 The Coffee and Seafood Shock33:09 Produce and Other Imports33:59 The Illusion of a Strong Economy36:42 The Reality of American Imports38:30 Trump's Economic Promises and Reality39:14 The Challenge of Reindustrializing America43:36 Immigration and Labor Policies49:23 Tariffs and Government Spending51:59 The Future of the American Economy01:01:10 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#AmericanEconomy #BlackFridayHistory #EconomicPolicyOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Dec 202457min

Tariffs: Not the Turkey We Want This Thanksgiving - Ep 994

Tariffs: Not the Turkey We Want This Thanksgiving - Ep 994

Peter Schiff discusses Thanksgiving's capitalist roots, the Pilgrims' failed socialism, tariffs' economic impact, and recent market trends.Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at http://mintmobile.com/gold.Visit http://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Peter Schiff's Thanksgiving special podcast from St. Barths offers a compelling narrative on the history and lessons of Thanksgiving, celebrating capitalism over socialism. Drawing parallels between the early Pilgrims' failed communal experiment and Karl Marx's theories, Schiff emphasizes the pivotal role of individual incentives and free markets. He transitions into discussing current economic data, trade deficits, and the impact of tariffs under the Trump administration, debunking common economic misconceptions. Schiff argues that tariffs harm the US economy more than they benefit it and critiques government monetary policies, predicting economic challenges ahead. He concludes with reflections on the resilience of human nature and the enduring principles of capitalism.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction02:24 Thanksgiving and Capitalism05:14 The Pilgrims' Experiment with Socialism09:28 The Shift to Capitalism and Its Success12:22 Modern Implications of Pilgrims' Lessons18:38 Gold Market and Global Economy26:19 Impact of Tariffs on the Dollar30:16 Final Thoughts Before Break32:11 Debunking Tariffs and the Strong Dollar Myth33:49 The Impact of Tariffs on Trade Deficit36:38 Manufacturing Sector and Economic Weakness40:48 Tariffs and Inflation: A Misunderstood Relationship44:17 Global Trade and Comparative Advantage49:37 Economic Data and Market Reactions57:35 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#capitalism #Tariffs #ThanksgivingOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Nov 202455min

Data Revisions Confirming What Voters Already Knew - Ep 993

Data Revisions Confirming What Voters Already Knew - Ep 993

Go to https://Lucy.co/GOLD and use promo code gold get 20 percent off your first order. Go to https://LegalZoom.com and use promo code SCHIFF to get 10% off. LegalZoom is not a law firm and does not provide legal advice, except where authorized through its subsidiary law firm LZ Legal Services, LLC.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ne__pTRAenc&t=42s🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Nov 202453min

Bitcoin: The Biggest Bubble of Them All - Ep 992

Bitcoin: The Biggest Bubble of Them All - Ep 992

Bitcoin hits new highs; MicroStrategy's risky Bitcoin investments; Trump's impact; misallocation in crypto; China's strategic investments; UK labor rights.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldGet $10 off your first month’s subscription + free shipping at https://nutrafol.com when you use promo code GOLDPeter Schiff critiques the hype surrounding Bitcoin and MicroStrategy's investment strategies, attributing Bitcoin's recent gains to speculative fervor tied to political promises by figures like Donald Trump and Robert Kennedy Jr. He argues that such speculative bubbles harm the economy by misallocating resources. Schiff contrasts these developments with China's strategic investments in infrastructure, which bolster their economic position. He also discusses the implications of labor laws in the UK and their potential to backfire by increasing automation and outsourcing. Schiff concludes by emphasizing the ongoing devaluation of the dollar and the risks posed by continued abandonment of the gold standard.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:38 Bitcoin's Record Highs and Market Dynamics02:37 Trump's Influence on Bitcoin09:16 MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Strategy17:45 Commercial Break19:03 Bitcoin Bubble and Market Criticism23:40 Gold Standard and Economic Perspectives25:49 Bitcoin vs. Gold Debate31:22 Commercial Break31:46 Holiday Season and Hair Health32:00 Nutrafol: The Ultimate Hair Growth Solution33:27 The Cost of Healthy Eating37:39 Impact of Immigration Policies43:29 UK's Labor Bill of Rights57:33 Conclusion and Upcoming Events#Bitcoin #MicroStrategy #goldOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Nov 202455min

The Road to Inflation Is Paved With Debt - Ep 991

The Road to Inflation Is Paved With Debt - Ep 991

Analyzing bond yields, Fed policies, national debt impacts, and contrasting Bitcoin's speculative rise against gold's decline post-Trump win.📣 Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/gold📣 ExpressVPN: Get an extra 3 months free. https://expressvpn.com/goldIn this episode, Peter Schiff explores the current market trends led by the bond market and their broader impacts. He discusses the recent high yields on U.S. Treasuries, Fed rate cuts, and inflation adjustments. Schiff critiques the enormous rise in national debt under both Trump and Biden administrations and cautions against further deficit spending. He delves into the implications of rising interest rates on the housing market, the dollar's strength, and gold prices. Schiff also comments on the speculative nature of Bitcoin, and the potential consequences of the U.S. government's proposed involvement in Bitcoin transactions. He shares his skepticism about the Department of Government Efficiency and the unrealistic expectations for spending cuts. Peter Schiff emphasizes the importance of sound economic policies and the dangers of continued fiscal irresponsibility.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:00 Introduction: The Trump Trade and Bond Market Dynamics02:13 Impact of Fed Rate Cuts on Treasury Yields03:34 National Debt and Presidential Records07:08 Bitcoin vs. Gold: Market Reactions07:44 Senator Loomis' Bitcoin Proposal10:57 Sarcastic Social Security Plan with Bitcoin17:19 Debunking the Strong Economy Narrative19:22 Rising Interest Rates and Inflation Concerns26:24 Department of Government Efficiency: A Joke?30:39 Challenges in Cutting Government Programs31:03 Reagan's Failed Attempts and Trump's Prospects32:13 The Reality of Government Job Cuts33:48 Trump's Spending Promises vs. Reality36:50 Bitcoin and the Financial Bubble44:51 The Constitutional Debate on Money Printing50:35 The Federal Reserve's Role and Independence53:00 Conclusion and Future Outlook#FederalReserve #TrumpTrade #BitcoinPriceOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

16 Nov 202452min

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